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Source link: http://archive.mises.org/8370/lower-labor-costs-now/

Lower Labor Costs Now!

August 4, 2008 by

Job instability is the number one factor that leads to public panic. It is more pressing than stock-price declines, general price increases, and a host of other bad trends, because it hits people in the most direct way by threatening to end the flow of money that puts bread on the table.

Don’t blame the employers. They are faced with making cutbacks wherever possible. They have to worry about surviving in the downturn. It is not only labor costs that must be cut. Cutbacks must occur in every area. FULL ARTICLE

{ 54 comments }

MatthewWilliam August 4, 2008 at 8:21 am

Ordinary folk beleive that there are some goods that should always go UP in price; namely houses and wages. Anything that lowers the prices of houses and labour is automatically viewed as evil.

Plans to lower the minimum wage here in Ireland (from 9 to 8 Euros) have fallen to pieces.

Ron August 4, 2008 at 9:13 am

Good point, Matthew. Unfortunately, that attitude is probably a direct result of constant inflation. Without it, I’m betting people would expect home and labor prices to fluctuate the same as any other price.

IMHO August 4, 2008 at 9:13 am

Have you ever noticed that the people who cause the most trouble and demonstrate the least amount of initiative in the workplace are the first on line when making demands upon their employers?

Despite the fact that there are far fewer unions than there used to be, I believe that they contributed to the collectivist mentality that everyone is entitled to a job, automatic raises and benefits regardless of performance, ability or attitude.

Glen August 4, 2008 at 12:06 pm

IMHO,

No, the employees most likely to cause the most trouble are those who are around median for income distribution median is well below average). You also see a lot of issues from the upper end of the employee income distribution (mostly those who want a free warm fuzzy). Also, for employees, lack of basic reasoning skills is usually a job requirement. Smart followers are preferred by most employers.

DavidB August 4, 2008 at 12:53 pm

“The payroll tax is a tax on employment because it is a forced price increase in the wage that everyone hopes to gain. If we eliminated this, we would see the costs of hiring plummet, and the benefit would be experienced directly and immediately by the worker. The worker would not have to lower wage and salary expectations. Instead of paying the government, the worker would be able to add that money to his or her own remunerative calculus.”

Of course they would! And those benevolent employers would gladly hand it over right? Are those the same employers that are shipping every job that isn’t nailed down offshore?

What makes you think that if you lowered taxes by 16% that the employer wouldn’t strong arm that out of the employee? Who has the greater chance of winning the fight, the father that has to feed his family and does not have a lot to choose from or the anyjob manager who can make the guy take the wage he’s offering or let the job not be filled if necessary? Who can win the war of attrition better do you think?

We’re not quite back at the days that recruiters go to high schools to hire boomers like it was in the ’70′s and if companies have their way we never will be again

Eric August 4, 2008 at 12:57 pm

What amazes me is how well we have done despite how badly government messes things up.

And now everyone (through their beloved government) is poised to do what my Dad used to say I was doing as a small silly boy – cutting off my nose to spite my face. I never quite knew what he meant until I grew up. I guess government never learns though.

Or perhaps government does learn. After they make things even worse, the people will cry even harder asking for a government solution.

What has always mystified me, however, is how such a bumbling stumbling government that makes everything worse is able to do such a good job promoting themselves. It is a true exception to the rule (that government doesn’t work).

On the other hand, the government does promote itself constantly though lies (it’s legal for them to lie to us) and it even makes us pay for the ads. So, like Harry Browne said, the government is good at one thing, breaking our legs and then telling us how grateful we should be since without their “free” crutches we’d never be able to walk.

But hey, I work in the computer industry, and if they keep making it tougher to hire humans, well that makes smart machines more in demand. At least so far robots can’t file lawsuits. But wait until the government passes their own 3 laws of Robotics. But that’s another subject for another time.

Stanley Pinchak August 4, 2008 at 2:01 pm

DavidB,
I am sorry that you are so ignorant of economics, I recommend a healthy dose of Man Economy and State. There is simply no way that the employers as a cartel could maintain withholding the current tax receipts from the workers in the event of the tax’s lapsing. Cartels can not maintain their cohesion in the face of efficient entrepreneurial action. Any shrewd businessman would see that he could offer a slightly higher price to a competitor’s best employees by “sacrificing” some of his “profit” from the “windfall” of the tax’s removal. The bidding of labor prices will tend to eliminate the “windfall” for the capitalists. At the same time, the market price for the goods in question will be reduced and the employees will in not too long of a time span again earn their discounted marginal revenue product. Any actions to the contrary can not survive in the long run. In the event that the post-tax-regime wage is identical to the tax-regime wage, the employees will still have gained because the overall prices of goods have dropped, meaning that the workers’ real wages have risen. To be against tax removal on the grounds that capitalists may make a short run windfall profit is to ignore the long run benefits to worker/consumers. Best of luck with your educational endeavors.

Michael A. Clem August 4, 2008 at 2:10 pm

Exactly, Stanley, but it’s probably important to stress this for people like DavidB: The employers wouldn’t do this because they’re benevolent, but because they’re under economic pressure to gain and retain better employees, or else lose out to their competition, and end up with lower profits, or even losses or bankruptcy.

DavidB August 4, 2008 at 2:19 pm

Tell me this Stanley. If the employee is the one with all the power in the equation, why do CEOs earn more than their average employee than ever before?

magnus August 4, 2008 at 2:20 pm

And those benevolent employers would gladly hand it over right?

Employers aren’t benevolent. Neither are employees, by the way. Nor are they expected or required to be. The only thing that is required of anyone is that you respect the property and contract rights of others.

You, however, apparently feel entitled to interfere in the private, contractual relationship between some employers and some employees. But you have no right to interfere with that relationship, nor to dictate terms to them that they might find mutually agreeable. In other words, it’s none of your business.

When you use government to force some employers to pay what you, DavidB, feel that they ought to pay, you are guaranteeing that the true market price for that employee will not be found. It is impossible determine what the true market price for anything is (including wage labor) without a freely operating market for it. That’s what markets do — they communicate market prices.

You can’t tinker with that and convince anyone here that you can come up with some non-market price that is, somehow, more correct or economically optimal. Your outsider’s opinion about what some price ought to be is just arbitrary, and is guaranteed to be wrong.

Are those the same employers that are shipping every job that isn’t nailed down offshore?

It is better for the economy for some businesses to move their operations offshore. If they were forced to stay in the territorial US, that would mean, by definition, higher prices, and ever-expanding economic dislocations. Who are you to force everyone to pay higher prices than they have to pay? Don’t you see that these artificially-raised prices hurt people economically, and hurt more the lower one’s income?

What makes you think that if you lowered taxes by 16% that the employer wouldn’t strong arm that out of the employee?

Employers have to compete with one another for employees. It’s the reason that anyone anywhere makes more than the (arbitrary, unjustifiable and affirmatively harmful) state-mandated minimum wage.

Ron August 4, 2008 at 2:31 pm

DavidB: “If the employee is the one with all the power in the equation, why do CEOs earn more than their average employee than ever before?”

Consider the question from the other point of view:

If the employer is the one with all the power in the equation, why does the average employee earn more than ever before?

magnus August 4, 2008 at 2:32 pm

If the employee is the one with all the power in the equation, why do CEOs earn more than their average employee than ever before?

It has nothing to do with having “power in the equation.” It has to do with the Federal Reserve.

Big corporations are publicly-traded companies, and their CEOs’ compensations are closely tied to the corporations’ stock price, and the stock price of publicly traded companies is inflated because of the actions of the Federal Reserve.

When the Fed pushes interest rates down, the stock prices of big corporations enjoy a temporary boost. Their CEOs do well, because it looks like their company’s stock is rising.

But, by the same token, the Fed’s artificially lowering of interest rates steals from ordinary people — the value of the dollar is reduced because of the inflationary printing of money. Ordinary people (without investments or stock-market prices to manipulate) find that the real value of their cash is falling. They get further and further behind.

By this mechanism, the inflationary activities of the Federal Reserve increases the distance between the incomes of wage earners and CEOs of public companies.

Michael A. Clem August 4, 2008 at 2:34 pm

Tell me this Stanley. If the employee is the one with all the power in the equation, why do CEOs earn more than their average employee than ever before?
I’m not sure if it’s just simple math you’re having a problem with, or if you’re just confusing the current status quo as a ‘free market’.
If it’s just the math, tell me who has the most power: a handful of employers, or thousands and thousands of employees?
If it’s confusion over the status quo, sure, there are laws that big companies manage to get passed by government that help restrict the competition and thus leave employees with fewer options than they would otherwise have. Nonetheless, the laws of economics are not suspended because of governmental laws and regulations–these restrictions limit employee options, but do not entirely remove all possible options–the restricted market still works, just not as effectively as it could if it were truly free. Thus, lowering taxes would still be beneficial to employees, and for the reasons mentioned.
Obviously, removing other restrictions would be even more beneficial to workers. Or perhaps it’s not so obvious, and that’s why economic education is important?

DavidB August 4, 2008 at 2:35 pm

“It is better for the economy for some businesses to move their operations offshore. If they were forced to stay in the territorial US, that would mean, by definition, higher prices, and ever-expanding economic dislocations. Who are you to force everyone to pay higher prices than they have to pay? Don’t you see that these artificially-raised prices hurt people economically, and hurt more the lower one’s income?”

Well Magnus, you are clearly brainwashed. Before I say my peace though I am not arguing for the flawed reality that is the state payroll tax system here. My argument is solely regarding the power structure between the employee and employer.

With that understanding, are you trying to tell me a Nike that is lowering it’s labor costs to say $1 per shoe while still selling them at $150 per shoe is good for the economy? How is that so? The only ones they are helping is the few at the top and some overpaid athletes keep their margins high at the expense of those who would have received that margin if the jobs had stayed on shore.

Are you trying to tell me that most of that profit margin is not going straight into the pocket of some hundred millionaire Harvard or Yale CEO and CFO? You are brainwashed then my friend.

Sure, the labor market will get ‘some’ of that margin but the majority is geared to go into the pockets of the elite upper crust of society. A crust that those of that group work very hard to keep the rest of us out of via government, banking, taxes, etc. etc. etc.

DavidB August 4, 2008 at 2:44 pm

“By this mechanism, the inflationary activities of the Federal Reserve increases the distance between the incomes of wage earners and CEOs of public companies.”

And you think these CEO’s don’t know this? So why, if they have the power to educate the people and change things do these people sit quietly while the Fed does this? Is it possible that these people benefit from this situation?

”If it’s just the math, tell me who has the most power: a handful of employers, or thousands and thousands of employees?”

Ever been to the third world Michael? There are even more employees and fewer employers. Are the wages higher or lower there?

Anyway folks I enjoyed the banter. I have to get off to work now or I’ll be one of those even more desperate employees. Thanks for hearing me out and peace to you all

Brad August 4, 2008 at 2:55 pm

To expand on how CEO salaries have gone through the roof, factoring in feel good measures like limiting the amount of direct pay deductible by a corporation motivated the migration from straight cash to exotic stock based compensation. Paper incomes shot through the roof and even greater motivation to manipulate stocks was injected into the system so as to guarantee the move from paper income to real income. EVERY time the government steps in with a feel good, populist measure, it is sure to come back to haunt us in the end. Also keep in mind WHO benefitted the most by limiting deductibility of pay – the government itself.

As a very general philosophical point DavidB – business may or may not be your friend, but the government rarely, if ever, is. It is self-interested to the extreme and it will constantly inact bad laws that benefit itself, and usually for the short term. Our overall inability as a nation, and the people who make it up, to be able to calculate real equity is do to the constant blurring of just what equity is, and when it is blurred, the benefit goes to the State for its own power and control. Please do not believe any populist wrappings they put it in, its actions are to its own benefit. Any real, long term benefit to you or anyone else is merely an accident, one that you can be sure will be corrected.

And a final point, assuming that the reality that employment taxes are borne by the employee, is that taxes on the individual are ridiculous, federal rates for the middle class are roughly 14% as general income tax, now add in the 16% of employment taxes, and, say, 6% state, and 4% local, and sales taxes and excise taxes and licenses and nested corporate taxes it quickly rises up to 45% for middle class folk, and this doesn’t take into account the $54 Trillion accrual basis debt, that makes each household $400,000 in debt that it doesn’t even know it has, and toss in any more wonderful ideas the socialists among us have and voila! ever spiralling taxation with the requisite shrinking economy. We HAVE to end the confiscation of labor and the extension of entitlements or we will be swallowed up. The confiscation of labor as of right now is nested in the taxation of employees via FICA and other taxes. It is a place to start.

magnus August 4, 2008 at 3:51 pm

And you think these CEO’s don’t know this? So why, if they have the power to educate the people and change things do these people sit quietly while the Fed does this? Is it possible that these people benefit from this situation?

Who says that the CEO of General Motors has the obligation to educate anyone? What on earth are you talking about?

Big business gets favors from the federal government. If you take the time to read more around this website, you will find that its supporters are strongly opposed to allowing the government the power to hand out those favors.

Besides, what are you talking about with the “brainwashed” garbage? Me?

Pot-kettle-kettle-pot.

You seem to be in the thrall of some hard-core class-warfare propaganda. You have a cartoon view of CEOs and business and economics generally. If you don’t like $150 Nikes, then buy something cheaper.

Are athletes overpaid? Who are you to say? Maybe in your socialist Utopia, the flashy cars and Hummers and conspicuous consumption would be considered a criminal offense against the proletariat. But, really, the fact that $150 Nikes are your big concern shows that your economic philosophy is motivated by your hatred of modern American culture, not by any form of logical thought or economic analysis.

Curt Howland August 4, 2008 at 4:02 pm

DavidB, you don’t seem to understand that a CEO is just another employee. The employer, the “owner” whether an individual or a board of directors, hires the CEO to do a job.

In order to attract top CEO material, they have to pay top CEO salaries and benefits.

So your argument is self defeating. If the employer had all the power, they wouldn’t be paying their CEO so much, either.

Please look up the term “Marginal Revenue Product”.

Florida Econimist August 4, 2008 at 4:02 pm

The world can not run on extremes, regardless of which side of the argument one is on. Problems arise when either side of a given argument becomes fixated on its position and is unwilling to compromise. Abuse arises when either side of the argument has too much power and allowed to freely impose its values and beliefs on the system. As Ron indicated earlier, always look at a sitution from both angles. As I will tell you now: if you do that, you will almost always find that a solution lies somewhere in the middle when it pertains to very complex processes and systems. Pesonally, I would love to not pay any wage taxes at all. But it is not realistic.

fundamentalist August 4, 2008 at 4:39 pm

I think there is some truth to what DavidB says in that a lower employment tax would not necessarily mean higher wages. Remember that wages depend upon the marginal productivity of labor in the long run, not necessarily on taxes directly. However, taxes have a direct effect upon labor productivity because higher taxes reduce profits and therefore reduce the funds available for investment in new equipment and plants.

If a miracle occurred and politicians learned economics so that they eliminated all taxes on employment, companies would probably pocket the profits at first. Then some companies would invest those profits in new equipment and processes in order to improve labor productivity. Then higher labor productivity would raise wages in the long run. Bargaining power has nothing to do with it.

Stanley Pinchak August 4, 2008 at 5:44 pm

fundamentalist is hitting on an important point. Taxes combined with an inflationist monetary policy lead to the devastating effect of unwitting capital consumption. Paper earnings and the tax man contribute to the “rust belt” effect, where replacement costs on durable capital goods with long depreciation schedules are much higher than initially planned for. This has contributed to the loss of many manufacturing jobs as the capital stock is depleted and the productivity and thus discounted marginal revenue product of the American employee falls below the going wage rate on the American labor market for that particular class of job. So if you want another bogeyman to blame for the loss of American jobs, look at the federal reserve, their banking thrall, and the tax men in congress.

I have to disagree with the sentiment that the owners would pocket the profits and then slowly increase capital and thus raise wages. First of all, a tax has two effects, the first and most important is to reduce the earnings of original factors (wages and ground rents), and secondly as supply decreases when marginal suppliers go out of business to increase the cost of a product. When the tax is lifted, the original factors are now free to bid up their sales price to their true DMVP, furthermore, the submarginal suppliers (both entrepreneurs and owners of original factors) can re-enter the market, which will increase supply and tend towards a reduction in price. In this way, workers gain in reduced prices and increased paychecks.

Inquisitor August 4, 2008 at 5:59 pm

DavidB is just regurgitating a-contextual, anti-concept driven nonsense. Firstly, he is assuming certain features of the hampered market (e.g. overpaid CEOs) are the feature of free markets. They’re not. Secondly, he is assuming that we think employers/employees are benevolent (in an altruistic sense), and that we’re not aware that some might use the state to secure their advantage. Thirdly, his knowledge of economics is sad – if Nike is making such huge profit margins, the potential for competitors to undercut it and get a piece of the action is huge. Fourthly, he is ignoring what, in the first place, causes the huge disparities between West and third world countries, and what drives firms to hire labour from their (a mixture of corrupt third world gov’ts impoverishing their citizens and Western burdening of markets.) The fact that consumers have no problem paying $150 for a shoe is not his problem, but theirs. They’re willing, tough shit. They’re benefitting as well as the producer firm. Obviously, we are brainwashed for rejecting his socialize.. *cough* enlightened views on all this. Obviously, things are all a matter of class warfare and evil profiteering CEOs! I thus agree with Magnus and Fundamentalist. CEOs are an employee like an advertiser, and it is the shareholders, a lot of whom are common folk, that are the owners of firms.

Matt August 4, 2008 at 6:32 pm

Lower Labor Costs Now!,?. This is not going to happen as long as the Federal Reserve is in existence.
This institution is an Engine of Inflation of the money supply. Congress and the Banks make out like bandits with the help of the FED. They are always fighting Inflation of prices which they create with the Inflation of the money supply and deficit spending. No need to go into Fractional Reserve Banking, another scam that benefits only the bankers who monetize debts. Lately the banks have gotten into trouble by overdoing a ‘good’ thing for them. Now they do all they can to drag-out the mess hoping for normal times.

Lower Labor Costs Now? This would take an act of Congress for it to take effect overall. What should be done is to move the FED out of existence only then would Labor Costs come down of their own momentum. Good try Lew but your thesis will only work with the FED abolished.

C. Evans August 4, 2008 at 6:46 pm

“The world can not run on extremes, regardless of which side of the argument one is on. Problems arise when either side of a given argument becomes fixated on its position and is unwilling to compromise. Abuse arises when either side of the argument has too much power and allowed to freely impose its values and beliefs on the system. As Ron indicated earlier, always look at a sitution from both angles. As I will tell you now: if you do that, you will almost always find that a solution lies somewhere in the middle when it pertains to very complex processes and systems. Pesonally, I would love to not pay any wage taxes at all. But it is not realistic.”

There is no middle ground when dealing with the State. The State always moves in the direction of oppression and there will always be people who wish to use the State to gain an advantage over others. The only way to deal with this is the complete abolition of the State, i.e., is the abolition of monopoly on retributive justice and ultimate decision making. The end of taxation is possible, but not while a majority of people in this country believe in the legitimacy of the State.

Jeremy August 4, 2008 at 8:36 pm

@Curt – you would be right about CEO pay if we had a free market with free money, but we don’t.

@Magnus – I completely agree. CEO compensation is largely based on excessive inflation and bubbles the federal reserve puts into place.

And what about the fact that much CEO pay is based on earnings during the upswing of the business cycle which turn out to be massive losses? See Fannie & Freddie, any of the hundreds of mortgage companies that have gone bankrupt in the last several years, the homebuilders, and the banks & investment banks.

Without the Federal Reserve’s interference in the markets, most of these temporary ‘profits’ which the pay is based on could have occurred.

@Stanley – great point about concealed capital consumption. That’s been ongoing for at least a decade. The other thing that drives capital consumption is the ‘wealth effect’ – which drives consumers to consume based on false paper wealth (wealth that will not exist at all after the bubble bursts and the dust has settled)

@Inquisitor – great points – it is the shareholders that are ***** the most by high CEO pay, largely a result of the market not being free.

Daniel August 5, 2008 at 12:25 am

Even if lower labor costs arent passed directly to employees (by vicious and evil employers) then…

lower labor costs = lower cost of goods and services = more people can afford them (including the employee who was denied a rebate resulting from lower labour costs) = increase in standard of living for everyone.

DavidB seems like a decent chap, dont jump down his throat simply because of his popular (although misconceived) views.

@Florida: in the realms of man-made law, abolishing wage taxes isnt realistic because people do not believe it is realistic. Its not if we are dealing with the laws of physics.

Stanley Pinchak August 5, 2008 at 1:06 am

Daniel, you are right in reminding us that this blog is for educational purposes and that personal attacks are not conducive towards that end. Like the old saying goes, you catch more flies with honey than with vinegar.

DavidB, I appreciate your comments, and I hope that some of the responses have placed a little question in your mind, encouraging you to examine the logic of both sides of the argument. You have encouraged a sharpening of the mind. Thanks.

Also as a clarification on my first post, I would like to say the following. At the termination of the tax, workers and employers will bid up wages which were repressed under the tax. The employer increases wages to obtain and keep the best employees, and employees counter in bargaining with their current and prospective employers. Additionally, formerly sub-marginal employers, workers, and land resources will be profitable and contribute to the discovery of wages in their particular industries and nearest substitutes. Furthermore, the additional supply brought forth from increased competition will lead to reduced prices, but this is most likely a slower effect. Employers will reap a “pure profit” for a period of time, but this is quickly eliminated by competition and from that point forward, only genuine entrepreneurial profits (also transitory in nature) and interest will be had by capitalists.

fundamentalist August 5, 2008 at 8:42 am

Another important point to keep in mind is that business owners wouldn’t necessarily change their consumption/investment habits because of a decrease in taxes. If profits increased from lower taxes, business owners wouldn’t decide to consume more; they are probably at their max level for consumption anyway. They would probably invest most of the tax savings.

Since employing workers will cost less, business owners will likely employ more, and as someone else mentioned, they will likely reduce prices, too.

However, if business owners did keep all of the tax savings for themselves, what would be wrong with that? It belongs to them. The tax is on their earnings. It just distorts the labor market because the tax makes it more expensive to hire workers.

magnus August 5, 2008 at 11:17 am

Let’s say the State were to suddenly refrain from robbing business owners quite as much, and employers suddenly found themselves with more cash than usual.

Under these circumstances, it is impossible to predict how this particular group of people would respond to having the extra cash at that particular point in time. It is impossible for even the people themselves to know how they would react.

Austrian economics tells us that the value that each person puts on this additional cash (i.e., a marginal increase in net income resulting from tax relief) is subjective. “Subjective” is another way of saying that it is beyond the ability of anyone to predict or analyze by mathematical formulae.

No one knows what, exactly, he would do until he is faced with the actual decision of spending or saving actual money, under actual economic conditions as they exist at that time, facing the prospect of paying actual prices. The immediate effect that this change in taxation would have on prices and savings or spending patterns by those businesses is only knowable in hindsight

Some employers would use the money to hire new employees. Some would give raises. Some would save it as profit. Some would buy new equipment. Some would do a combination of all of the above. All would do things slightly differently.

Also, the effect would be dynamic and multi-dimensional — every additional dollar used to hire new employees would bid up the market price for such employees. The same goes for the market for additional equipment, or expanding existing businesses into new territories. The additional savings entering in the economy would alter interest rates.

These secondary and tertiary effects of tax relief are just as unknowable as the primary effects.

fundamentalist August 5, 2008 at 11:33 am

magnus:”These secondary and tertiary effects of tax relief are just as unknowable as the primary effects.”

It depends on what you mean by “unknowable.” The exact numerical effects are unknowable, but the tendencies aren’t necessarily so, otherwise we couldn’t have a science of economics. The benefits of lower taxes on employment would probably be spread around to all parties, workers, owners and consumers. But the end result would be that everyone would be wealthier without the dead weight of taxes hanging around their necks.

Michael A. Clem August 5, 2008 at 11:55 am

“Subjective” doesn’t mean random or chaotic. People in similar situations are subject to similar pressures and incentives. No, they won’t all react the exact same way, but they will react in more or less similar ways.
In any case, no one has yet presented any reasonable argument for not lowering the taxes.

magnus August 5, 2008 at 1:11 pm

The exact effects are what I was talking about.

I wholeheartedly agree that we can prove, through a priori reasoning, that the effect of extracting cash via taxation results in a net loss to the economy and everyone’s total wealth.

But the extent of that harm cannot be measured. The particular way in which that harm is expressed can’t be predicted. This is a fundamental difference between the Austrian approach and what is considered mainstream economics.

But even without measuring or predicting, we know that the diversion of dollars away from where they would have been spent and into the pockets of politicians (and bureaucrats, and the various cronies that ultimately receive the money from the State) causes a net loss to productive activity.

We know this because private persons would not have spent the money on those things. That’s why the State stole it in the first place — to override private spending decisions.

It is demonstrably false for Statists to claim that, because people voted for it, the things the State spends money on is better, qualitatively, than the things people would have spend it on if they had been allowed to keep it. Taxation necessarily and always diverts money away from people’s first choice of expenditure, in favor of something that is, by definition, less valued (or even valued at zero).

We don’t know just how damaging that is. We have no way of knowing what exactly would have happened with that money, or what productive economic activity will never take place.

All we know is that if people were to spend that money privately, they each would have gotten something that they value more than whatever they get from the State. State spending is always sub-optimal. After all, the way the State spends it can never replicate private spending. If it did (or even if it were possible), we wouldn’t need the State in the first place.

Stanley Pinchak August 5, 2008 at 2:14 pm

While it is true that the specific beneficiaries are unknown and we can not know an individual’s subjective gain from the end of taxation, we can through logic deduce who, in broad terms, suffers (i.e. where the incidence of the taxation will rest). Rothbard has shown in Power and Market that taxes can not be passed on to the consumer and instead are passed backwards in the form of reduced wages and ground rents. Capitalists wearing their interest earning hats do not bear much of the tax except through the long term changes in the market rate of interest as effected by lower wages to workers. Thus since we know the classes of losers in the taxation regime, we can deduce who will gain the most relative to the conditions of the taxation regime. Certainly in the transition period, there will be individuals who, through entreprenurial skill, as capitalists, workers and/or owners of land resources, will gain more than their peer group average. At the same time, many will struggle with the transition. However, as was stated above, all will be better off as compared to the tax regime save those bureaucrats employed to collect the tax and the other net recipients of the tax largess. Since they will be forced to be productive in their own right, or provide the benefit of psychic gain to their patrons if indigent (also a productive endeavor), they will contribute to the real wealth of the economy and cease being a detriment.

Ron August 5, 2008 at 2:35 pm

“In any case, no one has yet presented any reasonable argument for not lowering the taxes.

That’s because such a thing does not exist. ;-)

Daniel August 5, 2008 at 7:46 pm

Respectfully, I think it is to the detriment of the discussion surrounding this topic to focus on presenting reasonable arguments for not lowering taxes (although I wholeheartedly agree that no arguments exist).

A proper starting point is what is a reasonable basis for taxing in the first place, and then take things from there. Tabula Rasa is the appropriate starting point!

P.M.Lawrence August 5, 2008 at 9:56 pm

Stanley Pinchak and others, you do DavidB an injustice. Employer competition would only pass employment cost cuts on to employees if all the reforms led to nearly full employment. If it still stayed significantly short of that, competition would lead to employees leaving much of it with employers as they tried to price themselves into work. The outcome is “a definite maybe”. Personally, I strongly suspect that there are even more market distortions, so that even removing Payroll Tax etc. wouldn’t be enough. The approach suggested by Professor Kim Swales is in effect a Negative Payroll Tax working as a Pigovian subsidy to lower marginal employment costs even more until all the distortions were offset; the marginal costs are what matter.

Ron asks “If the employer is the one with all the power in the equation, why does the average employee earn more than ever before?”

Because that is an average, including CEOs etc. who determine the pay scales. Agency cost issues mean that they and their clique, not owners, determine this sort of thing; that’s the important point with Curt Howland’s “DavidB, you don’t seem to understand that a CEO is just another employee”, a reductio ad absurdum he uses to show that “If the employer had all the power, they wouldn’t be paying their CEO so much, either”. However, the clique doesn’t cover all employees. In recent times the lower quintiles have not been earning more but facing stagnant or even falling incomes.

Stanley Pinchak August 5, 2008 at 11:42 pm

Daniel,
A reasonable basis for taxation must be based on some ethical foundation. The current academic underpinnings for the state are based on utilitarian grounds. Murray Rothbard and Hans-Hermann Hoppe have examined the ethics of utilitarianism in an attempt to get to the bottom of this very question in the “Ethics of Liberty” and “The Economics and Ethics of Private Property,” respectively. Their conclusion is that utilitarianism fails to meet the standard of a true ethics in that it is not universal. Utilitarianism can result in the killing of redheads if the total psychic gain of society were increased by this action…

Instead they come to the conclusion based on logical deductions from the action axiom of praxeology that private property is the only political ethic that is valid. All actions which uphold private property are permissible, any actions which would infringe on private property are a step in the direction of a non universal ethic and result in either the enslavement of the many at the hands of the few, or if the ethic were universal but held that property is jointly held in common (although Rothbard shows that this devolves into a non universal ethic in practice), the result would be the inability for anyone to act because his body is only owned by him to the miniscule amount of 1/(the population of the world) and he would need the remaining population’s permission to act…

Basically it boils down to the fact that taxation is theft. It is contrary to the free market and violates the only consistent political ethic. I highly recommend the above books. The Rothbard book is available in mp3 format on mises.org if you prefer that format.

P.S. Is there any way that Rothbard can be added to the spell checker for this site, or my browser if it is what controls the misspell underlining? I run firefox if that helps.

P.M.Lawrence August 6, 2008 at 1:11 am

Stanley Pinchak and others, you do DavidB an injustice. Employer competition would only pass employment cost cuts on to employees if all the reforms led to nearly full employment. If it still stayed significantly short of that, competition would lead to employees leaving much of it with employers as they tried to price themselves into work. The outcome is “a definite maybe”. Personally, I strongly suspect that there are even more market distortions, so that even removing Payroll Tax etc. wouldn’t be enough. The approach suggested by Professor Kim Swales (see en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Swales) is in effect a Negative Payroll Tax working as a virtual Pigovian subsidy to lower marginal employment costs even more until all the distortions were offset; the marginal costs are what matter.

Ron asks “If the employer is the one with all the power in the equation, why does the average employee earn more than ever before?”

Because that is an average, including CEOs etc. who determine the pay scales. Agency cost issues mean that they and their clique, not owners, determine this sort of thing; that’s the important point with Curt Howland’s “DavidB, you don’t seem to understand that a CEO is just another employee”, a reductio ad absurdum he uses to show that “If the employer had all the power, they wouldn’t be paying their CEO so much, either”. However, the clique doesn’t cover all employees. In recent times the lower quintiles have not been earning more but facing stagnant or even falling incomes.

Stanley Pinchak August 6, 2008 at 11:21 am

P.M.Lawrence,
workers are paid the equivalent of their discounted marginal revenue product. When taxes reduce the revenue to a firm, the wages of employees and ground rents absorb the tax. In the tax regime the workers are still paid the amount of their discounted marginal revenue product, It just is smaller than before the tax. When the tax is removed. The wages of workers and ground rents will increase. If they were not to increase, the employer would earn pure profit on the difference. This encourages other entrepreneurs to compete for this profit. The bidding action of the entrepreneurs quickly eliminates the pure profit, raises wages to the new discounted marginal revenue product, and leaves the entrepreneurs to make their normal income in interest. To suggest that the employers can develop and maintain a cartel in the absence of government intervention is preposterous.

By the way, the Pigovian tax assumes that entrepreneurs can pass the cost of the tax on to the consumer. This is not possible. If entrepreneurs were able to raise the prices of their goods, why did they not do it before the tax and reap the pure profit? No, the incedence of sales taxes is on the original factors, not on the consumer. Rothbard goes over this in Power and Market when he discusses binary intervention.

Stanley Pinchak August 6, 2008 at 11:29 am

Furthermore, the concept of a Negative Payroll Tax makes absolutely no sense. For where are the funds for such a scheme to be had? Some other tax? Like a sales tax or capital gains tax? Both of these have their incidence on labor wages and ground rents. So you would suggest that all taxes be placed on ground rents in practice? What will you do when this has the unintended consequence of removing marginal land from productive use and thus leads to the unemployment of many more workers? More taxes?

P.M.Lawrence August 6, 2008 at 9:10 pm

Stanley Pinchak writes “…The bidding action of the entrepreneurs quickly eliminates the pure profit, raises wages to the new discounted marginal revenue product, and leaves the entrepreneurs to make their normal income in interest. To suggest that the employers can develop and maintain a cartel in the absence of government intervention is preposterous.”

Of course it’s preposterous. Don’t make it up. Who ever suggested that? The thing is, there may well be yet other distortions – interventions, if you prefer – besides the direct ones, so simply removing the direct ones wouldn’t be enough.

He also writes “By the way, the Pigovian tax assumes that entrepreneurs can pass the cost of the tax on to the consumer”.

No, it doesn’t – and anyway, what is being discussed is a virtual Pigovian subsidy, not a tax.

He goes on “Furthermore, the concept of a Negative Payroll Tax makes absolutely no sense. For where are the funds for such a scheme to be had? Some other tax? Like a sales tax or capital gains tax? Both of these have their incidence on labor wages and ground rents.”

If he had bothered to follow up the reference, he would have found that the Kim Swales approach is self contained and does not require funding. That means that when he continues…

“So you would suggest that all taxes be placed on ground rents in practice? What will you do when this has the unintended consequence of removing marginal land from productive use and thus leads to the unemployment of many more workers? More taxes?”

…he is completely making it up. I mean, where does he get ground rents from, for instance? He is just reaching for his usual suspects.

Scott Stinson August 6, 2008 at 10:09 pm

I think it would do us all some good to see where DavidB is coming from before attacking all of his ideas.

It is highly possible that getting rid of minimum wage and eliminating alot of taxes and mandatory benefits could lead to full employment. But before any of you economists start drooling over that possibility, think for a moment of all the other things in the economy that are against the workers.

For example, higher gas and higher food prices. While lower wages could lower the price of some items like shoes, don’t expect energy and food prices to go down any time soon. If Government seriously wants to help people out on those things, it could allow for things like mixed-use zoning laws to cut down on transportation costs, as well as allow more people to do farming activities in suburban neighborhoods.

Another big thing going against the worker, which another poster pointed out, is the printing press. The printing press too often gets used to boost stock prices, along with the CEO’s salary, but has the effect of diminishing the earning power of the worker’s wages.

Stanley Pinchak August 6, 2008 at 11:39 pm

P.M.Lawrence,
You read this econometric mumbo jumbo and believe that it will work as modelled? I bet it works about as well as full employment policies have for the national banks lately.

“Such subsidies improve, rather than impair, productive efficiency by offsetting market failures in other parts of the economy. They restore, rather than distort, appropriate price signals. They do not rob the private sector of resources but reallocate resources within that sector. As we have seen, such subsidies generate an expansion, not contraction, of private sector economic activity. Further if such subsidies can be packaged as tax rebates the possibility occurs of a simultaneous fall in taxation and increase in employment.”

Forgive me if I have doubts that further state intervention can correct prior state intervention. I have yet to see a case of this. Furthermore you can tell that these are the clothiers for the emperor when they speak of market failures. “Reallocation”, newspeak for robbing peter to pay paul, nice. Furthermore, their

“That is to say, the introduction of a new tax scheme would simultaneously increase employment and reduce taxation.”

I believe that this happens immediately after the fires of hell are iced over. Do you really mean to tell me that you believe in Kim Swales’ ability to make a reality of the neutral tax chimera. See Rothbard: Section 7 in the following link.

http://mises.org/rothbard/mes/chap16e.asp

“Indeed, in some simulations reported in Table 2 increased employment in low income groups occurs partly at the expense of lower employment and real wages for higher-wage sectors of the labour force. At the very least, policy makers should be aware of these possible distributional implications.”

Thanks Kim, no further comment.

P.M.Lawrence August 7, 2008 at 10:20 pm

Stanley Pinchak wrote “You read this econometric mumbo jumbo and believe that it will work as modelled? I bet it works about as well as full employment policies have for the national banks lately.”

This is a statement of his faith, not an argument. He also accuses me of simply believing. As it happens, that is not where I am coming from. Rather, I arrived at the same thing by separate reasoning drawn from game theory, which I outline at my publications page users.beagle.com.au/peterl/publicns.html. That is, I checked it independently.

He also wrote “Forgive me if I have doubts that further state intervention can correct prior state intervention. I have yet to see a case of this.”

He hasn’t looked. This is precisely what Pigovian taxes and subsidies do, in the special cases where they apply, although of course there are non-state alternatives. There is plenty of literature on the area, if he wanted to look, e.g. starting by following up what’s in the wikipedia article. If he doesn’t look, that’s just more faith along the lines of “my mind is made up, do not confuse me with the facts”. What is more, it’s not actually further state intervention, it’s a tax break reducing a tax that is already there in the UK where he is and in Australia where I am. Technically, immediately on introduction it would be revenue neutral for the government, and after that it would be budget neutral while revenue fell in lock step with outgoings on unemployment benefits as employment rose.

‘Furthermore you can tell that these are the clothiers for the emperor when they speak of market failures. “Reallocation”, newspeak for robbing peter to pay paul, nice.’

Actually, no – it’s taking back from Paul what he was given from Peter’s, and restoring it to Peter.

He continues ‘”That is to say, the introduction of a new tax scheme would simultaneously increase employment and reduce taxation.” I believe that this happens immediately after the fires of hell are iced over. Do you really mean to tell me that you believe in Kim Swales’ ability to make a reality of the neutral tax chimera.’

More belief, together with a mistaken accusation about my beliefs. This is not meant to be a neutral thing – that would be pointless. It’s supposed to apply a bias in the opposite direction to distortions that are already there. It doesn’t contradict the material at the Rothbard link in any way.

P.M.Lawrence August 7, 2008 at 10:24 pm

Sorry – I should have written “it’s a tax break reducing a tax that is already there in the UK where Kim Swales is and in Australia where I am”.

fundamentalist August 8, 2008 at 8:18 am

PM Lawrence: “The approach suggested by Professor Kim Swales (see en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Swales) is in effect a Negative Payroll Tax working as a virtual Pigovian subsidy to lower marginal employment costs even more until all the distortions were offset; the marginal costs are what matter.”

The problem with subsidies is where do you get the money to fund them? A subsidy is a payment from the state to a private company. The money must come from higher taxes or greater borrowing from the state, both of which lower worker productivity. A lot of bad economists have tried to substitute the economic principle that productivity raises wages. But productivity increases require businesses to invest in new equipment. Higher taxes dimish the ability of companies to do that, as does greater borrowing by the state. All Swales’s plan would accomplish is transferring money from tax payers to subsidized workers, but only after the state had wasted half of it through administrative expenses.

Ron asks “If the employer is the one with all the power in the equation, why does the average employee earn more than ever before?”
The only answer that economics offers is that worker productivity has increased due to capital accumulation and better technology. Ideologies offer dozens of explanations, but there is only one from economics.

P.M.Lawrence August 8, 2008 at 8:17 pm

Fundamentalist quotes me, “The approach suggested by Professor Kim Swales (see en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Swales) is in effect a Negative Payroll Tax working as a virtual Pigovian subsidy to lower marginal employment costs even more until all the distortions were offset; the marginal costs are what matter”, then comments “The problem with subsidies is where do you get the money to fund them? A subsidy is a payment from the state to a private company.”

That is a fair comment about an actual subsidy, apart from being too narrow about the recipients. That is why I prefer to describe the Swales approach as in effect a virtual subsidy, since it is self contained, needs no funding, and works by reducing tax burdens rather than supplying funds. That makes Fundamentalist’s next few sentences accurate about actual subsidies, but not to the point here.

Picking up after that, he goes on “All Swales’s plan would accomplish is transferring money from tax payers to subsidized workers, but only after the state had wasted half of it through administrative expenses”.

No. the whole point is, by cutting down the total tax take instead, it doesn’t go through that churning but rather goes direct from employer to employee without transfers. That is, Australian and UK unemployment benefits already do get channelled that way, from tax payers via government systems to the unemployed. This winds that back; it’s the unemployment benefit system along with the revenue base funding it that is the current market distortion, and the Swales approach is a Pigovian counter to it. Long term, of course, I would prefer a Coasian solution, but as it happens this one is fast acting and makes for a good transitional phase, eliminating one part of state intervention to be going on with.

Fundamentalist hasn’t picked up on what I pointed out about the average employee, that the average is of two very different sorts of employee, including CEOs etc.

fundamentalist August 8, 2008 at 8:59 pm

PM Lawrence: “Swales approach as in effect a virtual subsidy, since it is self contained, needs no funding, and works by reducing tax burdens rather than supplying funds.”

Unless the state cuts spending, the tax reduction for the “virtual” subsidies will have to be made up by higher taxes on another group of people. Any government that believes such subsidies will actually help anyone is socialist and will never cut spending.

PM Lawrence: “…the average is of two very different sorts of employee, including CEOs…”

There are more than two groups and the majority of people are clustered in the middle.

PM Lawrence: “In recent times the lower quintiles have not been earning more but facing stagnant or even falling incomes.”

That’s correct. People at the top know how to take advantage of our socialist state and earn exceptional returns, while those at the bottom suffer. High taxes, regulation and inflation prevent businesses from investing in equipment that will increase labor productivity and wages. This a problem with our socialist policies, not with any aspect of the marketplace.

P.M.Lawrence August 8, 2008 at 10:19 pm

Fundamentalist asserts that ‘Unless the state cuts spending, the tax reduction for the “virtual” subsidies will have to be made up by higher taxes on another group of people’.

Have another look at the mechanism. Here in Australia, GST (VAT by another name) is currently set at 10%. With the Swales approach, that percentage would go up, but the tax breaks would come in at the same time as well. My estimate for those would be a little over A$10,000 p.a. per full time employee and pro rata for others, to equal typical unemployment benefits plus marginal on costs. The total GST take would not go up or down the day it came in, but would fall as more and more of the unemployed were hired. I agree, with a GST as the carrying tax, at first some GST payers would pay more and others less, although later pretty much all would pay less. However, this is a feature of the carrying tax, and it would be simple enough to adjust for it by using different percentages for different industry sectors or using a different carrying tax. It’s probably not worth it, as we would be stuck with a varying rate system even after the transition to overall lower payments, which would be quite quick (months rather than years).

In Australia, a quirk of GST is that the federal level collects it but sends all the take to the states. I would really like to see the Swales approach implemented here without a percentage rise, so that the states would have to cut their spending. After all, the federal government only has a commitment not to keep any of it, not a commitment not to wind it back.

Any government that believes such subsidies will actually help anyone is socialist and will never cut spending.

Fundamentalist quotes me, “…the average is of two very different sorts of employee, including CEOs… In recent times the lower quintiles have not been earning more but facing stagnant or even falling incomes” (slightly rearranged for clarity), and comments “There are more than two groups and the majority of people are clustered in the middle… People at the top know how to take advantage of our socialist state and earn exceptional returns, while those at the bottom suffer. High taxes, regulation and inflation prevent businesses from investing in equipment that will increase labor productivity and wages. This a problem with our socialist policies, not with any aspect of the marketplace.”

I never said it was a problem with hypothetical free markets, I only said it was what was happening. However, that part about being clustered in the middle isn’t right. There is a graph referenced in the Art of the Possible post theartofthepossible.net/2008/07/21/when-you-see-a-turtle-sitting-on-a-fencepost illustrating “Virtually the entire increase in economic output over the past thirty years has gone to the rentier classes and to corporate management” at washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2007_12/012733.php (based on afferentinput.blogspot.com/2007/12/if-america-had-100-and-100-people.html). That does show a basic separation into two main groups, showing that, as I said, “the lower quintiles have not been earning more but facing stagnant or even falling incomes”. I don’t think it’s that bad here in Australia, though.

P.M.Lawrence August 8, 2008 at 10:26 pm

Oops – I forgot to quote “Any government that believes such subsidies will actually help anyone is socialist and will never cut spending” – yes, that is the kind of government we have. That is probably why they reject the Swales approach – because it would help, by working them out of a (large part of their) job.

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