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Source link: http://archive.mises.org/7155/gilbert-let-banks-fail/

Gilbert: Let Banks Fail

September 18, 2007 by

In an opinion piece on Bloomberg, Mark Gilbert writes

    The correct number of banks to fail when a credit bubble bursts is not zero. If the best way to avoid the mispricing of risk in future is to sacrifice some of the less-prudent lenders on the altar of liquidity, then let the culling commence. That is especially the case if it erases the perception that central banks will always act as lenders of last resort, even to institutions that don’t deserve to survive.
This is the only piece that I can remember seeing outside of Austrian circles identifying central bank bailouts of commercial banks as a moral hazard promoting excessive risk-taking and advocating that banks be allowed to fail.

Gilbert discusses remarks by UK central banker Mervyn King, who stated,

    “The provision of such liquidity support undermines the efficient pricing of risk by providing ex post insurance for risky behavior,” .[and] “That encourages excessive risk-taking, and sows the seeds of a future financial crisis.” [and] helping commercial banks salvage their “risky or reckless lending” is especially dangerous because it “encourages the view that as long as a bank takes the same sort of risks that other banks are taking then it is more likely that their liquidity problems will be insured ex post by the central bank.”
Gilbert describes the problem as follows:
    Banking is essentially a confidence trick. Depositors have to be confident they can draw freely from their accounts. Retailers have to be confident swiping a rectangle of plastic in exchange for goods and services will produce a balance transfer in their favor.
    And the banks themselves have to be confident they and their peers have sufficient assets to meet their liabilities.
    For now, that confidence has evaporated as hedge funds and structured investment vehicles and conduits — spawned while the credit-market party was hopping — come knocking at the door for handouts because the music has stopped. And thus, the banking community wants the central banks to soothe its hangover and refill the punchbowl by cutting official interest rates.

Gilbert comes closer than any mainstream financial writer that I have seen in identifying the true cause of the problem, but stops just short. As an Austrian I see the problem in the conflation of deposit banking and credit banking, which has created hybrid (or better “low-brid”) financial institutions known as fractional reserve banks that can lend out customer deposits while at the same time promising that they are to be available on demand. Fractional reserve banks are always subject to bankruptcy, not because a mismatch in the time structure of assets and liabilities, but because of (as de Soto explains in his book) the contradictory nature of their legal contract with depositors. Fractional reserve banks are inherently “a house of cards”.

{ 5 comments }

William H. Stoddard September 18, 2007 at 8:36 am

Actually, the comment about banking being a confidence trick sounds awfully close to the Rothbardian criticism of fractional reserve banking.

Jean Paul September 18, 2007 at 11:57 am

I don’t see why it’s so essential that money have the special property of being redeemable on demand at some pegged rate for some particular non-money asset.

Seems all the problems with money flow from this rigid constraint.

Under free banking, almost certainly the most successful money would simply be a fund share in a hugely diversified (thus averaging all the ups and downs of the economy as a whole and thus very stable) portfolio of assets. The bank – i.e. the entity that manages the fund and manages the provision of the convenient technology of exchange, whether metal discs or pieces of paper or bytes in a database or whatever – would offer no guaranteed redeemability on the money.

In other words trades-of-money-for-non-money-assets made with the bank itself are no different than trades-of-money-for-non-money-assets made with other economic actors: all trades are final. The money ends up being worth not what the bank claims to promise it is worth, but rather whatever you can trade it for on the market.

Fundamentalist September 18, 2007 at 12:36 pm

I agree completely that banks should be allowed to fail, but what happens is that the media focus on the individuals who lose their money, not the bank that made bad loans. Look at the current mortgage fiasco. All media attention is on the poor home owners who might lose their homes. No one wants to bail out the stupid mortgage companies; they want to bail out the “victims”, the borrowers. It doesn’t bother them that bailing out the victims also bails out the perps at the same time.

Alex Davidson September 18, 2007 at 7:29 pm

This piece published yesterday refers to the moral hazard:
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22435413-643,00.html

Artisan September 19, 2007 at 5:25 am

Jean Paul
“the most successful money would be thus averaging all the ups and downs of the economy as a whole and thus very stable”

Isn’t that a bit unrealistic? We’re speaking about world market so don’t expect the entire world to be practicing sound monetary (credit) politics at once. Fluctuations of your “monetary fund” could be the mere consequences of central banking activities.

In any account your solution would be more risky than gold standard, and less practical.

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