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Source link: http://archive.mises.org/3608/a-war-that-cannot-be-won/

A War That Cannot Be Won

May 20, 2005 by

Like FDR, George Bush got his war, but Bush went his Democratic predecessor one better—a big one better. Bush’s war is against an “enemy” that never will—indeed, never can—surrender: Terror itself. And unlike the metaphorical wars on Drugs and Poverty launched by intervening presidents, this war is a real one, involving tanks and bombers, soldiers and sailors, and enormous expenditures on war materiel, and just as unwinnable. FULL ARTICLE

{ 89 comments }

Dewaine May 22, 2005 at 7:09 pm

The U.S. was founded by a group of anti-tax secessionists.

It was a good idea then; it is a better idea now.

billwald May 22, 2005 at 10:38 pm

We can stop fighting foreign wars. Pull back all the troops and put them on our borders inspecting people and containers. Issue every person an ID chip. Use the navy strictly to keep the sea lanes open. Let the businesses assume all the risks of foreign trade. Can’t think of an intermediate solution.

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 1:02 am

RE: “You have presented a complete conviction that it is a matter of vital importance that every American, willing and unwilling, commit violent war upon the Muslim nations.”

If so, please show me where I said such a thing, and try to do so without avoiding the context. This statement is, of course, not an argument at all. Perhaps you have spent too much time arguing with leftists. This is their favorite tactic since it is emotive rather than rational.

RE: “..present your personal embodiment of your convictions…”

While I make no particular claims to eloquence, I see no evidence that you understand anything I’ve said at all. I thought you were a troll. Now I know you’re just an unworthy opponent.

Since I have put forth an attack on your underlying argument, opened a series of substantive questions, and left open multiple avenues which you could easily pursue had you the skill, and you have not responded except with attacks on form or with misdirection, then this is not an honest debate, so we’ll have to agree to disagree.

-Cheers

David Heinrich May 23, 2005 at 8:22 am

Curt Doolittle,

You haven’t presented any justification for the so-called “war on terror” (which is in fact a war of terrorism by the US government), nor have you in any way rebutted the original author’s arguments. You’ve erected strawmen arguments, as can clearly be shown by your assertions (or implications) that anyone here is denying that terrorists exist or that they’re a threat.

And regarding the threats of terrorism, you’ve done nothing to rebut those who argue that terrorism isn’t as much a threat as the US government says it is, but that it’s actually provoked by US imperialism. You’ve merely made assertions.

PS: A tip: You should not need to format comments posted to the Mises Blog with HTML-hypertags, unless you want to emphasis something or strong something. If you wish to manually separate your paragraphs, however, you should use the paragraph [P] tag instead of the line-break [BR] tag.

Curt Howland May 23, 2005 at 10:01 am

Curt Doolittle,

This statement is, of course, not an argument at all.

That is because I am not arguing with you. I am asking that you present some evidence that you are not telling others to fight your battles for you.

so we’ll have to agree to disagree.

Do you comprehend what that actually means? That means no taxes, no draft, no prohibitions, in fact no “war” at all.

However, since you advocate aggressive foreign war funded by taxation, it is you who are not allowing me to disagree.

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 10:52 am

RE: “You haven’t presented any justification for the so-called “war on terror” (which is in fact a war of terrorism by the US government), nor have you in any way rebutted the original author’s arguments. You’ve erected strawmen arguments, as can clearly be shown by your assertions (or implications) that anyone here is denying that terrorists exist or that they’re a threat.

And regarding the threats of terrorism, you’ve done nothing to rebut those who argue that terrorism isn’t as much a threat as the US government says it is, but that it’s actually provoked by US imperialism. You’ve merely made assertions.”

Sigh…

Please paraprhase my argument to show that you have some understanding of it, and so that we can find a few more narrow points to debate. I can easily understand your argument, because it is quite simple, but I have yet no evidence that you understand mine, and absent that feedback, this is not a debate. It is merely an attempt by you to control the floor of a speech, by which you hope by simplicity and emotion to sway an absent but assumedly immature audience.

I argued, not for the war, but against absolute pacifism, and the reasoning you, the author of the article, (and some other fellow) were using. I did not say the war in Iraq and the war in afghanistan were good ideas. I said that the method you were using to criticize them was inadequate to the task, and that as such you had not proven that they were bad ideas.

The set of objections you use to answer the argument of those who disagree with you is simply an error in your thinking. I tried to show this discord along a number of axes. This is a means of argument for complex problems. Since all ideologies that predict future events using partial knowledge require these axes, and that any argument against them must resolve the differences using the same relative positioning in these axes, or they are errors in categorization, which is to say, they are simply errors in understanding. You may be only be experienced with arguments as to statefulness rather to equlibria on multiple axes, but again, this tendency to simplicity is an ignorance to a time axis that implies a neccessary rather than axial utility, and this is the source of many such conflicts. And this is yet another set of ideas that, given current circumstances, I think is far to weighty for this discussion.

But back to matters at hand: Protestant Christianity produced the only social and ethical framework for modern capitalism. It did so for a number of reasons. And it succeeded in producing widespread prosperity for specific reasons, using many ideas that are not rational on face value. Some of them are just plain unpleasant. Those reasons are in conflict with your underlying framework, which will only work in a smaller population that is fairly heterogeneous, and hopefully hosted by another society with a longer average time preference.

I asked the question in a previous post, of how you would extend the time preference of a body of diverse people. If you can answer this question, you will be better able to argue your position. So, while I would agree with you as to the optimum state, and the optimum mechanics, and the optimum result of any anarchic society, I would counter that it is impossible to implement, and even if achieved, would be impossible to maintain. Something which Veblen covers a bit in the Theory of the Liesure Class.

The technique I am using employs a similar but more precise (perhaps analytical) argument than Sowell uses in A Conflict of Visions, which shows how underlying assumptions about the nature of the universe make a resolution of the debate an impossiblity. I used arguments to necessity for the aggregation and transfer of knowledge, which cannot be wrong unless you believe we are gifted our knowledge from heaven. These are not trivial arguments, and they certainly aren’t straw men. And in this argument I am using a higher level of precision than you use, based upon absolute necessity, not ideological shorthand and platitudes, and it is not one that is incoherent, simply one that is less accessible because of the knowledge required to wield it. If your argument is that I need a better marketing agent, well, then, I’ll have to make due with a more limited customer base, but that does not change the validity of the argument.

You could argue that the purpose of zealotry is to exaggerate and generate momentum in a direction. And to that end, I would support your agenda. But to argue to more concrete ends, is something I cannot agree with, because such thinking is not supported by logic, history or facts.

That being said, either enter the debate, understand it or let’s just not bother. While the eventual outcome may only be that you choose to keep your current thinking, (I think it is your reason for existance so you must) and there is some evidence that road-to-damascus conversions are nigh on impossible, especially for zealots, (who I agree have utility, but I’m not a statist so entergies are best spent elsewhere) you certainly will not win the debate, other than through nullification by fillibuster.

-Cheers

Michael A. Clem May 23, 2005 at 10:53 am

Individual rights tend to get lost in collective causes. Or “so this is how freedom ends…to thunderous applause.”

Curt Howland May 23, 2005 at 11:13 am

Curt Doolittle,

Protestant Christianity produced the only social and ethical framework for modern capitalism.

Only if you ignore the Catholic Scholastics.

perrosuelto May 23, 2005 at 11:37 am

The old philosopher, if it’s not wrong, take full target on this Curt Do Little guy apology: it’s the rubbish “manifest destiny” of the SUPERIORITY of America GIVEN by God to protect, spread and impose the real civilization to “others” all of them: old europe, latinos, immature people around the world and obviously dirty society like muslims, underdeveloped etc. It’s a long cultural bias, nothing new, coming back to the first arrivals of settlers. It’s strange that the Mises audience here don’t take early this fanatic line of tought.

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 11:40 am

Curt Howland,

RE:“This statement is, of course, not an argument at all.”

“That is because I am not arguing with you. I am asking that you present some evidence that you are not telling others to fight your battles for you.”

Um, I hazard to guess, but isn’t that an argument? Yes, I am fairly sure, so, moving onward…

I can only answer this with a deeper question: Do human rights (or the equivalent) exist, and if they do, are they purely temporal, or are they intertemporal? Do they extend into the past, and into the future? And what is the implication if they do not?

Forgive me for borrowing a bit from Lao Tzu, but this is the most effective shorthand for these kinds of things.

You see, I understand the debate. I understand both sides, I know the differences, and the underlying assumptions and values. I can’t tell if you don’t know them or can’t know them, or whether you just conveniently avoid them. But your line of thinking is very simple, and the epistemic device it uses to make predicate judgements is an error. You may choose to employ it. And it may be because you cannot see a longer time axis. But methusela and the mayfly have different philosophies, because they must. To each of them, time is a different scarcity and actions a different utility.

As I said before, socialists deny ignorance and take action, and pacifists deny knowledge and fail to act. Both are problems. Both are epistemic errors. Both are suicidal.

Perhaps I should find comfort that Darwin will get his due.

-Cheers

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 11:52 am

Michael Clem,

Hello Michael, I didn’t know you visited here as well. I thought you travelled only on the newsgroups.

RE: “Individual rights tend to get lost in collective causes. Or ‘so this is how freedom ends…to thunderous applause.’”

No argument from me. Of course, that isn’t the point I’m making, or even countering. I’m trying to point out that the arguments in use are not able to refute those of the opponents, and the mechanics of why. I’m saying that such arguments won’t change an opponent’s mind. It’s like Hoppe’s argument against democracy: sure it doesn’t work, but we had problems with monarchy too. These are equilibrium problems. Not state problems. While a state gives you something to aim at, you have to create equilibria to maintain it in a population. (State as in statful, not state as in government.)

-Cheers

David Heinrich May 23, 2005 at 12:04 pm

Curt,

The only one here who has completely failed to understand what is being said here is yourself, and you’re hiding it in an air of self-indulgent and long-whinded rhetoric. I doubt anyone reading this is impressed by your fuzzy “use” of the English language, and would suggest you consider taking a look at Orwell’s Politics and the English Language.

You are erecting strawmen, and doing so again and again. You’ve accused individuals here of “absolute pacifism”. Either you do not understand what pacifism means, or you do not understand the position of the original author, or you’re erecting a strawman intentionally. Pacificism is a philsophy under which all use of coercive force is considered immoral. While there are some pacifists here, the more general opinion would be that initiating aggression (or coercive force) is criminal. Even excusing your strawman argument, you haven’t demonstrated any deficiency with absolute pacifism. This is because you apparently fail to understand what it means to say something is “wrong”. To say that using coercive force is wrong does not mean that you believe that there could ever be a state of affairs where no coercive force is ever used, anymore than does to say that initiating aggression is a criminal act is to say that you ever believe there could be a state of affairs where no initiation of aggression occurs.

You apparently cannot separate an argument of morality from one of practicality to achieve certain ends. Obviously, everyone desires to be free of terrorism. That is an ends. There are some means which are capable of accomplishing this, and others which aren’t. I’d argue that in addition to being completely unable to eliminate or reduce terrorism (certainly not in the long run, and not likely in the short-run), military imperialism is furthermore an immoral and criminal means: both because it necessitates the initiation of aggression against foreign citizens (murder), and because it necessitates the initiation of aggression against citizens at home (taxation/inflation). These, of course, are also tied up in a practical aspect, in that foreign aggression provides the motivation for anti-US terrorism, and that economic destruction at home (taxes, inflation, the business cycle, enormous debt-levels, etc) dampen the capacity for self-defense.

Showing that something is immoral and criminal is a refutation of it. We can also show that these wars are unable to achieve their stated ends. You also conveniently overlooked one of the original author’s posts: this is a “war on terror”; that is, a war against an abstract idea or category of people, and a war that will thus be unending, as in 1984.

Your argument is so fundamentally flawed that one scarcely knows where to begin in rebutting it. Firstly, the reality is that — contrary to what you’re saying — the “war on terror” is going to foster more terrorism in the long-term. If we want to reduce terrorism, the means able to achieve that would be to quickly cease our militarily imperialistic ventures in the Middle East. Secondly, of course individuals have the right to defense themselves: but only using the means that they rightfully own. I’m entitled to defend myself, but not to steal from you to assist me in doing so. Anyone who thinks that the best solution to terrorism is to engage in offensive warfare have the right to use your own money and resources to do such, provided they only retaliate against actual aggressors. The world would be much better off if these nuts bankrupted themselves. Thirdly, your assertions that “anarchy” is impossible is merely that: a baseless assertion, undermined by the reality that there are historical examples of Stateless socities existing for for hundreds of years, and one example of a Stateless society that existed for a millenium (approximately 3 times longer than the US has currently existed, and it is arguable that the US was a different form of government after the Civil War). Of course, if by “anarchy” you mean a state of affairs where there is no initiation of aggression, you are probably right: it is almost impossible that there could ever exist a state of affairs where there is no initiation of aggression (e.g., there are no criminals). Of course, no-one arguing for anarchism believes that this will result from it; merely that it is more stable, more prosperous, more in alignment with human nature, and more safe than any other conceivable system.

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 12:08 pm

Dear perrosuelto,

RE: “Destiny…Superiority…”

I think nothing of the sort, if you mean superiority such that one can compel others. On the other hand, I acknowledge it’s superiority of capitalization, production and innovation. I also acknowledge that when you think of these things, you think of the 20th century america and it’s messianic imperial government. And when I speak of values and ideas, I speak of what existed prior to that time, and what remains of the culture despite the rise of that heinous government, and all it’s destructive ends.

What some see as offense, others see as defense. It is this time frame and the population affected, as well as the means of economic sustainance that are the lenses through which people see the world.

To conduct a debate, one must understand the other’s position, and argue against it’s foundation. Otherwise the debate is futile.

-Cheers

David Heinrich May 23, 2005 at 12:12 pm

I’m trying to point out that the arguments in use are not able to refute those of the opponents

Actually, yes they are capable of refuting those argument on moral grounds.

I’m saying that such arguments won’t change an opponent’s mind.

Only if you think that all advocates of war would be completely unswayed by an argument that their actions are criminal and immoral.

Furthermore, there are also practical arguments against the “war on terror”: that it cannot achieve it’s stated end, and that it results in numerous undesireable consequences.

But, even if true, so what? It is one thing to show a proof that 2+2=4 and quite another to be able to convince an ass of that.

The means of convincing someone that the “war on terror” is not a good idea may, in some cases, be different from the demonstrations that this war is both necessarily immoral and impractical. To that end, any conceivable means (that don’t invovle initiating aggression) are possibly under consideration, and the only question is whether or not they will be effective means. E.g., demonstration of immorality and criminality, demonstration of impracticality and negative consequences, rhetoric, appeal to authority (e.g., the Bible), demagoguery, verbal bullying, hyperbole, etc. The only question regarding the means beyond demonstrating immorality/criminality and impracticlity is their long-term effectiveness (e.g., lying will probably backfire).

Michael A. Clem May 23, 2005 at 12:50 pm

Curt Doolittle,
There aren’t too many boards that I spend much time on–I still prefer the ease of use of newsgroups, even with the spam.
My comments were, of course, directed towards those who are supporting the War on Terrorism and the Iraqi conflict. I can see where your comments are intended as constructive criticism, but also why they might not be perceived as such.
You raise many points worth discussing, I think there are some flaws in some of your points, but they deserve more space than this blog can conveniently provide. Besides, I’m at work and don’t have time for long comments. ;-)

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 1:14 pm

David,

Thank you. Finally something specific to debate. Although, it might do to play a little better tag here, because we’re inter-posting.

“Pacificism is a philsophy under which all use of coercive force is considered immoral.”

Yes. But why? And what do you mean by immoral? Why does this term exist and what does it mean? Along what time and population axes? I am quite sure you mean “the person I know” and “a time I can understand”. You use the word “Criminal” as well as does the author, but your opponents disagree with this categorization, because again, this criminal is someone you know, or can know. The problem is the actionabilty of knowledge. And don’t think I’m denying the individual and short term axes of this problem. I’m not. While I’m aware of both, I can’t tell if you are.

To possess any vision of right and wrong, you must follow any statement with “because it leads to X”. Again, this is a conflict of visions. You presume a binary universe, with an implied X. Others presume differently. You are making an ideological argument to absolutism that must have some utility, or else it is meaningless.

RE: “You apparently cannot separate an argument of morality from one of practicality to achieve certain ends.”

I’m not sure whether you mean certain, as in “knowingly absolute” or certain as in “specific”. I will assume that you mean “specific”.

You are apparently unaware that any argument to morality is an argument to utility for some assumed end, and it is an epistemic device for the optimum achievement of that end. It is either that, or it is a religion, and must rely upon a diety of absolute knowledge. I am sorry to add that, because it’s a distraction, but that is the eventual outcome of that line of thinking.

RE: “Obviously, everyone desires to be free of terrorism…”

This paragraph is the critical part of the debate. Which is, to convince people that the threat can be abated, and by what specific actions, and with what guarantees. It is not ideological arguments to pacificsm and trade. No one can really disagree. But this mixes the general and specific.

RE: “..dampen the capacity for self-defense..”

Im not sure that is proven by the numbers. I would agree with you if you take a long term perspective, but this denies a population’s ability to reorganize and alter it’s system in response to prior mistakes. As Hayek said, America is fairly good at this, because our only social bond is essentially our messianic vision and economic utility. This allows us to change quickly.

RE: “Showing that something is immoral and criminal is a refutation of it.”

Well, that’s a judgement that’s only possible if one ebraces the entire framework. In effect it’s circular if one does not. In this case, it is circular.

RE: “…Stateless socities existing for for hundreds of years…”

I’m not denying it at all, in fact, I long for it. But these, all of them, exist in an environment, and an environment that permits that existance. I do not see that environment with twelve billion people on the planet many of whom may well experience either shortages, envy or rapid change which they do not wish to embrace, because they have neither the knowedge, the cultural ability to reorganize, nor the resources to adjust to new circumstances. For some of these people, this is a question of survival. The will not go quietly into the night.

RE: ” Of course, if by “anarchy” you mean a state of affairs where there is no initiation of aggression, you are probably right”

And that is precisely what I’m saying. That and the ocean of difficulties that pour out of it. These things are unachieveable, and since common sense holds this conviction (whether right or wrong, but widely held none the less), then it is under these terms that one makes the argument of persuasion, not one of ideology that assumes a more limited set of circumstances.

This is the same error socialists make: that the principles of the family and tribe, for whom altruism is possible, because knowledge of all people is possible, can be applied to the greater body of men, because sheer time and numbers prohibit this knowledge from forming into something actionable. It is impossible. These connections may be difficult to make, but they exist none the less. While the future is not entirely kaleidic, such statefulness is an illusion of history, a figment of the mind, and not possible to attain.

And this is why your argument, and that of “big L” libertarianism in general, does not propagate well in a body of men. While I hold and firmly believe in these precepts, and love their purity and beauty and promise, I am not so enraptured that I would suffer the outcome of blind obedience to them. Nor would I wish it on my fellow man. This is simply an abdication of reason. It is to ignore knowledge, even if that knowledge is supect, in exchange for an epistemic device that permits one the release of responsibility.

To form a religion, for the purposes of propagation of an idea, is a pragmatic and utilitarian solution. Religions do not require specific knowldge of their hosts, only aggregate action, and by repetition and imitation, like common sense, these methods birth humans of reasonable similarity. To reduce the temporal and population radii of the theories which these religions embody is not a progressive religion, it is an erroneous one. That is the problem. An artificial reduction of the boundaries by which this discussion is held. That does not mean that the underlying principles are not ideals that shoud be pursued, but as ideals, one should never expect them to be achieveable.

While you see me as an opponent, I am merely ally (perhaps an eccentric one) who is trying to get you (collectively) to improve your argument.

Thank you for an insightful and actionable posting.

-Cheers

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 1:28 pm

Michael,

RE: “…ease of use of newsgroups…”

I spent a year doing the groups to get the experience, but I found it repetitious and there were only a few people of merit. (You of course.) I’ve joined a few analytical philosophy groups (who tend to be socialists for obvious reasons, and don’t appreciate my Austrian views), and just communicate with authors directly when I can.

RE: “I can see where your comments are intended as constructive criticism, but also why they might not be perceived as such.”

Well, I do the best I can despite my many flaws. But thanks for noticing. It’s thankless work at times.

RE: “You raise many points worth discussing, I think there are some flaws in some of your points, but they deserve more space than this blog can conveniently provide. Besides, I’m at work and don’t have time for long comments. ;-)

Shucks. I might have had a chance to actually learn something…. Perhaps another time.

-Cheers

Curt Howland May 23, 2005 at 2:09 pm

Curt Doolittle,

I can only answer this with a deeper question:

I guess you missed kindergarten, where most people learn it is impolite to answer a question with a question, especially when the second has nothing what so ever to do with with what was asked in the first place.

I couldn’t agree more, it is a very simple question, with a very simple answer which you certainly know. One which you have been completely unwilling to answer.

So, either you are in Iraq doing what you espouse others to do, or you are a hypocrite. Very simple.

Rolf May 23, 2005 at 2:34 pm

Mr. Curt Doolittle:

In your post to Mr. Perrosuelto is where my reference point comes from. The last sentence of the first paragraph reads,

“And when I speak of values and ideas, I speak of what existed prior to that time, and what remains of the culture dispite the rise of the heinous government and all it’s distructive ends.”

It is a very curious sentence.
Which “Heinous Government and all it’s distructive ends,” are you refering to?

Is your heart buried at wounded knee?

Rolf

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 5:17 pm

RE: “Which “Heinous Government and all it’s distructive ends,” are you refering to?”

This refers to the revisionist history of the US that starts with the Imperial Lincoln, the rise of the federal bank, the imposition of the income tax, the docratization of the senate, the destruction of the gold standard, and the rise of the welfare state. Or, well, something along those lines, depending upon which writer finds what events more important. There are a dozen audio lectures about it on the mises web site, and well, Tom DiLorezo writes quite a bit about Lincoln. I think Thomas Woods delivers these ideas with eloquence and an uncommon humor and his new book The New American History is something that’s worth reading, Block does a great job in lectures and papers, (he’s prolific as well as humorous and informative.)

Pls don’t come after me on this one issue as if I’m opening that debate, it’s not my area of expertise. There are plenty of people at Mises who know more about this topic than I do. If you disagree with it, I won’t feel comfortable debating it, but the person I was debating with is not likely to disagree. That being said, they tend to be arguing for the means of achieving their ends, more than they are the relative merits of other governments. So it’s pretty easy to get wrapped up in two different debates. This kind of revisionist argument is a tactic, and since I argue from a position of mechanics, I think that whether it’s true or not is simply unnecessary to resolving the underlying problem.

I love my country, am proud of the good it’s done, and disappointed at it’s errors. I do not desire perfection from it, just that it be more good than bad. My fear is lies in the growing power of government, the taxation that destroys capitalization and innovation, the cultural political correctness, and the growing democratic socialism which destroy the culture that permits innovation. I see these as greater threats. While we can, if necessary rise up and change a government, common sense values that are calculated by trial and error over generations cannot be so easily replaced, and once lost, there is little evidence in history that they can be regained. There are multiple risks, that cannot be weighed in isolation.

-Cheers

perrosuelto May 23, 2005 at 5:51 pm

I insist to be surprised this audience is taking by behind ass from this Do Little with its foundations of knowledge mantra and his dialectic use of interposing planes of arguments just trying to confound people. But he read bad: in my post i stated clearly that it’s a CULTURE that run trasversally the america foundations with it’s PURITANISM and the “superiority” of its role,absolutely NEW with a cut down with past history from the very beginning of a new land PURE and intact from the corruption of old world, old europe, corrupt rome etc. The convinction that civilization go from east to west, hence america is the last land where all the good and happiness MUST be realized with sense of duty, hardwork, may convert this land the place where god claim the “anglosaxons” to be happy, and to pursue the “manifest destiny” to show OTHER people, considered lazy and corrupt, how really work the full accomplishement of the REAL MANKIND. There are a racial clue on this and this guy is joking with you, Mises fans, fromthe very beginning of the founding fathers: the boundaries of america may be taken before with benevolence like people like kids but when necessary america take the land both purchasing it or by force, depend from concrete circustances. Sothat, at the end of the day, this guy is a little bit ignorant because he don’t know, even, the history of his country, unless this do little, or do nothing, is not an american. Be careful, Mises friends, this guy is here to stay like a bug.

Vanmind May 23, 2005 at 8:05 pm

Well, online disinformationalists are trained to argue ad nauseam for the end effect of maximized opportunity cost.

Vanmind May 23, 2005 at 8:07 pm

Of course, no one here would pull such a stunt…

averros May 23, 2005 at 10:30 pm

Curt –

of course, I oversimplified, and there’s a lot of grey areas.

My point is that advancing technology allows acquisition of significant offensive capabilities by small groups of anonymous individuals, not overtly affiliated with any states.

This presents two problems: first, any WMD-based deterrent becomes worthless, and so is conventional regular army, which is geared to wage the war of attrition. You can’t fight a war if you have no idea where (or who) the enemy is.

Second, the default responce to anonymity of the enemy is massively increased surveilance, which is hugely costly and rather ineffective (the more data you gather, the more false alarms you get), seriously damaging to morale, and destroys exactly what is supposed to be defended.

In other words, there’s no good deterrent, technological or organizational defence against WMDs used by terrorist groups. Controlling proliferation is merely a stalling tactics.

On the other hand, WMDs, by their nature, are only good against compact concentrations of enemy combatants or suppliers. Employing a nuke to kill one person in a large city is, well, insane from the military (or criminal) point of view: there are cheaper ways of doing that without creation of numerous determined enemies or attracting much attention.

So the logic dictates that the only effective way of dealing with WMDs in the long term is to reduce the effectiveness by decentralization of targetable assets (so as to reduce effectiveness of any single hit), disguising them among neutrals and friendlies, and just stopping being an easily identifiable enemy. Note that insurgent forces in Iraq and Chechnya are doing exactly that, and that’s how they are able to hold against the much better equipped and supplied regular armies.

A conventional territorial state is a sitting duck for WMD strikes. If you want to damage it badly you know where it is, it is compact, practically all civilians in the cities are subjects of the states and are taxed or employed by those states – and therefore killing them does damage the target state. As an added benefit, a state presents a single ideological facade to the outside, and so is easily made info a singular enemy by the propaganda.

Because states are such convenient and vulnerable targets, it stands to reason that they will continue attracting attempts by smallish groups to use WMDs and other highly destructive tactics.

Eliminating the territorial monopolies on protection and ideology would, pretty much, achieve the dispersal, commingling, and disidentification of targets, and thus increase the cost/benefit ratio for use of WMDs, hopefully to the point of complete pointlessness. (It still does not exclude the possibility of irrational crazies making things go boom, but makes terrorism useless as a tactics in a sustained conflict).

So it is in the best interest (survival-wise) of populations of the modern states to clamour for dissolution of the states – though I’m not at all optimistic about that happening any time soon, not without massive “incidents” and further slide of democracies into totalitarism with subsequent revolutions and wars, or emergence of some other, possibly technological, factors depriving states of their ability to gather monopoly rents and control information.

Of course, you’ll never hear this kind of analysis from the government defense “experts”.

Curt Doolittle May 23, 2005 at 10:51 pm

perrosuelto,

RE:”I insist to be surprised this audience is taking by behind ass from this Do Little with its foundations of knowledge mantra”

What? You think people are being easy on me? Are you kidding? I am displaying the patience of a saint, spending my valuable time, arguing with the best logic that I can considering the fairly ameturish circumstances, and except for one person (David H) being presented with trivial platitudes, unworthy of a return volley. It’s no wonder that libertarianism doesn’t have popular clout. I’m getting kicked around for giving constructive criticism, the purpose of which is to advance the same agenda, by those people whom I show closest allegiance. If this isnt conformist religious zealotry, I don’t know what is.

And thank you for understanding that its a foundation of knowledge argument. I see at least one person isn’t a philistine. Too bad Michael Clem didn’t pull out his anvil. That might have been an interesting discussion.

RE: “his dialectic use of interposing planes of arguments just trying to confound people”

Well, you’re the only person who actually has understood the argumentative methology I’m using, but I promise you that I’m not trying to confound people. Just the opposite. The process just happens to be confounding because it is difficult and rare. Or at least, rare to others. Hayek was far more artistic than I am. But if one is trying to convey equilibria, then “interposing planes” are, in effect, a fairly natural way of doing so. Because they are interposing planes….. Fancy that.

I wish the language barrier were not present, because I might enjoy a discussion with you. That is, whenever you figure out I’m wouldn’t really disagree with you all that much.

RE: “to show OTHER people”

Well, that’s the part you’re reading into the argument that isn’t there. Thats your baggage. It’s not the part I’m advocating. But acknowledging what ideas lead to other ideas, and what ideas result in economic production is different from projecting force and imperialism. On the other hand, there have to be certain property rights that are fairly common to people with whom you trade. And capital aggregation for investment with people you _don’t_ know, is limited unless they’re universal.

RE: “i stated clearly that it’s a CULTURE that ”

Well, I’m not sure you stated it clearly. I’m being flaggellated for obscurity, but while I’ll forgive your use of english, I’m not sure your use of it is all that clear. It’s certainly better than my Italian, I’ll grant you. But if I’ve made an error in interpretation then you might consider being forgiving as well.

But to answer you: The argument you use in the latter part of your posting is an argument to historicism. It’s the idea that a trend can be derived from the past and applied to the future. I’m not doing that. I’m using the mechanics of knowledge in a population. So, you’re essentially chastizing me for a sequence of reasoning which I didn’t employ, and for an outcome that isn’t necessarily connected to underlying ideas. So, I think you’re making an error. I assume that when you read my earlier posts, you think that I’m advocating expansionist american imperialism, instead of trying to show a number of idiological zealots why their argument doesn’t convince many people, and that’s because it indeed has a few holes. Such tasks are thankless, but someone has to do it.

Again, despite the fact that you are insightful enough to see the structure of the argument I’m using, and to be able to cross the boundaries of politics, sociology, and perhaps a little philosophy, and despite the fact that you’ve accused me of not understanding you, I think, the opposite is more likely true. You do not see the subtelty of the argument, and you are making assumtions that are not present in it, based upon your lack of undertanding of the ideas at hand. I don’t know why you do it. I assume it’s just because you’re either just rehasing other people’s ideas (which given your insight seems unlikely) or leaping to the conclusion that is most easy, rather than giving my argument it’s due. It saddens me because it would probably be worth listening to your criticism if you actually criticized my argument.

RE: “Be careful, Mises friends, this guy is here to stay like a bug.”

Sigh. To be unwanted….. I’ve been around for a while, and been to quite a few Mises conferences. And I give them a bit of money now and then. Whether I’ll continue to spend my time debating the public on an open forum is a different question, but I usually learn how to handle an objection or two from each posting. Frankly, I had higher expectations of a blog from this august body. I do these things to hone my skills. Too many capable people find this work frustrating or tedious. But a lot of good can come from these debates.

While Hans Hoppe has said many times, that too many economists lack the underlying theory, (his PhD is in philosophy, undergrad in sociology I think.) I have been consistently suprised at just how horrifically true that is. Furthermore, just how frequently any group of people, advocating a political agenda, lack that underlying theory. And how many people in general lack even a rudimentarly understanding of logic. It just so happens that libertarians actually advocate just about all the right things. Thank goodness. But that doesn’t make many libertarians good at debate. And that’s unfortunate. We need to be.

-Cheers

perrosuelto May 24, 2005 at 3:23 am

Thanks do little to enlight us with your deep logic and sparsed touch of etheral knowledge in order to let us be more effective and strong and just enjoing the luminescent force of grounding our own (just now poor)believes. So well educated by you, we give you our gratidude and bless us in order we may not loss the state of grace you conferred to us all in this place and in our future. do little, do too much, we are at your feet and give again your cultural benediction meanwhile we stay here open minded to hear your saint “verbo”.Happy?

Curt Doolittle May 24, 2005 at 8:28 am

perrosuelto,

This is, of course, not an argument, but I will debate any that is put forth. So far, only one has been, and it is unsupportable. I will happily surrender to anyone who wins and be thankful for it. And I will do so without stooping to such tactics as you have chosen, in a futile attempt to assuage emotions enflamed by frustration and recognition of failure.

I am aware that it will take hard thinking to counter this argument. And I’m aware that the argument is not commonly used. Or, even, that I may be the only person who might make such an argument. But that is because these ideas are not second-hand, they are not just the convenient spouting of other people’s ideas – and ideas that are apparently not well understood.

To you this may sound arrogant. To me, who actually wants to know the correct answer, it is a fairly honest quest, through debate and study, to attempt to find the answer. And I am confronted with the fact that as yet I see no alternative.

While all Misesian thought is based on the single idea that “man acts” (The Randian equivalent is “man must act to survive” – derived from her argument to existance), I am simply stating that in order to act, man must possess a theory of the future dependent on that action (or else he is not acting, but reacting, and that is not sentience, that is not choice, and man is not man.) This leads to the series of arguments I put forth.

In a field where the network effect of markets is driven by a necessary ignorance, and that this is the main argument against socialism, I find it troublingly telling that the advocates of liberty, make the same mistake, by assuming a unanimity of belief can be achieved. This is the same error as made by socialists, communists and the like. Necessary ignorance, time, and the resulting game theory effect of decison making, make it possible in small populations under certain circumstances, but in the broader body of man, such circumstances appear to be difficult to come by, and nearly impossible to maintain.

-Cheers

Ashish K Hanwadikar May 25, 2005 at 12:46 pm

Curt Howland wrote:

Interesting comments. However, the equation of crime and “terror” doesn’t work. Does the possibility of a crime being committed justify killing someone?

Why am I allowed to own a car capable of breaking the speed limit?

Crimes can be punished, because it is recognized that an individual commits a crime. Someone who commits murder, for instance. If no murder has been committed, there is no crime.

Defense is not proactive. A crime must first have been committed in order for action to be “defensive”.

This “War on Terror”, however, is pro-active
——————————–

Interesting! And I thought that self-defense is always proactive. Imagine if you are about to be attacked by a mugger. Would you wait till a crime has been committed (your wallet is actually stolen) before you defend yourself? I bet you will proactively attack the mugger before he/she harms you.

Michael A. Clem May 25, 2005 at 1:01 pm

Defensive force is “pro-active” in the sense that you are responding to an imminent threat, and thus, don’t have to wait until after the crime is committed. However, the threat must be imminent and obvious–the crime must be in the process of occurring. You aren’t justified in attacking someone simply because you think they’re about to mug you, or because they look at you strangely, or even if they curse you. But if he pulls out a knife, then the threat becomes real and obvious.
The problem with the War in Iraq was the lack of information indicating imminent threat. The War on Terror actually has several problems, of which the imminent threat criteria is one.

Curt Howland May 25, 2005 at 2:44 pm

Thank you, Michael, that’s exactly what I was trying to say. The invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq have nothing to do with defense. “Iraq” and “Afghanistan” were no threat. Some individuals may have used Afghanistan as living space who had attacked people in the US, but that only makes the individuals themselves rational targets of action.

Why Pearl Harbor doesn’t equate: The GOVERNMENT of Japan initiated the attack. No such attribute exists in this “terror” war. Killing citizens of Iraq and Afghanistan is simply murder, there is no rational justification related to “terror”.

The guy at http://www.infowars.com/ points out lots of other things that make attacking those countries rational, but again they have nothing to do with actually trying to prevent “terror”.

Rolf May 25, 2005 at 10:44 pm

Lowell R. provided the link for this poem.
Written by Britian’s imperial poet Rudyard Kipling, The White Man’s Burden,1899
was a response to the American take over of the Phillipines after The Spanish-American War.

The White Man’s Burden

Take up the White Man’s burden-
Send forth the best ye breed-
Go bind your sons to exile
To serve your captives’ need;
To wait in heavy harness,
On fluttered folk and wild,
Your new-caught, sullen peoples,
Half-devil and half child.

Take up the White Man’s burden-
On patience to abide,
To veil the threat of terror
And check the show of pride;
By open speech and simple,
An hundred times made plain
To seek another’s profit,
and work another’s gain.

Take up the white Man’s burden-
To savage wars of peace-
Fill full the mouth of Famine
And bid the sickness cease;
And when your goal is nearest
The end for other’s sought,
Watch sloth and heathen Folly
Bring all your hopes to nought.

Take up the White Man’s burden-
No tawdry rule of kings,
But toil of serf and sweeper-
The tale of common things.
The ports ye shall not enter,
The roads ye shall not tread,
Go mark them with your living,
And mark them with your dead.

Take up the White Man’s burden-
And reap his old reward:
The blame of those ye better,
The hate of those ye guard-
The cry of hosts ye humour
(Ah, slowly!) toward the light:-
“Why brought he us from bondage,
Our loved Egyptian night?”

Take up the White Man’s burden-
Ye dare not stoop to less-
Nor call too loud on Freedom
To cloke your weariness;
By all ye cry or whisper,
By all ye leave or do,
The silent, sullen peoples
Shall weigh your gods and you.

Take up the White Man’s burden-
Have done with childish days-
The lightly proferred laurel,
The easy, ungrudged praise.
Comes now, to search your manhood
Through all the thankless years
Cold, edged with dear-bought wisdom,
The judgment of your peers!

By Rudyard Kipling from Modern History Sourcebook

Ashish K Hanwadikar May 25, 2005 at 11:00 pm

Michael,
I agree that the threat has to be imminent. Saddam Hussein was definitely an imminent threat to allies of US, including Israel, kurdish people, Kuwait and so on. I am sure any conception of self-defense will also include defense of those with whom you have defense pact, either express or implied. US was maintaining overflights to make sure that Saddam couldn’t attack Kurdish people. US was maintaining bases in the Arab region in order to protect Kuwait and other oil-rich countries. And Saddam had earlier attacked Kuwait. So, if your allies are facing immient threat then I believe it is okay to act in the defense of your allies. What do you feel?

Secondly, as per the ceasefire agreement during the first Gulf War, Saddam was supposed to have disarmed and provided weapons inspectors access to Iraq so that they verify that WMDs were indeed destroyed. Saddam did not do provided access to the international inspectors. So, if a criminal violates his terms of probation and refuses access to his property to the cops, and then cops then raid his/her property do you think it is wrong?

The way you talk about Saddam Hussein is as if US and Saddam were total strangers to each other and US attacked Saddam Hussein on mere suspicion of bad conduct!

Joe LaBaw May 26, 2005 at 2:37 pm

Saddam was an imminent threat to US allies back when we were selling him weapons, too.

Paul Edwards May 26, 2005 at 8:48 pm

Ashish: If the threat of which we are speaking is not restricted to an imminent threat against the US, then we can expect Washington to remain embroiled in many of the world’s disputes forever more. Is that really something the taxpayers are willing and able to pay for? Is that really what they have signed up for? In my opinion that objective is way too ambitious, not to mention, dangerous for his nation to undertake.

Doug May 26, 2005 at 10:44 pm

The 9/11 attacks, for all their ferocity, were a local criminal matter and should have been handled by the local police authorities. Upon the local authorities’ investigation showing the sponsorship of a foreign power, or persons beyond the jurisdiction of the particular States, then the matter would become one for the federal government to consider if a declaration of war or letters of marque and reprisal were appropriate.

As it turns out, the 9/11 attacks were carried out by 21 or less individuals, 19 of whom died on the planes they commandeered. Advocates of the wars on Afghanistan and Iraq are hard-pressed to pin the attacks on the rag-tag band of Muslim ascetics in the Afghan wilderness, much less on the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq.

“Conservatives” who condemn the Mises Institute for its anti-war position have not analyzed this matter with any rigor.

Eduardo May 27, 2005 at 11:00 am

Doug,

If memory does not fail me, the US did ask the then Government of Afghanistan (the Talibans) to surrender the individuals (Al Qaeda) responsible for the 9/11 attacks, giving them a time period to do so. To which they answered no, despite publicly condemning the attacks.
Does that not grant some kind of pressure or action?
I think that if someone, either a person or a government, knowingly protects a murderer, then becomes an accomplice. And if he is not sure about the culpability, or is sure of his innocence, he must try to prove this in a court where his protegee has sufficient guarantees. There were and are plenty of international courts which could have handled this.
I am only refering to Afghanistan.

Michael A. Clem May 27, 2005 at 1:33 pm

Ashish, the trouble with governmental alliances is the fact that they are governmental. Like any other public policy, many or even most people may agree to their government’s policy, but some people won’t agree to it. How many people object to foreign aid to certain countries, for example?
More importantly, I think that if government has any legitimate purpose, it is only to protect the rights of its citizens. Thus, it is not a legitimate function of a government’s military to come to the aid of citizens of another country.

Rolf June 2, 2005 at 11:51 pm

HUMAN RIGHTS are non-negotiable.

Michael A. Clem June 3, 2005 at 8:40 am

HUMAN RIGHTS are non-negotiable.

Exactly. Therefore, nothing can justify violating some people’s rights (through conscription or involuntary taxation) in order to protect other people’s rights.

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