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Source link: http://archive.mises.org/17666/the-lilo-indicator/

The LiLo Indicator

July 10, 2011 by

Randall Forsyth at Barron’s says Lindsay Lohan’s tweet about high prices and money printing is a sure contrary sign that stocks are ready to roar ahead, along with the dollar. The financial columnist claims not to know of LiLo writing, “I’d never even heard of her until she sued E*Trade (ticker: ETFC) for one of the online broker’s popular baby ads that referred to ‘that milk-aholic Lindsay.’”

Whatever you say.

Forsyth figures that Washington is going to get its budget house in order and the Fed has lost its appetite for Treasuries.  According to Forsyth, LiLo’s tweets,

mark the top tick, as it were, of the concern about monetary and fiscal profligacy.

After all, they came as the Federal Reserve was winding down QE2 — the purchase of $600 billion of Treasury securities. So, the Fed has stopped “printing money,” to use Lohan’s locution. As for her observation on the currency market, the U.S. Dollar Index has stabilized around the 75 level since the QE2 approached its final destination last month.

Subsequent to writing his piece, the rough, tough, tea-partiers bagged the idea of cutting $4 billion from the budget, and are now shooting for half that.

Plus, Bloomberg reports that the Fed will still be the biggest buyer of Treasuries after QE2 is over.

Robert Prechter’s latest The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast also took notice of the LiLo tweet.

Of course, Lohan’s endorsement at the behest of an association dedicated to the proposition of runaway prices is another sign of the end of the line for inflation, just as stories about Barbra Streisand’s stock picking in late 1999 marked the end of a big bull market in equities.

The Elliott Wave guys see deflation around the corner taking stocks and everything else to the woodshed.

The M2 money supply has increased from $2.643 trillion the week of July 7, 1986 to $9.112 trillion the week prior to LiLo’s 25th birthday on July 2nd.

Sure, Washington and the Fed may discover restraint.  So might LiLo.

History would say otherwise.

{ 8 comments }

Simon Grey July 10, 2011 at 10:02 pm

Lindsay Lohan is only complaining because she’s now paying for things instead of shoplifting them. I wouldn’t put too much stock in it.

Single Acts Of Tyranny July 10, 2011 at 11:08 pm

She took a lot of flak for this, but it was mostly ad hominem stuff, the fundamental point was rarely addressed and it remains.

DixieFlatline July 11, 2011 at 1:47 am

It was a paid advertisement in her Twitter Channel, and the entire libertaro sphere suddenly wants to embrace her as an icon of the movement.

The dang tweet was hash tagged #ad for crissakes.

It is embarrassing to watch our intellectual leaders so unable to discern what is happening with new technology.

freebatjko July 11, 2011 at 3:07 am

Who would pay Lindsay Lohan to tweet about economics?
But looking at the fallout of this one line, quite ingenious actually.

Maybe the Mises Institute should start sponsoring Justin Bieber.

da99 July 11, 2011 at 6:38 am

$3,500 for Lohan to tweet about inflation: http://www.businessinsider.com/odonnell-lindsay-lohan-twitter-inflation-video-2011-6

Other celebs are going to sell tweets too. It’s not that much money since most of them will waste it somehow. They must have financial problems. I guess they are not famous enough to go to Japan and do TV ads: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ug8KM_nTkkU

Adamj July 11, 2011 at 5:23 am

Go team elliot wave.

johannes Bergstrom July 11, 2011 at 6:27 am

Why would you sue anything .. It is like asking for more attention, it is the barbara streisand effect. Poor linsday

nate-m July 11, 2011 at 8:48 am

Why would you sue anything ..

She sued for 100 million dollars. The settlement probably still was in the tens of millions of dollars.

Why would you NOT sue?

She didn’t sue because she was upset about it, she sued because the state provided the opportunity to make huge profits.

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