When the state spends more money than it receives in taxes — a fact indelibly written into the bond — it is deliberately committing an act of bankruptcy. Is dishonesty transmuted into its opposite when committed by a legal entity? FULL ARTICLE by Frank Chodorov
Source link: http://archive.mises.org/15315/dont-buy-government-bonds/
Don’t Buy Government Bonds
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Mr. Chodorov was the Mark Twain of the economic set. I can’t remember the last time I read an article about “bonds” that kept me interested and I even had to laugh a few times. What he was talking about is not a laughing matter. Can you imagine a public school teacher having the students read this article and have a lengthly discussion? When will the “big bubble” break? All the other bubbles were just the prelude.
I sear to G-d I wish every single American would read this article. I can’t tell you how disappointed in our elected officials this makes me. The entire “system” is broken because no matter which party has control of congress the spending never actually stops. The sad fact is that even the last Republican lead congress increased spending and hence the deficit. I worry about the future of our country. The average American has no idea of the dangers of this tax-and-spend attitude on Capitol Hill. Kudos, Mr. Chodorov for writing this splendid and informative article.
“We won’t make it back to the safety of the stockade in time, this time, Martha! We are just too far away.”
Good points from Joe and James Fowlkes with which I agree.
The sad fact is that we have so overextended the entire Money System that it cannot but bring harm to The Economy and thereby to all of us.
The Great Depression happened in reaction to the overburden created by the spending of paper money that was not backed up by real savings (as is wont, over time, in ALL Central Bank-operated Fiat Money and Fractional Reserve Banking Systems).
Nothing but a real cleansing of the rottenness out of the current Broken Money System can bring back any type of normality to the operations of our Financial System and our Economy.
Now that other nations are also as deeply involved as they are in the flawed and insidious system operated by The Federal Reserve, we will be witnesses in our lifetimes, to a worldwide collapse of Biblical proportions.
“Save Money For A Rainy Day”?
Right — Who gets kidded by that phrase today?
The FED’s chairmen are the ones that have slowly and invidiously put the kibosh on that Philosophy of Living ever since 1913, the year of their founding. The FED does everything in its power to harm savers, and to ‘stimulate’ borrowing activity, and in reality, to stimulate gambling in very risky ‘investments’ like stocks (and housing). If The FED’s chairmen did not know how to Blow Bubbles, then they would be out of business.
“With no firm undergirding to support our endeavors, we will find ourselves adrift on a cruel sea and will, during the next severe storm, find ourselves on our common ship, heading to the bottom of the sea.”
If the state does not spend more than it taxes then where shall new money come from? Oh, I know. You’ll dig a shiny metal out of the ground and have it granted legal tender status. But shall it be silver, gold, platinum, tungsten, thorium (mildly radioactive, might help with velocity though) etc.? And if several then how will their exchange rates wrt each other be managed?
No, the state has a perfect right to issue new money but that new money should be legal tender for government debts only. And lest we fight over what the state’s money shall consist of, it should be the cheapest material that gets the job done.
However, one could still play with shiny metals and usury as a purely private money form.
Be content with that, please.
“If the state does not spend more than it taxes then where shall new money come from?”
Why does there need to be “new” money. As any of the great economists whose works are published here can explain, money serves its function better the more constant its supply is. You are suggesting that inflation is a necessary or even beneficial thing for an economy when it absolutely is not. It causes business cycles. As Chodorov explained, your generation gets to enjoy the boom when the next generations suffer the resulting bust. Expansion of the money supply only causes mal-investment and a resulting shortage of capital.
“No, the state has a perfect right to issue new money”
Yes anybody has the right to print pieces of paper with people’s faces on it and a number. Where does the state derive the right to compel everyone within its self-described borders to treat these pieces of paper as currency (legal tender law)? Where does it derive its right to force businesses to deal in these pieces of paper that can be printed at will, and treat them any differently from a similar piece of paper you or I print up?
“However, one could still play with shiny metals and usury as a purely private money form.”
You clearly have no understanding of the origin of money. But you’re right, everyone advocating the gold standard just has some unhealthy obsession with “shiny things”.
“Be content with that, please.”
An expected contribution from someone defending the government. Most of the time they don’t bother with the “please”.
“Expansion of the money supply only causes mal-investment and a resulting shortage of capital.”
I should correct this: expansion of *credit* causes mal-investment and shortage of capital. Expansion of the money supply is a form of redistribution of wealth because the “new” money always enters the market in specific hands at specific times. In the case of the U.S. banking system it is a redistribution away from consumers and producers of consumer goods towards bankers and their closest investors (particularly politicians).
I should correct this: expansion of *credit* causes mal-investment and shortage of capital. Expansion of the money supply is a form of redistribution of wealth because the “new” money always enters the market in specific hands at specific times. sweatervest
That is why anyone should be allowed to create money and anyone should be allowed to reject a particular money too. And all private money forms should be rejected by government so as to privilege NONE of them.
<i<In the case of the U.S. banking system it is a redistribution away from consumers and producers of consumer goods towards bankers and their closest investors (particularly politicians). sweatervest
Yep. I intend that all government sanction for bankers shall cease.
“That is why anyone should be allowed to create money and anyone should be allowed to reject a particular money too. And all private money forms should be rejected by government so as to privilege NONE of them.”
Then you agree in the abolition of legal tender laws, which forbid private businesses from rejecting the government’s “money”.
“Yep. I intend that all government sanction for bankers shall cease.”
Then you agree they should not have a printing press. Being the only legal counterfeiter is quite a big sanction.
Then you agree in the abolition of legal tender laws, which forbid private businesses from rejecting the government’s “money”. sweatervest
Absolutely but with one exception, a one-time bailout of the entire US population with full legal tender fiat, United States Notes. Also, the capital gains tax on alternative private money forms such as PMs and common stock should be abolished. Probably the income tax has to go too.
“Yep. I intend that all government sanction for bankers shall cease.” FB
Then you agree they should not have a printing press. Being the only legal counterfeiter is quite a big sanction. sweatervest
New money creation is acceptable as long as there is no government privilege for it AT ALL. But people should be totally free to reject any money too.
“If the state does not spend more than it taxes then where shall new money come from?” FB
Why does there need to be “new” money. sweatervest
To pay the interest on private debt for one thing.
As any of the great economists whose works are published here can explain, money serves its function better the more constant its supply is. sweatervest
No, not really. A growing economy needs investment, people taking risks. Yet with a constant money supply then risk-free hoarding would be attractive so few would invest and the economy would stagnate. See the Parable of the Talents (Matthew 25:14-30).
You are suggesting that inflation is a necessary or even beneficial thing for an economy when it absolutely is not. sweatervest
An increase in the money supply can easily be beneficial. Or should gold and silver mining be outlawed if they are remonetized?
It causes business cycles. As Chodorov explained, your generation gets to enjoy the boom when the next generations suffer the resulting bust. Expansion of the money supply only causes mal-investment and a resulting shortage of capital. sweatervest
Fractional reserve lending and debt are the cause of the business cycle. A PROPER steady increase of money supplies (note plural) WITHOUT DEBT should result in steady progress.
“No, the state has a perfect right to issue new money” FB
Yes anybody has the right to print pieces of paper with people’s faces on it and a number. Where does the state derive the right to compel everyone within its self-described borders to treat these pieces of paper as currency (legal tender law)? sweatervest
By it’s authority to tax. However, government money should only be legal tender for taxes and fees not private debts.
Where does it derive its right to force businesses to deal in these pieces of paper that can be printed at will, and treat them any differently from a similar piece of paper you or I print up? sweatervest
We should be able to issue our own private money. We should also be able to reject any money including government fiat. However, if you need to pay taxes then you would voluntarily accept government fiat so you could do so.
“However, one could still play with shiny metals and usury as a purely private money form.” FB
You clearly have no understanding of the origin of money. But you’re right, everyone advocating the gold standard just has some unhealthy obsession with “shiny things”. sweatervest
That’s how gold got its start, its nice shine.
“Be content with that, please.” FB
An expected contribution from someone defending the government. Most of the time they don’t bother with the “please”. sweatervest
Yep, government is a beast. However, the solution is to be found in the revocation of legal tender laws and taxes on alternative money forms not the use of PMs as legal tender.
“To pay the interest on private debt for one thing.”
Where did the “old” money go? Money is a medium of exchange, it is not consumed. This makes no sense at all.
“No, not really. A growing economy needs investment, people taking risks.”
It needs investment, not mal-investment. It needs sound money, not people thinking there is all the capital in the world to engage in investments that are *too* risky.
“Yet with a constant money supply then risk-free hoarding would be attractive so few would invest and the economy would stagnate.”
You literally contradict yourself. The only way there can be anything to invest is if people “hoard”. You cannot invest what you do not save up. You are admitting that a constant money supplies leads to a more rapid build-up of capital, which means there is more capital available for investment!
Printing money does not make a nation wealthier and certainly does not add to its capital stock. You are trying to present some sort of Keynesian “stimulus package” that tries to make people more inclined to spend their money. An economy is not built from spending, it is built from producing. Monetary inflation discourages saving and thus leads to a systematic reduction in the amount of capital available for investment.
“By it’s authority to tax.”
And thus is the circularity of justifying the state. The state is justified to force people to one thing because they are justified in forcing people to do something else. So… where does the state derive its authority to tax?
“However, if you need to pay taxes then you would voluntarily accept government fiat so you could do so.”
How tricky… well, we’re not gonna force you to use our money, but we are gonna force you to pay us some of your proceeds, and we only accept payment in our money.
Nobody suggests that if everyone could do that, or if only one private business could do that, it would benefit society. Strap on a badge and call that business the “government” and everything flip flops.
“That’s how gold got its start, its nice shine”
And, so, what, that means supporters of a gold standard have some mystical obsession with shiny things? How did pieces of paper get their start? In case you don’t know, the answer is that paper only ever came to be money because it started off as an I.O.U. for some gold!! No fiat money has ever existed that did not evolve out of bank notes for a commodity money like gold. No money was fiat from the start.
“Yep, government is a beast.”
You seem somewhat reluctant to accept that on principle, though.
“However, the solution is to be found in the revocation of legal tender laws”
So far, so good…
“and taxes on alternative money forms”
But here is where I lose you. How is taxes a solution to anything? Who is getting what they want out of a situation where most people are having their money taken from them without their consent? It’s obviously not to the benefit of taxpayers to be taxed, anymore than it benefits a person to be mugged on the street, even if the mugger might invest his stolen funds for a better tomorrow!
“not the use of PMs as legal tender.”
I definitely did not suggest this. I want the abolition of legal tender laws, period, not the substitution of one legal tender law for another.
@Beard,
“if the state does not spend more than it taxes then where shall new money come from?”
You say that as if it is acceptable for a state to run a deficit budget. Deficit budgets are a result of poor governence nothing more. Many towns and municipalities operate without a deficit. There are even entire provinces in Canada that manage to operate without a deficit.
Statists insist on a deficit and increased power of taxation to “control” the deficit that they contrive through deliberate fiscal incompetance.
But yes, I agree, the state should never borrow. Nor should it ever lend. It should simply spend and tax and in that order too.
“It should simply spend and tax and in that order too.”
What are they gonna spend before they tax!?
Translation: It should simply spend then rob and in that order too.
Where does the state derive its right to take people’s rightfully owned property without their consent?
Furthermore, what could possibly make you think it would benefit society for those individuals in society to *not* be able to decide for themselves how to spend and invest their own earnings?
“It should simply spend and tax and in that order too.” FB
What are they gonna spend before they tax!? sweatervest
Freshly created fiat, that’s what. And you’ll need it too, to pay your taxes.
Translation: It should simply spend then rob and in that order too. sweatervest
Government is force. What I am trying to do is to keep the PM and usury bugs from co-opting that force for their own private interests. That would be fascism.
Where does the state derive its right to take people’s rightfully owned property without their consent? sweatervest
It’s taxation authority.
Furthermore, what could possibly make you think it would benefit society for those individuals in society to *not* be able to decide for themselves how to spend and invest their own earnings? sweatervest
I fully believe in the private sector. Let’s have one then. That means that no private money form shall be accepted by government unless ALL of them are accepted equally. Since “ALL” is impractical then it follows that government money should be pure fiat but only legal tender for government debts (taxes and fees).
“Freshly created fiat, that’s what. And you’ll need it too, to pay your taxes.”
Well if this were true why stop there? Why not print a billion dollars for everyone and usher society into unheard-of prosperity? Why not do that for everyone in the world? We could wipe out poverty in however much time it takes for the printing press to print enough freshly created fiat?
As should be obvious, printing pieces of paper doesn’t make one wealthier. What would happen if you had a printing press? Would your counterfeiting be producing wealth that was not there before, or rather just transferring purchasing power away from other holders of money and towards you?
Monetary inflation means higher consumer prices. When the government prints money, they get more money but they spend it before prices rise, so they gain purchasing power. Because no actual wealth was created, this must come at the expense of someone else’s purchasing power. This extra money spreads through the economy by trading, so some people get this extra money much later, after prices have risen, and only get a little piece of it. They have only slightly more money, and yet consumer prices have risen more, meaning they have less purchasing power.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QG4jhlPLVVs
Some people in the comments share some nonsense about how the problem is “hoarding”, which you already mentioned.
For example, a bigger more productive factory may cost $1,000,000. But nobody gets a $1,000,000 paycheck. The only way for anyone to have $1,000,000 to their name so they can buy this bigger factory is to save up money over a long period of time. The more he “hoards” rather than spends, the quicker he will save up $1,000,000 and can buy the bigger factory, raise the marginal productivity of labor, and thus raise the wages of workers and lower the price of goods.
Encouraging people to not save up stifles this process and stops economic progression.
“Government is force. What I am trying to do is to keep the PM and usury bugs from co-opting that force for their own private interests. That would be fascism.”
I’m with you on that, but if you agree the source of the power is the state, why would one advocate the state at all? You keep supporting taxes, and yet taxes are what allow the state to be this power that private businesses can abuse.
“That means that no private money form shall be accepted by government”
“I fully believe in the private sector. Let’s have one then. That means that no private money form shall be accepted by government unless ALL of them are accepted equally. Since “ALL” is impractical then it follows that government money should be pure fiat but only legal tender for government debts (taxes and fees).”
There would not be multiple moneys in a private sector, there would be multiple banks. Multiple monies fail to be monies at all (money is a common medium of exchange) and ends up being a partial system of barter. For the same reason any business or individual is interested in exchanging against money rather than bartering, banks will be interested in using a single money rather than pushing competing monies. They may still compete by using their own coin stamps, or issuing their own bank notes, but a system of free banking would very quickly settle on one currency standard (like how in the 19th century the international “free banking” system established gold as the international currency, before that was destroyed by governments). Thus the question of “which” private money to honor does not arise where it is truly private.
Such a dilemma of “multiple monies” is, rather, the fault of governments interfering with private money and creating fiat currency. Private banking produced a single international medium of exchange: gold. Governments have produced multiple competing monies with free-floating exchange rates, which means it is really a partial barter system.
All the supposed “problems” private money would have are precisely the “problems” money acquired when it was taken over by governments.
Nice article though. So now we should all agree that government should never borrow.
“Nice article though. So now we should all agree that government should never borrow.”
Right, because borrowing money is inherently dishonest. If your neighbor has a mortgage, they are morally corrupt . . . etc. Amazing the hatred supposed libertarians have for the market.
The problem is easily mended; pass a law assessing a tax on all assets, to be set each year in the amount necessary to balance the budget. Your first 500k are exempt. Deficit problem solved.
I think the real source of Chodorov’s irrational resentment of one a completely voluntary financial transaction is the hatred of the adaptability and persistence of the state; libertarian fundmentalists, like Christian fundamentalists, eagerly await the End Times in which the evil system will come crashing down and they will be proven correct in their hatred of the world as it is.
Unfortunately what we actually experience is that governments encounter problems, adapt to them, and continue to thrive. The bond market is an important source of flexibility which makes a big economic smash less likely, which is precisely why Chodorov resents its existence.
Robert,
So government is Robin Hood and only steals from the rich?
Governments don’t encounter problems they create problems then they tell everyone that we are the fault and they will fix the problem. Governments don’t adapt to the problems the citizens adapt. Meaning our savings are destroyed by inflation. Even poison ivy thrives.
“Nice article though. So now we should all agree that government should never borrow.” FB
Right, because borrowing money is inherently dishonest. If your neighbor has a mortgage, they are morally corrupt . . . etc. Amazing the hatred supposed libertarians have for the market. Robert
I said nothing about private borrowing.
@all,
We disagree wrt to money and that is fine. But as libertarians we should all agree to disagree. Here is what we should insist on (after a bailout of the entire US population from under the government backed counterfeiting cartel, if you happen to believe in justice and restitution):
1) Government money shall be pure (cheap) fiat that is only legal tender for government debts (taxes and fees), not private ones. No other money shall be accepted by government BUT ITS OWN.
2) All conceivable private money forms shall be allowed to compete equally wrt government. This means in practice that there shall be no government privilege for ANY private money or private money form such as PMs.
3) Free market exchange rates shall prevail at all times between private monies and government fiat.
As for our other disagreements, I know I would be happy to let a true free market in private money creation settle them.
Let’s just have one, eh?
ref: Matthew 22:16-22
“I could point out that when the government issues a bond it is diluting the value of all the money in existence.” – I don’t understand this sentence. If I want to buy some bonds, I can do it only with existing money. By buying bonds, I don’t add new money into the economy.
But maybe the author assumed that bonds would be bought only by central or commercial banks.
To “soe”, regarding your question about your quotation from the article:
Well, yes you do. In a Fractional Reserve Banking System, with a Central Bank that oversees such a Broken Money System, any lending begets more borrowing and more Debt.
Initially your saved money that you gave to the Government does not cause anything to happen. But over time your money is used to create more Credit on TOP of the Credit you provided. This is how money (and indeed the Entire Financial System and The Economy) gets to be more and more burdened — your money (and indeed anyone’s savings that is deposited into the banking system and/or is used to buy Debt directly, via “bonds”) is more and more “encumbered” by new Debt that is not backed up by any corresponding savings.
Depending on the “fraction” that is required by Regulations for banks to keep in reserve, we can calculate the maximum theoretical amount of additional credit that can be created by looking at the Multiplier Effect — Please see http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/multipliereffect.asp
In other words, if you lend your money to the Government (for Treasury Bonds) the Government deposits the money you gave to them into their own bank (it could be any commercial bank). Via the Multiplier Effect, that money is now available for additional lending (subject to Reserve Requirements that cause that commercial bank to hold a “fraction” of the money back from new lending).
But let’s see how Frank Chodorov answers your question later in his article:
So Frank Chodorov is pointing out that there is an additional mechanism by which your savings, lent to the Government’s Treasury, in return for a “bond” (which in the old days, meant “trust” or “guarantee”) is used to create net-new money. Of course you have nothing to say about this, but it happens nonetheless.
Especially today, with the scam operated by The FED with its euphemistically labeled “Quantitative Easing” you can see what Frank Chodorov (here writing in the year 1962) was referring to.
Claiming not to monetize the Government’s Debt, The FED goes to banks and buys Treasury Bonds (and other ‘assets’ like GSE bonds) with its newly-created money.
This is Money-Inflation, pure and simple.
Your loan is among those that is being paid back with debased money.
That you did not add any net-new money into the System intentionally is clear.
But The FED did it for you.
Frank Chodorov’s position is that if NO ONE in existence LENDS ANY MONEY at ALL to the Treasury, then this scam has to end. Governments would have to live only on their tax revenues. (OR possibly on the money that The FED would “print” for them — but that would be visible as well, and not likely to succeed for very long).
And tax revenues have a way of not being hidden, in fact most times they cause us, The People, a lot of pain (which is why politicians prefer these more surreptitious ways of raising money).
Will it happen that Frank Chodorov’s hope will come true? No. But his argument is valid, nevertheless.
To “soe” when above, I wrote the words below, I should have added one more phrase to clarify.
I should have clarified the above by further saying that it does not matter if the Government IMMEDIATELY spends the money it gets from you, or “saves” it in their own bank.
Even if the Government immediately buys something with your money, it would be the case that this spent money that gets deposited by someone else (the Receiver) into a bank —— and now it would be THEN that this spent money that starts up the Multiplier Effect.
Either way, the Multiplier Effect would start to work its evil magic (which of course is More Future Borrowing without corresponding EQUIVALENT Future Saving).
Now, I ask for a little patience while I explain that statement.
Here below is an excerpt, that might help you understand how YOUR savings can be misused to cause more harm by our current Broken Money System.
This is from a Mises Blog entry I wrote a week ago at The Faults of Fractional Reserve Banking at http://mises.org/daily/4880
The actual entry I wrote, on December 30, 2010, was at the Blog for the above article which is at COMMENTS for The Faults of Fractional Reserve Banking which is at http://blog.mises.org/15105/the-faults-of-fractional-reserve-banking/
Cheers to “soe” for asking that most important of Economic Questions.
To SOE one more post… and a small correction, since I did slightly muddy the waters with the last post. I suggested there that the ‘secondary’ money that was re-lent by the bank was the source of the problem (AFTER the first lending activity by the bank of my savings-deposit with that bank). This is not really accurate IMHO.
The problem is more clearly understood if one sees that both the initial deposit by me and the borrowing my deposit generated start a process of multiplying Credit throughout the system. And this happens because I can demand my money deposit back at any point in time. My money in other words is not really “tied up” just on the basis of its having been lent to another person for a given ‘term’ (of time).
Thus this further explanation appears here.
A friend of mine recently read my preceding entry and remarked “SO WHAT!”
I asked him to elaborate what he meant with his retort.
He explained that in any economic system there would be lending and borrowing, and repayment of loans, and inevitably some repudiation of repayment of loans.
He claimed that even without Fractional Reserve Banks, people would lend to each other and some lenders would be repaid by their borrowers, and some would not.
And my friend maintained that this was NO DIFFERENT from what I had described in my post above.
He asked me now to consider the situation on some imaginary island, where no banking had ever started, and money consisted of seashells. Some people in such a place would lend their own money, because it was surplus to their immediate needs.
I disagreed with him —— I said such a setup on such an island was quite different.
I pointed out to him that in the situation with the OBB (“One Big Bank”) in my post (that is, INSIDE a FRBS or “Fractional Reserve Banking System”) wherein I had deposited my money, a bank would act as an intermediary and ‘invest’ my money.
But, I continued, in such a situation, I was always guaranteed to get my deposited money back. I explained that this setup had evolved with the ‘support’ of the FDIC and The FED over the last century. In fact, in most cases, I could get my money back “On Demand” and the original loan that was created with my lent money would NOT be called back in —— the bank would have in effect “created money” out of thin air (subject to any small percentage kept in the bank’s reserves due to regulated fractional reserve requirements).
In fact, I would never lose my money, whereas a person just like me, on that island paradise my friend was describing, could indeed lose all of their lent money, because there was no guarantor to back up their lending in that place.
Then he said again “SO WHAT” and actually added:
Now I really had to laugh.
I said to him, “I think you missed the entire point of my original post!”
I now patiently explained to him what I had originally meant.
I first admitted that I had not gotten to the point fast enough in my first post.
I pointed out that in the island paradise he was describing, EVERY person who lent out their surplus money, was lending out “saved money”. In other words, every dollar (or in this case, seashell) that was lent to someone, reflected someone else’s Deferred Spending. This, I said, is diametrically different from what we have in our society.
If one person deferred spending their own money —— that is, saved it —— and lent it to someone who did spend that money, there was no overall increase in consumption. That money could be spent only once, until it was earned again with production of goods and services that corresponded to its ‘value’. And in such a system, people would be very careful to whom they lent their money. They would not cavalierly pawn off that responsibility to some unknown bank officer.
Indeed, in the island situation, ALL consumption is accounted for by some equivalent amount of True Saving and Earning. In such a society if someone puts their seashells under their pillow, and does not lend it out, there is perhaps even a small chance that Saving might exceed Consumption, at least in the short run. But there is no chance of Consumption exceeding Saving and Earning.
He again replied “SO WHAT?”
I pointed out that in a Fractional Reserve Banking system a Society could always consume more than it had saved by creating financial claims against The Future. But in the island paradise this is simply not possible. If a loan in that island society is not repaid, it is simply extinguished (more or less automatically, depending on the societal conventions of that place and time). Perhaps the person who is owed money learns a lesson, perhaps not. Perhaps the other islanders learn that the borrower (who repudiates) can not be trusted with more of their saved money. But the system does not careen out of control. Saving and Consumption stay in balance over time. In fact, such a small society probably handles its financial affairs far more intelligently than we do —— the “FICO Scores” are something everyone would know just by knowing the people around oneself.
He asked me why this was in any way desirable. I pointed out that while in the short run the island-residing lender did suffer a loss, the borrower who had consumed with the borrowed funds had gained the equivalent of what that lender had lost.
We in effect did no more or less in pre-Fractional Reserve Banking systems.
In such banking systems, the job of our bank is only to find us a ‘good risk’ borrower to lend to. Such a bank does not guarantee payback of our invested (deposited) funds, unless and until the ‘matched’ borrower makes good with his or her repayment.
But in our system today, we do not tolerate “losing” our money, even though prior to Fractional Reserve Banking, we could easily lose our money, the same way people do on my friend’s imaginary island.
(There is an ‘advantage’ of course in believing that one will always get one’s lent money back — we all lend far more than we would otherwise — that is, we think nothing of putting our saved money in a bank. And of course here is where the danger starts — our bankers think even less of lending it out as well, because the bankers know that there are institutions that will back them up if too many borrowers repudiate the loans they have been given. The bankers’ profit motive is to lend out as much money as they legally are allowed to.)
I suggested to my friend that there is good reason why Austrian Economists do not recommend creating Credit where such Credit systematically and often exponentially outruns corresponding Saving. I said that this was because if such a course of action was followed for a long enough period of time, the Credit thereby created (as claims against Future Saving) would almost inevitably be repudiated. This is simply a law of human nature. In the absence of Debtor Prisons (or even with them), at some point, it becomes a ridiculous exercise and a pointless hardship to pretend that the Borrowing Class CAN pay back such a Mountain of Loans. Society simply concludes it is better to start over again, at the cost of huge losses incurred by the Saving Class (as if that class is, today, making any Real Return on their ‘investments’ anyway!!!).
In fact such a system is prone to Booms and Busts by its very design.
So (in the immortal words of Ted Turner) “The Piper MUST be Paid” (at some point in time). The people “holding the bag” are going to inevitably lose a LOT of what they had come to expect as the FUTURE purchasing power equivalent in their various Savings Vehicles including, but not limited to, public and private pensions, their cash life savings (in the Fiat Currency of their choice), their life insurance policies, and any other of a myriad of ‘investment’ vehicles.
I pointed out to my friend that any System that was set up in such a manner (as our own “FRBS”, backed up by The FED, is) would inevitably succumb to such a historical developments, of first booming —— in fact, as it did during the 1920-s and again in the period from 1990 to 2008 —— and then of busting . There will always be big booms and big busts. The Business Cycle as explained by Austrians is Built into Our Economic and Financial System —— until, and unless, we reform it.
In my opinion, the sad fact that The FED today is again trying to recreate this Credit Bubble is suicidal, unless The FED’s officers think that recreating the disaster of 1929 and of 2008 is something that is “good” and “will get the Economy moving again”.
We have been on this Broken Money System Roller-Coaster for a long time. I asked my friend if he really thought it was a good idea to stay on it for a lot longer still.
He said what if we try to get off now —— would this not be dangerous?
I said sure, there will be huge problems. But I pointed out that the longer we kept this Broken Money System going, the harder the fall would be for all of us from riding on this crazy Financial Roller-Coaster.
I also suggested that there is no point worrying, because no one will “pull the plug” —— there will be no collapse until one day the entire coaster collapses of its own accord. The casualties will be much worse then than they would be now of course —— but, hey, that’s politics, and in politics, if I can pass the problem to the next guy’s watch, to the next time period, what do you think I will do?
It’s colloquially known as “Kicking The Can Down the Road”.
One of the main reasons that The FED and other Central Banks and their respective Fractional Reserve Banking Systems have managed to keep this system going is the use of Fiat Money.
The other is that we have lived in the last 100 years in an amazing time —— one where we have cheaper and more portable energy than we will likely ever have again —— that is, based on petroleum.
Another is that this has been a period of amazing technological discovery.
These processes cannot be necessarily repeated over the next century. And if they can not, we will be in big trouble.
That is why investors who use the knowledge from history may be sorely mistaken in making assumptions about the future and its investment opportunities.
Only these very lucky juxtapositions of historical circumstances, possibly never to be repeated, have allowed The FED and other similar institutions to keep The Broken Money Systems running.
All you have to do is ask yourself if butter cost 20 cents a pound in 1913 WHY does it today cost you $4.00 a pound or more?
Sure this is caused by price inflation and the debasement of paper money.
But for all the advances of the last 100 years, should that pound of butter instead not cost you 2 cents instead of 4 dollars?
The point is that without the advances of the past 100 years, and yet WITH all the debasement of our money by The FED, that pound of butter would have today cost something like $4 HUNDRED DOLLARS.
The FED and all similar central banks around the world can only keep their broken fiat money systems going (with the Fractional Reserve Banks they operate) BECAUSE of the extraordinary gains made by past advances in technology, uses of cheap energy, and the manipulations engendered with Fiat Money.
It may very well be, that future historical developments will be far from amenable to the continuation of such Money Systems.
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