1. Skip to navigation
  2. Skip to content
  3. Skip to sidebar
Source link: http://archive.mises.org/12367/should-the-quantity-of-money-be-increased/

Should the Quantity of Money Be Increased?

April 2, 2010 by

It is certainly better for the individual to have more money than less. But it is not better for the whole economic system to have more money than less. FULL ARTICLE by Ludwig von Mises and Bettina Bien Greaves

{ 197 comments }

jerry April 11, 2010 at 4:28 pm

“Despite Mike Sproul’s errors, he makes some valid points, and there are also errors present in many of his opponents’ arguments. While Mike seems to think that the value of money is determined by the nominal value of assets on the issuer’s balance sheet, many of his opponents seem to think that it is determined by the type of the assets backing them. Both claims contain a grain of truth, but as a definition they are incorrect. Just like with every other good, the value of money is determined by the subjective valuation that the recipient thereof assigns to it. To some extent, it is influenced both by the numbers on the issuer’s balance sheet as well as the type of the assets backing them. But neither are the decisive element. One one hand, it is possible to have “fiat” currencies without central bank, legal tender or fractional reserve banking. On the other hand, gold standard does not provide a qualitative change over fiat currency, only a quantitative.”

If you want to debate, take the time and effort to enter and add to the discussion that has been going on, rather than enter with the above series of bald assertions, which are often incorrect or incoherent yet are inexplicably written with not just confidence but with the tone of a schoolteacher offhandedly explaining something to his 9 year olds. You take this tone and casually say things like “If the supply of backing grows during this time, there is no price inflation” like we’re idiots for not realising this, without acknowledging that the thread was previously a discussion about precisely this; and then you accuse me of avoiding debate?

And just for the record, you said:

“One one hand, it is possible to have “fiat” currencies without central bank, legal tender or fractional reserve banking”

“Fiat currency does not necessarily need to be legal tender or issued by a central bank. They can be privately issued too.”

Let’s look at some sample quotes in the fiat money article that you say i won’t read (which doesn’t contain ANY use of the word “private”):

“any money declared by a government to be legal tender”

“The term derives from the Latin fiat, meaning “let it be done”, as the money is established by government decree”

“A feature of all fiat money is its (typically exclusive) acceptability to the government for payment of taxes and charges”

“Provincial governments produced notes which were fiat currency”

“Usually, a fiat-money currency loses value once the issuing government refuses”

etc..
**************************
Saying “fiat” money does not have to issued by a government is simply nonsensical and your continued insistence that it is a valid word to use for privately issued currency is idiotic.

Peter Surda April 11, 2010 at 6:19 pm

If you disagree with what I say, say what is specifically wrong with it. My objection is that I consider your assumptions unproven and they need to be discussed before the implications thereof are discussed. You might consider it an interruption of your flow of debate, but I consider it important not to have gaps inside arguments.

Regarding your objections to private fiat currency, the article you refer to says that one of the definitions of it is, “money without intrinsic value” and the reference says “Fiat money, such as paper dollars, is money without intrinsic value: It would be worthless if it were not used as money.” Neither of the definitions refer to legal tender laws or government. Furthermore, the article I reference, lists several examples of privately issued currencies that are not backed by assets. What are those then if not fiat currencies?

jerry April 11, 2010 at 6:38 pm

I can’t be bothered pointing out what I don’t agree with again, especially in the face of statements such as “If the supply of backing grows during this time, there is no price inflation”, which you make while ignoring the scenario earlier in the thread which was about exactly this issue.

The footnote says “”Fiat money, such as paper dollars, is money without intrinsic value: It would be worthless if it were not used as money.” This is a true statement about fiat money that does nothing to alter the fact that the term fiat money is used to talk about money issued by the state. If you are taking this to be the DEFINITION of fiat money then you are taking this one single statement above all the other uses of it on that page and common usage and every other use of the word I have ever seen by anyone. If this makes sense to you then knock yourself out.

Gerry Flaychy April 12, 2010 at 11:17 am

Mises definition:

We may give the name “commodity money” to that sort of money that is at the same time a commercial commodity;
and the name “fiat money” to money that comprises things with a special legal qualification.

Source.

Peter Surda April 12, 2010 at 11:50 am

Thank you very much, at least someone is trying to clarify. If i understand it then, only gold itself for example would be commodity money, whereas gold certificates would be credit money. Is that correct?

Michael A. Clem April 12, 2010 at 12:32 pm

whereas gold certificates would be credit money.
Not sure that’s correct. A gold certificate is a piece of paper that entitles one to, or represents, some quantity of gold held by the issuer of the certificate. That’s not credit. I would consider the gold certificate to be a money substitute, as it is being exchanged in place of the actual gold.

Gerry Flaychy April 12, 2010 at 6:38 pm

According to Mises theory, credit money is a claim falling due in the future that is used as a general medium of exchange.

Gold certificates don’t match this definition.

Peter Surda April 13, 2010 at 3:10 am

But they don’t match his definition of commodity money or fiat money either. Only the commodity itself matches the definition of commodity money, the notes backed by it don’t.

Gerry Flaychy April 13, 2010 at 7:10 am

Gold certificates used before 1933 in the United States, for example, were money substitutes.

The gold certificates obtained nowadays instead of the metal gold itself when we buy gold, cannot be money substitutes: they are not used as a general medium of exchange in the market, and gold is no more ‘money’, at least in USA.

jerry April 13, 2010 at 8:56 am

“at least someone is trying to clarify”

Ha – and the link to the wikipedia page for “fiat money” was what exactly, an attempt to obfuscate? It’s not my fault you took a necesary condition for fiat money and decided that it was also a sufficient condition for it despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

Peter Surda April 15, 2010 at 5:43 am

I find it very difficult to respond to you. It is you who claims that fiat money needs to be supported by governments. I showed you both that there are definitions that do not require government, as well as there are practical implementations of privately produced fiat currencies. By pointing out that there are definitions that omit my examples you do not invalidate my argument, you just demonstrate mistaking historical data for praxeology. What are Ripple, Bitcoin and eCache then? Will you close your eyes and pretend they do not exist or that they somehow run by governments?

jerry April 15, 2010 at 7:20 am

Good god, this is both painful and unbelievable.

The thing you said that started this idiotic-waste-of-time-debate was “it is possible to have “fiat” currencies without central bank, legal tender or fractional reserve banking” and I responded with a polite request for clarification by saying:

“Your statement “it is possible to have “fiat” currencies without central bank, legal tender or fractional reserve banking” doesn’t really make much sense. The definition of a “fiat” currency is one which holds value only by virtue of government decree ie. legal tender laws. So maybe you can explain what you mean using more precise language.”

You refused to think about what I said and just repeated “Fiat currency does not necessarily need to be legal tender or issued by a central bank. They can be privately issued too.” And you have said this since, the coup de grace being “I showed you both that there are definitions that do not require government”. Really? Plural? Where? Common usage on this site and elsewhere, the numerous quotes from the wikipedia page, Gerry Flaychy’s definition and every definition of fiat money you can find on google refer to money with value by virtue of government decree. You appear to be clinging to one sentence in one footnote in the Wikipedia page above all of these to claim that you or I can issue “fiat” money and that are justified in using this word in this way. This statement is stripped of any context and although a statement “about” fiat money for sure, why are you so certain that it is one that is “defining” fiat money ahead of all other definitions?

Members of the economy are free to accept or reject private currencies but not those designated “legal tender” by a government. People can pay taxes with legal tender but not necessarily with private currencies. I could go on – currency declared legal tender and privately issued currency have different properties and therefore we need a way of distinguishing between them to be able to converse. “Non-commodity” money is the term you are probably looking for, with this split into fiat and private if further clarification is required.

If you don’t understand what the difference between these is or why it is necessary to make it, then this is the problem. If you do understand then you must agree that without making these distinctions, debate is impossible. I am making them, you are not – and you say it is difficult to respond to me. Good grief.

Peter Surda April 15, 2010 at 10:06 am

It is you who is nonsensical and does not think about your opponents’ arguments. Repeating the same nonsense does not make it true. I pointed exactly where the error in your argument is. Either you recognise (as Mike Sproul points out) that there cannot be such a thing as a fiat currency (= currency without any backing), as money produced by central bank is backed by the expected collected tax, or you have to alter the definition and drop the requirement that must be issued by central banks and/or accompanied by legal tender laws. In summary, there is no reason to insist that fiat money is issued by central banks and/or accompanied by legal tender laws.

The only reason I can think of regarding the insistence on your definition is that it is without it, the gold standard position loses the qualitative aspect and remains a quantitative (empirical). This is circular argumentation.

Once again: if the aforementioned examples of privately issued money are not fiat money, what are they? Also, if fiat currencies do not have value, why are they circulating in countries where they are not legal tender laws?

jerry April 15, 2010 at 11:20 am

Dear Peter

You are an idiot.

Kind Regards

Jerry

Peter Surda April 13, 2010 at 7:05 am

I have been listening to the Human Action audiobook and just today I heard something that seems to be in accordance with my claims. Let’s take a look at what the master says:

A sharp rise in commodity prices is not always an attending phenomenon of the boom. The increase of the quantity of fiduciary media certainly always has the potential effect of making prices rise. [p. 561] But it may happen that at the same time forces operating in the opposite direction are strong enough to keep the rise in prices within narrow limits or even to remove it entirely.

(emphasis added)

Maybe my evaluation of what the relevant forces are is incorrect. Nevertheless, even Mises agrees that the opposing forces are present and gives examples (if you read the text following the quotation).

So where exactly am I wrong?

frank April 13, 2010 at 9:04 am

Peter – you said this to me on another thread a week or two ago and you just ignored my response.

http://blog.mises.org/12153/the-gold-standard/comment-page-1/#comment-679793

Is it because you think I’m wrong?

Peter Surda April 15, 2010 at 5:17 am

Thank you for the reply. I don’t think you are wrong, you are just talking about different aspects of the phenomenon as me. I agree that credit inflation might have psychological effects, distort economic decision making and exacerbate boom&bust cycles. But I maintain that the difference between money backed by commodities and money backed by revenue is quantitative, rather than qualitative. The only qualitative difference I can see is if the money is commodity itself (e.g. gold coins, not gold-backed notes, deposit certificates etc). Therefore, my conclusion is that if notes are “legitimate” money, there should be no reason for the legitimacy to depend on the type of their backing. Conversely, if one rejects fiat money (assuming there are no legal tender laws), one should also reject money backed by commodity and stick to the commodity itself.

frank April 15, 2010 at 7:26 am

I was referring to your statement that increasing the money supply does not necessarily increase prices. As I said

“Ok. And on that basis, buying less food for this week would not necessarily mean having less food to eat as I might, say, win a hamper of food in a competition which would give me even more food? Such observations are trite and trivial. Anything COULD happen. The question is what happens systematically? What is the cause and effect?

Me buying food and winning a competition are independent events – not buying food does not make me more likely to win the weekly raffle. Howvever, printing money DOES hinder REAL economic growth – it creates first receivers and distorts the market.”

Yes, someone might find 1 billion barrels of oil in his garden on the same day that the money supply increases and so the effects of it would be offset. No’one is denying this – the phrase “all other things equal” is the standard way of qualifying it. But the prices are higher than they would have been without the increase in the money supply – the increase in the amount of oil is independent of the money and would have happened either way.

Peter Surda April 15, 2010 at 10:14 am

Maybe I should rephrase it. If you claim that a certain action (e.g. credit expansion) causes a price rise, you need to say what values you are comparing. If you are comparing the price that would be there without the expansion (assuming there are no other effects) at the same time, then obviously you are right (assuming no correlation). But that is not what is typically understood under “price rise”. Rather, that typically means that you compare prices from different times. And this difference may or may not be greater than zero, even if there is no correlation.

Michael A. Clem April 15, 2010 at 10:56 am

You’re not wrong, just obscuring the essential point. Let’s say that economic factors result in a lowering of prices. Call this p1. Now, let’s say that the same economic factors occur plus there is an increase in the money supply. Call this p2. p2 will be higher than p1. Why? Because of the increase in the money supply.
It would be wrong, or at least pointless, to say that an increase in the money supply may or may not result in higher prices. We want to know specifically what in increase in the money supply does. It makes prices higher than they otherwise would be, even if all economic factors result in overall lower prices. An economy is complex – we learn about individual factors by isolating them and seeing how that particular factor works. Only once we understand the individual variables can we try to put them all together and understand how they all interact with each other.

Peter Surda April 15, 2010 at 12:34 pm

I agree with everything in your post. Nevertheless, a lot of people here misrepresent this and produce incorrect arguments.

frank April 15, 2010 at 3:02 pm

Maybe. Or – seeing as i and probably everyone else here would also agree with Mr Clem’s very clear explanation – maybe you’re the one misinterpreting these arguments.

Peter Surda April 16, 2010 at 6:29 am

While that is entirely possible, it misses the point. I am merely pointing out that some arguments against increasing the money supply (e.g. against Mike Sproul’s RBD theory) depend on the misinterpretation. It can’t be both ways: if I’m wrong, then those arguments against increasing the money supply are wrong too. Now, I don’t claim RBD is correct, only that the “simple” argument of money supply increase does not invalidate it.

frank April 17, 2010 at 4:29 pm

A central claim to RBD (and one which if proved wrong brings down the house) is that if you issue paper money that is “backed” (not my word) by claims on goods, then this is fine and the prices don’t go higher than they would have been otherwise when it goes into circulation (there are no “misvaluations” to use Sproul’s word) – there is no upward pressure at all on prices.

This doesn’t make sense. What is the “the “simple” argument of money supply increase” argument, where is it made and by whom? And if you say it isn’t true but we’re all wrong, what do you think the problem with RBD is?

frank April 20, 2010 at 3:41 am

We see again what seems to be a common theme on this thread. Peter Surda laments

“I am wondering why I’m even trying to debate here. Noone seems to search for the core of their arguments and prefers to repeat dogmas.”

in one of his comments, yet he does nothing but either set-up straw men which he then dismisses or says things like “a lot of people here misrepresent this and produce incorrect arguments” without, despite the millions of words to choose from, so much as a single example, even when asked for one.

Peter Surda April 20, 2010 at 4:55 am

Thank you for the reply.

First of all, I am not completely sure Mike is using the definition of inflation you are using. I couldn’t find anything in the papers on his site that directly says this, but it appears he is measuring the development of the price index (comparing prices in different times) as opposed to comparing two hypothetical prices that would occur at the same time. If he is using the former, the critique you just used is inapplicable. That’s what I meant.

Now, lets’ assume that your interpretation is correct. Then let’s assume that by issuing money backed by expected revenue (rather than physical assets), that expected revenue becomes possible. In this case, while issuing money increased the money supply, the market size increased too, so it is possible that there is no upward pressure on the prices. Whather that actually happens depends several factors, not all of which are under the control of the issuer. But at least the hypothetical possibility exists.

Last but not least, I have several questions regarding assumptions presented here.

It was said before in this thread that banks can be insured against theft of gold and this negates the claim that gold-backed money can also lose backing. First, this does not prevent the loss of backing (and the unpleasant effects thereof, such as inflation and risk of bank run), it only prevents the bank from losing money. Second of all, if a bank can insure itself against theft of gold, why can’t it insure itself against a bank run?

It was also said here that “unbacked” money only has value because of legal tender laws. While I concur that legal tender laws are illegitimate, there are also examples of “unbacked” private currencies (e.g. the Ripple monetary system and others mentioned on the wikipedia entry on alternative currencies). What are those currencies then?

Also, if government-issued fiat currencies only have value due to legal tender laws, why do they circulate also in countries where they are not legal tender?

My core question is: what is the “hard” differentiating factor between money backed by physical assets (e.g. by gold) and money backed by expected revenue (e.g. “fiat” money)? I can’t find any, I only see quantitative differences. The only qualitative difference I see if the commodity itself is the money, only then there cannot be distortions related to problems with backing, because there is no such relationship.

I don’t really have answers, I only have questions.

Peter Surda April 20, 2010 at 5:00 am

Also, sorry for taking so long for the reply, the RSS feed for comments was broken for a couple of days and I didn’t see your post.

frank April 21, 2010 at 3:33 am

“You are using only one of the two definitions of inflation you mention. Your argument is only valid if Mike uses the same one.”I still don’t understand your objection. I’m not using any definition of “inflation” – I deliberately avoided it and explictly referred to increases in the money supply or increases in the general price level (and none of the previous discussions with Sproul on this thread hinge on misusing the word “inflation”). Can you rephrase why you think the argument put against RBD is invalid? Doing so without using the word inflation will be beneficial to all…

Yes, I know that you meant the “difference between gold-backed notes and IOUs” – these are fundamentally different. For the first, you have to acquire gold to issue them, meaning you have to evaluate and enter the market and acquire this gold by cutting back on your consumption or becoming more productive. For IOUS, you can issue them whenever you like without changing any of your behaviour so long as you get people to accept them – a different “skill” to say the least, and not a skill at all in the case of fiat money where you are obliged to accept the printed money.

Of these IOUs, you say “the market price of the IOU would drop, it would be traded at a discount, or to put it into other words, inflation”. This is of course true – but firstly think about why gold became money in the first place. What properties does the “best” money to have? Do we want various types of money that change value with respect to each other based on the soundness or not of the business investments of the issuer? Why not avoid this problem entirely and use gold, which means you only need to know about gold and not everything. What is the advantage to using IOUs (which are not simply property titles to gold)?

Secondly, like I said, how do we know when the amount of IOUs issued is valid (ie. Can be repaid) and when it is not? You just say “the market” will keep track of this. But this is the problem – “the market” needs good information. How does the market “know” how many IOUs have been issued? People can make a reasonable guess as to how much gold has and will be mined based on mining costs and so forth. People can’t reasonable predict how many IOUs will be put into circulation. Of course, eventually the issue of IOUs will cause prices to increase (all other things equal) – but at the end of this period when the market has adjusted prices, the people who issued the IOUs still have the “stuff” they bought with them, they don’t care that the rest of the population have each paid a little for this stuff in the form of higher prices.

What if Warren Buffet published “3 steps to being a millionaire” and everyone read it and decided that in anticipation of their future earnings, they will issue IOUs for 1 million dollars? Of course, this is a nonsense – these debts could not possibly be repaid, the resources required for everyone to take possession of 1 million dollars of stuff simply don’t exist. But if people can issue their own currency at any point, this situation (and the unpleasant dislocations it would bring) is possible. It is not possible with gold – gold entering the money supply is constrained by mining costs.

frank April 20, 2010 at 6:49 am

“First of all, I am not completely sure Mike….”

I’m afraid I’m still not sure what your objection is with regard to RBD or the arguments made against it on this thread. There are two separate concepts – an increase in the supply of money and an increase in the general price level. Inflation is used to refer to both of these at various times by different people, which is why in my post not last but one before I deliberately described the situation without using the word inflation. The disagreement with Mike Sproul is NOT about the defintion of inflation, it is about exactly what I said above ie.

“A central claim to RBD (and one which if proved wrong brings down the house) is that if you issue paper money that is “backed” (not my word) by claims on goods, then this is fine and the prices don’t go higher than they would have been otherwise when it goes into circulation (there are no “misvaluations” to use Sproul’s word) – there is no upward pressure at all on prices. This doesn’t make sense.”

You say:

“Then let’s assume that by issuing money backed by expected revenue (rather than physical assets), that expected revenue becomes possible. In this case, while issuing money increased the money supply, the market size increased too, so it is possible that there is no upward pressure on the prices. ”

When you say “expected revenue becomes possible”, are you saying that new goods and services have materialised as a result of the issue of IOUs and as a result the “market size [has] increased” too? This is where you are going off track. IOUs cannot create any new G&S, they can only redistribute existing ones. Say person A has no money but really wants a new jacket and doesn’t want to have to save up: so he writes IOUs which person B accepts in exchange for a jacket he made, and then B spends them with C, who we’ll assume also accepts them, and so on. Then A has increased his amount of the goods that exist in the economy by the amount of one jacket – he has added only paper, an IOU. This has the effect of increasing the money supply and therefore tending to push up prices (all other things equal yada yada).

How could this transaction not increase prices? Maybe B could work a sunday when he doesn’t usually. Maybe he “finds” a cow roaming in the fields which was not previously “known” to the market and therefore will not effect prices when it is used. In other words, if B used resources that were previously assigned to somewhere else to produce goods and services included in the price system, then this will have the effect of increasing the scarcity of those goods and services and therefore pushing up their price; whereas if he works hours he would not otherwise have done and “finds” a cow hide to use that was previously hidden from the market, then maybe that would mean extra goods and services have been produced as a result of the money issue.

But it is clear that this is contrived and is not about cause and effect – B could have worked more hours or found the cow with or without the money supply increase. In general, no goods and services are produced when the money is issued and instead existing resources are used to make the jacket, meaning someone else who was previously going to receive some product of these resources (a jacket or whatever) now goes without or pays a higher price. This is all simply the application of the lesson from “Economics in One Lesson”.

As for your other questions, you ask “if a bank can insure itself against theft of gold, why can’t it insure itself against a bank run?” and “if government-issued fiat currencies only have value due to legal tender laws, why do they circulate also in countries where they are not legal tender?” We could debate these, but I think there are other more fundamental questions before this which will make such questions redundant.

Finally, you say: “My core question is: what is the “hard” differentiating factor between money backed by physical assets (e.g. by gold) and money backed by expected revenue (e.g. “fiat” money)?”. Well, the differences between these are major and fundamental – I’m not sure what you mean when you say you don’t see a difference – gold and IOUs are clearly different.

But to make a comment relevant to this reply above is that with gold as money, person A has to sacrifice some of his consumption or become more productive in order to save up gold so he can buy a jacket. With IOUs, he just buys a jacket whenever he feels like so long as he gets someone to accept his IOU. The question is, how do we know he can pay it back in the future? Indeed, how does he know? And the 64,000 dollar question: what if too many people make too many promises to pay later for jackets when there is not in fact enough resources to go around to make these payments? With gold, this problem doesn’t arise – but with IOUs, you tell me what the safeguard is to prevent everyone making promises to pay that are literally impossible?

frank April 20, 2010 at 6:57 am

Actually, this was oversimplification – “But it is clear that this is contrived and is not about cause and effect – B could have worked more hours or found the cow with or without the money supply increase.” He is clearly working more hours because of the extra demand for the jacket – there is a “boom” in jacket making – and would not have otherwise. But the point is that this is a false boom, that there is no “real” extra demand for jackets, but one only based on future promises to pay (we all want more jackets, there needs to be a market mechansim to decide if they can actually be paid for).

Peter Surda April 20, 2010 at 7:54 am

I apologise, but I must drag you away from your argumentation path. The reason for this isn’t that I want to avoid answering your questions. The reason is that I see gaps in the assumptions you are making. It is possible that I just misinterpret the assumptions so please bear with me.

A central claim to RBD (and one which if proved wrong brings down the house) is that if you issue paper money that is “backed” (not my word) by claims on goods, then this is fine and the prices don’t go higher than they would have been otherwise when it goes into circulation (there are no “misvaluations” to use Sproul’s word) – there is no upward pressure at all on prices. This doesn’t make sense.

(emphasis added).

You are using only one of the two definitions of inflation you mention. Your argument is only valid if Mike uses the same one. However from reading Mike’s papers, I was not able to ascertain whether he uses the same, but there are indications that he uses the other one (change in price index).

IOUs cannot create any new G&S, they can only redistribute existing ones.

I need to think longer about this one, but I’ll admit now that you are at least partially right. If the issue of money only redistributed the supply rather than cause an increase in supply, obviously there would be pressure to increase the prices.

gold and IOUs are clearly different

Yes, but I was not referring to the difference between gold as commodity and IOU, rather to a difference between gold-backed notes and IOUs. Nevertheless, again I’ll admit that you are at least partially correct, if the issuance is not accompanied by a growth of supply, there is an obvious difference.

With IOUs, he just buys a jacket whenever he feels like so long as he gets someone to accept his IOU.

Yes, but there is also another option: the market price of the IOU would drop, it would be traded at a discount, or to put it into other words, inflation. But you get the same effect whenever there is an increase in supply of one good, all other things being equal. That’s why I don’t see a qualitative difference. Normally, a lower market price for a good is a good thing (no pun intended) for the consumers and bad for the producers. Why should it be suddenly the opposite with money? Isn’t it the legal tender laws that revert this phenomenon rather than the type of backing? I remember that Mises wrote in Human Action about international trade something in the sense that the difference between export of currency and export of goods is spurious, so why should it be any different with production thereof?

with IOUs, you tell me what the safeguard is to prevent everyone making promises to pay that are literally impossible?

The market, what else?

frank April 21, 2010 at 3:41 am

Peter – I did just reply to your questions above (which incidentally mean you are on the right track to working out what is going on, I remember asking such questions myself when I first started), I got the wrong post though to reply to. Not sure I like this new indenting style!

Peter Surda April 21, 2010 at 7:56 am

Thank you for your patience, I need to think about it. But I already have one answer now:

How does the market “know” how many IOUs have been issued?

If you look at the documentation to some of the alternative currency systems, they feature methods of providing this information, either in a centralised or decentralised fashion.

frank April 21, 2010 at 9:29 am

By the market “knowing”, I mean the price system – the number of IOUs issued has to be in the prices. If you have to consult an up-to-date list of the money supply to calculate by how many oz you should discount the note for x oz of gold you have in your hand every time you make a purchase, then the transaction costs of this money system are too high and it will in time be replaced by something else with a more constant unit of account.

Peter Surda April 21, 2010 at 12:02 pm

You don’t need to calculate anything. We have computers for that :-) . It’s kind of like saying that in order to use gold as money, you have to keep up with the current developments in metallurgy, geology, jewellery etc. Besides, the question really only arises if you are the one accepting the money (payee rather than payer).

frank April 23, 2010 at 4:20 am

“It’s kind of like saying that in order to use gold as money, you have to keep up with the current developments in metallurgy, geology, jewellery etc.”

In principle yes – one cannot and should not remove some level of responsibility from each user of money (this point is well made in The Ethics of Money Production by Hulsmann) – but it is a matter of degree. The supply of gold simply doesn’t move very quickly – this is one reason why it has been so popular as money. This is predictable from the way in which gold-money is obtained (ie. mining or from existing jewellery) and is an empirically verifiable historical fact, so future price changes based on changes in the money supply can safely be ignored by your average Joe.

Are you really suggesting that blasting out 100 tonnes of rock for a few grams of gold and writing “IOU” on a piece of paper are comparably constrained in this sense? That the market is equally knowledgable about the resource and capital intensive act of mining and simple act of putting ink to paper? Are you saying the supply of gold could have increased by hundreds in decades like the supply of dollars?

(I know it’s not that simple, that issuing IOUs requires a track record of trustworthiness and so forth, but still the point stands).

frank April 23, 2010 at 5:51 am

“Besides, the question really only arises if you are the one accepting the money (payee rather than payer).”

Thinking along these lines is dangerous. That some monetary conditions are better for one person and not another is not in dispute – a fiat money system is great if you’re the king. The question is what money system (what system of exchange) allows the members of the economy to maximise their productivity as a whole and distributes the produce most fairly (ie. according to natural law which people will go along with and not according to any one person’s say-so).

Peter Surda April 23, 2010 at 9:42 am

Thank you for pointing it out. Currencies have a varying composition of advantages for the buyer versus the seller. But that is a reason for having multiple of them competing. In some situations, people might prefer an electronic currency instead of physical. Or a currency with higher liquidity even at the cost of higher volatility.

Furthermore, as I said before, the currencies I mentioned have various unique features. One of them (forgot which one) for example makes it increasingly more difficult to increase supply. From this point of view it is even harder than gold, as a potential manipulator would need to invalidate mathematical theories or invest exponentially more than previous participants (which means he’d lose money anyway). On the other hand, if you invented a replicator (like in Star Trek) or cheap way to split and merge atoms, you might rapidly expand the supply of gold.

If you look at those currencies, issuing new units is much more difficult than writing an IOU on a piece of paper. It involves cryptography, distributed computing, chain of trust etc. In other words, issuing them requires scarce resources, significantly more so than if a central bank changes an entry in a database.

frank April 23, 2010 at 10:38 am

“Currencies have a varying composition of advantages for the buyer versus the seller. But that is a reason for having multiple of them competing. In some situations, people might prefer an electronic currency instead of physical. Or a currency with higher liquidity even at the cost of higher volatility.”

This is all way off the current discussion. Electronic or not is secondary. And I’m afraid I don’t konw what the last sentence means – use of the word “liquidity” should be banned.

“If you look at those currencies, issuing new units is much more difficult than writing an IOU on a piece of paper. It involves cryptography, distributed computing, chain of trust etc. In other words, issuing them requires scarce resources, significantly more so than if a central bank changes an entry in a database.”

The reluctance that people have to accepting that gold can do a good job as money never ceases to amaze me. You’re missing the point. Do the resources required to create this currency match what you can buy with this currency? If you write a little program to pop up a form to fill in to create more currency and calculate the RSA codes or whatever, one of the entry boxes will be “Amount” – it will take the same amount of time and resources to create currency of one dollar as 1 trillion dollars (save the 1 second to type 9 0s and maybe a few clock cycles). If these resources don’t match, those who can create the money will take advantage of this arbitrage opportunity by printing for themselves, unless you have the Angel Gabriel on hand to operate the printing press.

Peter Surda April 23, 2010 at 11:05 am

Please, just read how it works. Here are some links: Bitcoin, Ripple.

I agree that you have valid points. I don’t dispute that gold does a good job as money. Rather what I’m saying is that people might request features that gold or its substitutes do not have (or not in the desired level). We don’t know what would happen if legal tender laws were abolished, we can only speculate.

frank April 26, 2010 at 4:19 am

I did read how they work already. I have gold – physical gold – in my possession. Someone who wants this will have to invade my property to take it from me by force or other difficult means. If I have tokens in some database, this is a fundamentally different proposition. In worst case scenario of a meltdown after a crack-up boom (one which we might be learning more about soon), how do you hoard your money if it is an entry in a central database that might be thousands of miles away? What is there is a power failure? And these aren’t always like asking “what if there’s an earthquke” – there is cause and effect, non-sound money CAUSES crack-up booms, and my guess is that the market would eventually find ways to exploit the systems of which you speak to a significant degree.

“people might request features that gold or its substitutes do not have (or not in the desired level).”

Maybe I’m wrong, maybe they will work, in which case great. But what “features” are or might be demanded of money that gold does not supply? People might request anything – people might request a car made of chocolate, but those who know how cars work can point out the constraints on what cars can and can’t be made of it they are to actually end up as something that people can drive around in. These requests you mention, are they improving the money from what gold would be or making it worse? You need a good understanding of what money does before you can determine this, not just a general “there must be something better than gold” attitude.

“We don’t know what would happen if legal tender laws were abolished, we can only speculate.”

I suggest you read Do Soto’s “Money, bank credit and economic cycles” or Hulsmann’s “The Ethics of money production” for some monetary and banking history. Describing the knowledge they’ve assembled as “speculation” is simply not correct.

frank April 26, 2010 at 4:32 am

“Someone who wants this will have to invade my property to take it from me by force or other difficult means.”

“Difficult” was the wrong word there. “Visible” is better.

frank April 26, 2010 at 4:53 am

I’ve read the wikipedia page for the “Ripple” and “Bitcoin” monetary systems about 4 times each and still don’t really know how they can perform well as money or even how they work at all, it’s not very clear – my guess is they are designed by people who don’t really understand what properties money must have, but I’m happy to be proved wrong. And by the way, i’m not a layman in this field – I have a phd from an Artificial Intelligence research group and know more about nodes and networks of nodes and such than most.

Can you explain how they work please?

Peter Surda April 26, 2010 at 6:18 am

Ok, one step at a time.

I read Hüllsmann’s Ethics of Money Production and Rothbard’s What Has Government done to Our Money. From my point of view, large parts of them are simply collections of historical facts and analysis of what happens if government interferes with money production. However, none of them answer the question “what if”. They merely assume what the requirements for money would be. I also noticed that some opponents of gold standard behave the same way, they assume that the users of money have some requirements (which, of course, are different from those that the gold standard proponents assume). But what are the actual requirements? I don’t know, and I’m unconvinced by either side. I find it more likely to be a mix of both.

Let’s hypothesize too. Let’s say there is no legal tender laws, I have a small amount of gold for day-to-day transactions and large amount of IOUs (e.g. company shares) that I see as an investment. Now, I want to buy something that costs more than the amount of gold that I have. Instead of waiting for the IOUs to mature, why not ask the seller if he wouldn’t accept the IOU (maybe at discount)? If the seller accepts, the IOU becomes medium of exchange, without any commodity backing and without any government force. Now, hypothesize even more. If IOUs are sometimes accepted as medium of exchange, why wouldn’t there be specialists and markets that deal with them and promote their usage? So, the dominant position of gold as money becomes uncertain.

I admit I haven’t myself used either Bitcom or Ripple, but I think I understand a bit about how they work.

Bitcoin: virtual currency. In order to generate a coin, you need to expend resources, and the effort becomes progressively more difficult as more of them are in circulation. Inherent in the design there is an upper limit on how many coins can exist in total.

Ripple: a system of issuing your own “currency” and routing transactions anonymously. If you want to issue currency, you need to find someone that is willing to accept it for a transaction (receiving currency is literally seen as extending credit to the issuer), and you can set limits to the credit. Maybe it’s more accurate to call it a system of decentralised credit issue and routing system, without any money in the classical meaning.

frank April 28, 2010 at 4:13 am

Well, if you’ve read those two books then there is nothing more I can add in reality. You still casually dismiss the proponents of the gold standard but you do not I think understand the subtleties of the problem. You said earlier in this thread “Then let’s assume that by issuing money backed by expected revenue (rather than physical assets), that expected revenue becomes possible. In this case, while issuing money increased the money supply, the market size increased too, so it is possible that there is no upward pressure on the prices. ” I respectfully suggest that you can’t have understood what was said in these books and still make such statements on this site – printing money does not increase the amount of goods and services. Your theory, whatever it is, is not coherent as you present it here – the money supply, the available resources and the price system are intertwined and you can’t just alter one without evaluating the effect this has on the others, on the information which the market has to work with, and on the incentives of the money users.

And your lack of reflection on what I’ve said is now obvious in that you are repeating things you said earlier without regard for my answers and you are not even being internally consistent. For example, your answer to Sproul says

“The core problem, as I found out in the meantime, is not the valuation of the collateral, but that in order to negate the effect of monetary inflation, whatever you are using as a collateral needs to be removed from circulation.”

Although I wouldn’t phrase it like this, you are recognizing that prices rise when IOUs get into the money supply if the “collateral” is already part of the market/price system, it is double counting. Yet in your “hypothesizing” to me, you are perfectly happy for future as yet non-existent goods to be “coined” as money (which is much worse than allowing existing goods only in that it is nowhere near as constrained) and you don’t discuss and follow through with this price rises and the consequent distortions in the price system and wealth redistributions that this would bring about, and whether these are stable in the long run, despite such problems having been discussed to death on this thread.

And again you say “the users of money have some requirements” – I already said this is a separate and fairly trivial issue. Users requirements are to obtain as much of it as possible for as little work as possible, and these are in direct conflict with the “requirements” of the system as a whole ie. system being stable; respecting natural law (is it “fair”) in the distribution of the goods and services; respecting the property rights of the users of the money; and thereby maximizing the productivity of the economy as a whole. You are consistently looking at the “seen” and ignoring the “unseen”, the avoidance of which is on Page 1 of the Austrian Economics Manual and, indeed, the study of any complex system in engineering or biology or whatever.

In doing this, you ignore the effects of IOU issue on the information in the market and the amount of resources available. You still seem to write as if you can produce money and the resources will just appear – no, the money is just a mechanism for a price system and by which barter of real goods and services is made more convenient and efficient. The resources are the core, not the money. I said already, which you basically ignored:

“Secondly, like I said, how do we know when the amount of IOUs issued is valid (ie. Can be repaid) and when it is not? You just say “the market” will keep track of this. But this is the problem – “the market” needs good information. How does the market “know” how many IOUs have been issued? People can make a reasonable guess as to how much gold has and will be mined based on mining costs and so forth. People can’t reasonable predict how many IOUs will be put into circulation. Of course, eventually the issue of IOUs will cause prices to increase (all other things equal) – but at the end of this period when the market has adjusted prices, the people who issued the IOUs still have the “stuff” they bought with them, they don’t care that the rest of the population have each paid a little for this stuff in the form of higher prices. What if Warren Buffet published “3 steps to being a millionaire” and everyone read it and decided that in anticipation of their future earnings, they will issue IOUs for 1 million dollars? Of course, this is a nonsense – these debts could not possibly be repaid, the resources required for everyone to take possession of 1 million dollars of stuff simply don’t exist. But if people can issue their own currency at any point, this situation (and the unpleasant dislocations it would bring) is possible. It is not possible with gold – gold entering the money supply is constrained by mining costs.”

I say again, you can hypothesise all you want about the issue of IOUs which everyone of course says they will honour (who doesn’t?), how do we know when there are actually enough resources to repay these IOUs though? When individuals lose because of a false promise they themselves made, that’s one thing. When the money system sets up a long game of musical chairs and whoever happens to be holding the bits of worthless paper when the music stops (ie. the resource crunch arrives) loses out, that is different – this is not respecting property rights but violating them; it is changing the incentives of the market participants; and it causes booms and busts; i could go on….

Peter Surda April 28, 2010 at 4:59 am

… while issuing money increased the money supply, the market size increased too …

You already explained why in your opinion this is faulty reasoning and I said that although I am not 100% sure about the condition, I agree with the implication (which also explains my further arguments). So please disregard this argument.

Your theory, whatever it is, is not coherent as you present it here.

Please note that you managed at least partially to persuade me. You quote me saying … as I found out in the meantime … but probably missed it while reading the whole quote.

The questions whether IOUs lead to inflation and whether people are willing to accept them as a medium of exchange are two individual issues, even though

Also, I don’t claim to have a theory, but that I have objections to existing theories. You continually miss the point of my objections. I do not (anymore) claim that issuance of IOUs does not lead to monetary inflation. My concern is about the position of gold. I do not claim that you are necessarily wrong about gold establishing itself as an only (or even dominant) currency in hypothetical situation with no government interference with currency markets, but that that conclusion is based on unproven assumptions. The correct counterargument would be to prove the assumptions and explain why my examples are wrong. In my humble opinion, the existence of privately issued money that is not backed by commodities presents a serious threat to the theory and needs to be addressed. They exist even though you might not understand fully how they work.

frank April 28, 2010 at 5:59 am

I know you partially retracted that statement, but the point is that you had read those books before you made it, so like I said, I suggest that you didn’t understand fully what was contained in these book or you would not have said it. It’s no good saying you’re not convinved by the arguments of Hulsmann or Rothbard when your own statements show that you didn’t fully comprehend them.

No, I did not miss your use of the phrase “as I found out in the meantime” – the hypothesising about the issue of the IOUs occurred in your last post but one, after your post to Sproul. So what I said is: your statement to Sproul says IOU issue causes inflation (and so forth); your post to me – made after this admission – suggests to me that IOU issue is ok WITHOUT considering these very causes, and I say that the post was therefore of questionable value.

You’re right, I didn’t understand your point clearly. Maybe now I do. I’m not arguing that gold will remain for ever the only money that will or could ever emerge on a free market. Obviously – because this doesn’t even apply to the past, let alone the future. I AM saying though that money should be a commodity of some kind and if it is not, booms and busts and the like are certainties.

You are saying it could be “electronic” like these currencies you point out. I am saying that you should understand the precisely what money is and its effects on the economy, and exactly why tradiionally money and other commodities have been the free market money, before you are can make such statements. I’m not saying that they’re necessarily wrong – although I do think so, I admit I have not made this argument – I’m saying you have to undesrstand commodity money clearly before you can say you have a better monetary system.

Peter Surda April 28, 2010 at 10:06 am

Dear Frank,

I readily admit the possibility that I missed something obvious from the books. Which is the reason why I’m participating in the debate. I perceive gaps in arguments and want to have them closed. I don’t particularly care which conclusion is the correct one, as long as, obiously, it is the correct one.

… hypothesising about the issue of the IOUs occurred in your last post but one, after your post to Sproul …

I think you misunderstood my argument.

… suggests to me that IOU issue is ok WITHOUT considering these very causes …

In the post you are referring to, I did not claim that issuing IOUs does not cause inflation. I believe you use a different defintion of “ok” than me. So, allow me to reformulate. I claim that IOUs can, hypothetically, provide money functionality, even in the absence of government interference, even if it still causes (monetary) inflation and exacerbates business cycles. However, in the absence of force (i.e. government), inflation becomes an externality, rather than fraud/contract violation/whatever. If that happens, will you take a gun and start arresting people that issue IOUs? That would be an initiation of force. So, you might need to face the choice between initation of force and presence of inflation.

Kindly note, I am not advocating any of the above. I am merely suggesting that my arguments need to be disproved and, in my humble opinion, this has not happened yet.

frank April 29, 2010 at 4:49 am

“However, in the absence of force (i.e. government), inflation becomes an externality, rather than fraud/contract violation/whatever. If that happens, will you take a gun and start arresting people that issue IOUs? That would be an initiation of force. So, you might need to face the choice between initation of force and presence of inflation.”

Ok, let’s just accept that non-commodity money will introduce price and market dislocations and cause booms and busts etc. Then your objection to the gold standard proponents seems to be not that is doesn’t work well but that in a free market, people will always want stuff when they don’t have whatever-commodity-is-money to pay for it and so will issue IOUs in an attempt to get stuff from others and hopefully pass on the costs to someone else in the future? I agree 100% of course, people will always try to issue IOUs to get stuff that they haven’t assembled the wealth to pay for. This is true for any money system, gold or otherwise, and putting in place a system which makes this as hard as possible is the aim of any such money system. This is what I’ve been saying all along – it is far easier to get more than you are have truly earned with IOUs than gold. So gold in fact greatly reduces the problem you bring up, so this can’t reasonably be an objection to it.

Your objection seems to be not that it doesn’t work but that it won’t stay in place. Now, the assumption that issuing IOUs is possible by anyone at any point needs to be examined. this has been assumed for the sake of argument, but of course it is not true – to get you to accept my IOU takes effort on my part, a track record of paying IOUs out when asked and so forth. To get you to accept an IOU that you have no intention of keeping but want to pass on to someone else, this takes much more effort, not everyone will agree with your assessment of my trustworthiness. One step more, to have my IOUs be so marketable that they circulate as “money” ie. the unit of exchange, is even more difficult.

You think that in such circumstances, bad money will rise to the top and allow users of it to create these externalities? Gresham’s law comes about only when the government fixes the price of money somehow, it doesn’t happen on a free market. I think you’re wrong and that the free market will solve the money problem like it does with everything else. That is, people want to “issue IOUs” with everything, not just money. Such charlatans might want to sell a PC or shoes or lawnmower that is cheaper to make than others with similar specification because they leave out essential safeguards and use cheaper parts meaning that it falls apart just after the typical user has finished paying for it and the warranty has run out. Please point out where this happens now, where products decline in quality or where people still consistently buy faulty products despite previous ones being unfit for purpose**?

I know nothing about how a car works or how to evaluate the suitability for purpose of one myself directly by opening the hood, but all the ones I have bought have worked out just fine – there is a market process in place which works. But you think people will be persuaded to use paper for a while, there’ll be a crunch of some kind, many will lose this money and then next time around they’;ll do it all over again? I don’t – in my experience, there is nothing people learn from more than losing a pile of money. So I don;t accept your claim that one must choose between force or inflation.

** and note, I’m thinking only industries which are completely unconnected to government and do not depend on their spending or subsidies or interference? I agree this is contentious as for example I think the food industry is “selling IOUs” to the public on an unbelievable scale – in that they sell what they claim and what people accept as the same as peaches 100 years ago but they are not, they have travelled long distances and so are devoid of nutrients and are covered in pesticides and these produce problems much further down the line, the costs are “externalised” (never mind the fast food industry) – but I think this is largely or completely due to government involvement in agriculture and medicine. I have no direct evidence for this though really. So, I don’t think it will, but if you can convince me that, without government legal tender laws, money will follow the same path as food…

Peter Surda April 29, 2010 at 5:23 am

Dear Frank,

I think you are getting closer to what I mean, but it still looks like I haven’t been able to explain some of the finer points of my musings.

First of all, in my opinion, if at least one person is willing to accept something as a medium of exchange, that becomes money. It does not mean universal acceptance. What if one person refuses to accept gold, does it then unbecome money? Of course not. Therefore, the difference is quantitative rather than qualitative.

A lot of people trade shares (which are basically IOUs). If I want to buy something and am short of gold, there is no specific reason why a seller wouldn’t accept some company’s share in that case, if he is already willing to trade it in different cases. If the supremacy of commodities was ultimate, there would be no markets for financial instruments whatsoever. If something can be sold on market, it can also become a medium of exchange. Obviously, not everything is equally suitable for that purpose, but I see no reason why a dominant medium should arise.

I did not say that bad money would rise to the top, rather that the composition of the money structure would reflect requirements of market’s participants (which, to me, are unknown). With all due respect, it is you who claims to know what those requirements are, without any proof. I am pointing out that besides medium of exchange there are also other general requirements: unit of account, store of value. There is also the question of time preference: as an exchange for your services on the market, would you prefer a definite amount of commodity now, or a volatile future revenue? You claim that people always prefer the former (again, unproved and in my opinion questionable).

I agree that correct information is important. But, again, if I agree with your premise that the economic utility of IOU is somehow qualitatively different from a commodity certificate, by reductio ad absurdum that would mean that in the absence of force, there would be no markets for labour or services. Since this is demonstrably wrong, it also should follow that in the absence of force, IOUs would be traded and therefore circulate. To what extent, either absolute or relative to gold, I don’t know.

frank April 29, 2010 at 7:36 am

This is going round in circles. We can define “money” (and any other word) to be whatever we like for purposes of discussion, but the definitions should be useful. But you are now saying something is “money” if it is involved in any or a single exchange. As this could be anything, this doesn’t seem very useful to me – in fact, to be frank, it is so stupid that I’m thinking now that you are not prepared to think about this properly at all and this isn’t worth the effort.

Yes, people are for example paid in shares sometimes. But they aren’t buying groceries with shares, and those shares are priced on the market in terms of dollars. No’one ever bought an apple which costs “0.3% of a General Electric share”. People don’t buy cars with shares, they buy them with the money they sold the shares for. You say you have read “What has the government done to our money”? I suggest you should give it another read – you do not have any respect for the lengths to which Rothbard goes to establish useful terms and definitions for these actions of which you speak. For example he says:

“..the superiority of butter—the reason there is extra demand for it beyond simple consumption— is its greater marketability. If one good is more marketable than another—if everyone is confident that it will be more readily sold—then it will come into greater demand because it will be used as a medium of exchange. It will be the medium through which one specialist can exchange his product for the goods of other specialists…Now just as in nature there is a great variety. As they are more and more selected as media, the demand for them increases because of this
use, and so they become even more marketable. The result is a reinforcing spiral: more marketability causes wider use as a medium which causes more marketability, etc. Eventually, one or two commodities are used as general media—in
almost all exchanges—and these are called money. Historically, many different goods have been used as media: tobacco in colonial Virginia, sugar in the West Indies, salt in Abyssinia, cattle in ancient Greece, nails in Scotland, copper in ancient Egypt, and grain, beads, tea, cowrie shells, and fishhooks. Through the centuries, two
commodities, gold and silver, have emerged as money in the free competition of the market…”

You say to me: “I did not say that bad money would rise to the top, rather that the composition of the money structure would reflect requirements of market’s participants (which, to me, are unknown). With all due respect, it is you who claims to know what those requirements are, without any proof.”

I’m not sure what you’re looking for here – have you made any effort to read much monetary history? There is tonnes of it on this site (although as you responded to my suggestion to read Hulsmann’s book by saying it was merely a “collection of facts” I’m not sure what else you want). Throughout history all societies of which I have any knowledge have settled on one or two commodities as money or have had fiat money. I would be much more justified in asking you which societies have prospered without a common currency? In which ones has “the composition of the money structure [reflected the] requirements of market’s participants” in a different way, with some other structure which Rothbard was too stupid or idle or ignorant to have discovered? I’m sure some exist but these are exceptions – the most marketable commodities becomes money because that is what is most convenient – even when goods are free a money emerges as the famous story of currency in a german POW camps illustrated http://www.ecoteacher.asn.au/pow.doc.

You say: “If the supremacy of commodities was ultimate, there would be no markets for financial instruments whatsoever.” What are you talking about? Financial instruments are not money – they are bought WITH money. You are totally missing the point. Maybe you’re saying that if shares became the most marketable commodity, then these are not a commodity directly and this contradicts the theory of the commodity money fundamentalists. Well, I doubt this would happen with shares at all, but say some shares did become sufficiently marketable -they are not “IOUS” jsut because they are paper. They represent claims on real goods, capital goods, offices, contract agreements, trade agreements, patents, whatever – they are not just “bits of paper”, they are titles to property and other real, if not tangible goods, so it’s not quite as simple as you say. But as shares have never become money in history, i suggest it is you making the leap of faith.

And I don’t know what you’re on about here: “But, again, if I agree with your premise that the economic utility of IOU is somehow qualitatively different from a commodity certificate, by reductio ad absurdum that would mean that in the absence of force, there would be no markets for labour or services.”

Sorry Peter, I think the problems you have here are ill-defined and can only be well-defined by you further learning about the body of work that you are claiming is incorrect.

Peter Surda April 29, 2010 at 8:59 am

I am afraid you still miss my point. Here is an a good example:

Throughout history all societies of which I have any knowledge have settled on one or two commodities as money or have had fiat money.

According to praxeology, economic laws cannot be confirmed or refued by historical facts. In my opinion, the above is a historical fact, rather than an economic law.

You present your arguments continuously in a way that they depend on the empirical, rather than deductive reasoning. I have presented to you multiple examples which show that money that is not backed by commodities can exist in a free market. You attempt to refute them by saying that some aspects of them are disadvantageous when compared to gold. But that argument depends on people’s preferences (which, again, you have not deductively shown). Mike Sandifer, for example, said here that he doesn’t mind using inflationary money, because he believes the advantages for him outweigh the disadvantages. My point isn’t whether he’s right or wrong, but that his preference being counter to your assumption invalidates the assumption.

If you want to persuade me, you need to stop using empirical data and inductive reasoning.

So, let’s start from the beginning. Must all people be willing to accept “something” in an exchange so that it becomes money? Furthermore, does “something” gain emergent properties by becoming money? If the answer to both is negative, in my opinion, you need to accept my reductio ad absurdum arguments.

frank May 4, 2010 at 5:18 am

No Peter sorry – like I said, I think you need to think and learn more about the terms and concepts which you are saying are wrong. I’m afraid I draw the line at being given tutorials from people who confuse financial instruments with money.

Look at this interview with Doug French from just last week.

http://blog.mises.org/12596/an-interview-with-doug-french/

Douglas French: Mises exposed the fallacies of the quantity theory of money and Irving Fisher’s “equation of exchange.” Mises put individual choice into monetary theory and dispensed with the “distorted concentration on mechanistic relations between aggregates.” Mises’s Regression Theorem showed that money can only be established by the market, beginning with barter, not by government construct. This of course has been proved right as every fiat currency in history has ultimately been made worthless.”

Douglas French: Certainly freely competitive banking is far better than the state regulated, fractional-reserve, fiat currency, central bank cartelized banking system we have now. However, in practice, in a free market, I don’t believe that the market would accept fractional reserves. It would be regarded as embezzlement at best and fraud at worst. Fractional reserve systems have fallen apart since the ancient goldsmiths issued more gold receipts than they had gold for. I can appreciate the theorizing, but when the rubber meets the road, the sternest task master – the market – would just not allow it.

He referred to the real world in his answers! Are you saying Doug French – who did a phd under Rothbard – doesn’t understand praxeology? Have you thought that maybe it is you who does not fully understand the terms and concepts you are using?

Peter Surda May 4, 2010 at 6:51 am

Thanks for the reply Frank,

while I am prepared to admit I am not completely sure about all aspects of monetary theory(-ies), I also don’t think it’s because of lack of learning. I consider myself not exactly stupid and am actually quite open to studying more about the topic. As I said, I read the aforementioned books by Austrians. I also had macroeconomics back at the university, and, similarly, had problems with agreeing with the theory. My objection isn’t about whether a theory is right or wrong, but whether the conclusions follow from the premises, strictly from scientific point of view.

Douglas French:

Mises’s Regression Theorem showed that money can only be established by the market, beginning with barter, not by government construct. This of course has been proved right as every fiat currency in history has ultimately been made worthless.

It appears that Douglas French uses the word “fiat currency” only with respect to currencies created by government. From this point of view, he might be right, but I am not interested in that aspect of the problem. I am interested in what happens in the absence of government interference.

Douglas French again:

However, in practice, in a free market, I don’t believe that the market would accept fractional reserves. It would be regarded as embezzlement at best and fraud at worst.

This interpretation is, in my humble opinion, only possible if the bank promised 100% liquidity for the account. Otherwise, issuing company shares can also be considered fraud. If on the other hand they would separate backing of current accounts (100% backing, 100% liquidity) and of savings accounts (fractional reserve backing, limited withdrawal), the changes to backing might be minimal. So instead of getting rid of fractional reserves, I think it is more likely that stronger product diversification would occur. To what extent that might affect the composition of “money”, I don’t know. Possibly, the money in the savings accounts created this way would not be considered to meet the criteria of “money” from the austrian perspective.

Are you saying Doug French – who did a phd under Rothbard – doesn’t understand praxeology?

No, rather that what you presented is not an answer to my question, although, of course, it might be true.

Have you thought that maybe it is you who does not fully understand the terms and concepts you are using?

Yes, this thought has actually been plaguing me ever since I started to be interested in economics long time ago. But let me reverse the question and ask you this: are you sure that the definitions you are using have been derived deductively as praxeology requires, rather than inductively based on historical developments?

I showed for example, that there exist currencies that are privately issued and do not have commodity backing. How do they fit into the picture? Obviously, if fiat money is defined by being issued by government and commodity money is either commodity itself or 100% backed by commodities, these currencies are of a third type. In my opinion, it logically follows that any argument that does not account for this third type is rendered invalid.

It kind of reminds me of the very common logical error of opponents of anarchocapitalism, who often assume that getting rid of government is equivalent to getting rid of the services it provides, whereas it means getting rid of the monopoly for those services (in addition to state and chaos, there is a third type). Mises himself committed this error, in Human Action:

An anarchistic society would be exposed to the
mercy of every individual. Society cannot exist if the majority is not ready
to hinder, by the application or threat of violent action, minorities from
destroying the social order. This power is vested in the state or government.

This is a non sequitur. The desirability of a monopoly does not follow, only the desirability of provision of this service. Now, I don’t blame him. I also used the same argument when I was a minarchist. It simply had never occured to me that the argument depends on a false assumption. Just like it is possible that it never occured to you that in a free market, only the government-issued “fiat” currency would cease to exist.

What persuaded me to switch to anarchocapitalism was Hoppe’s application of the economic calculation argument to the provision of security. I’m nowhere near Hoppe’s level, so don’t expect a similar feat from me. I still might be wrong. But the absence of a proof is not the proof of absence.

frank May 5, 2010 at 5:27 am

“This interpretation is, in my humble opinion, only possible if the bank promised 100% liquidity for the account. Otherwise, issuing company shares can also be considered fraud. If on the other hand they would separate backing of current accounts (100% backing, 100% liquidity) and of savings accounts (fractional reserve backing, limited withdrawal), the changes to backing might be minimal. So instead of getting rid of fractional reserves, I think it is more likely that stronger product diversification would occur.”

My view is that there are properties of money (that are not help by other goods and services) that you are not properly thinking through and understanding and that doing so is essential before debating other more subtle things. If you try and explain the above paragraph again in more detail (and, please, without using the words “liquidity” or “backing”) I will hopefully be able to clarify what I mean.

Peter Surda May 6, 2010 at 8:04 am

There are two separate issues.

If people are willing to accept “something” as a medium of exchange, even if you are reluctant to call it money for various reasons, it nevertheless by definition performs the function of being a medium of exchange.

The second issue is that Austrians typically do not agree that a third party should be able sue for fraud against the wishes of the parties involved in a contract. Therefore, if a bank manages to separate their financial products more strictly and does not offer fractional reserve products to people that think it’s fraud (e.g. by correctly stipulating the conditions in the contract), they are able to avoid 100% reserves. If these conditions are fulfilled, instead of fraud, inflation would become an externality, i.e. still negative effect but not a contract violation and therefore not sue-able.

frank May 7, 2010 at 5:57 am

Peter, the second issue is a red herring, it has nothing to do with the problems you are referring to. This issue just vanishes into the ether with further understanding.

Firstly you say:”If people are willing to accept “something” as a medium of exchange, even if you are reluctant to call it money for various reasons, it nevertheless by definition performs the function of being a medium of exchange.”

NO! YOU ARE CHASING YOUR TAIL. You use the “phrase” by definition, yet what definition are you referring to? If you declare any item that has ever been exchanged for anything as a “medium of exchange”, then almost everything is a medium of exchange. And for how long? Is salt still a medium of exchange because it was used 2000 years ago? Or cattle? I swapped dvds with someone last week, are dvds a medium of exchange? According to you, they are. But this is a supremely useless and ridiculous definition. I quoted above already from Rothbard, and will do so again:

“..the superiority of butter—the reason there is extra demand for it beyond simple consumption— is its greater marketability. If one good is more marketable than another—if everyone is confident that it will be more readily sold—then it will come into greater demand because it will be used as a medium of exchange. It will be the medium through which one specialist can exchange his product for the goods of other specialists…Now just as in nature there is a great variety. As they are more and more selected as media, the demand for them increases because of this use, and so they become even more marketable. The result is a reinforcing spiral: more marketability causes wider use as a medium which causes more marketability, etc. Eventually, one or two commodities are used as general media—in almost all exchanges—and these are called money. Historically, many different goods have been used as media: tobacco in colonial Virginia, sugar in the West Indies, salt in Abyssinia, cattle in ancient Greece, nails in Scotland, copper in ancient Egypt, and grain, beads, tea, cowrie shells, and fishhooks. Through the centuries, two commodities, gold and silver, have emerged as money in the free competition of the market…”

Yet you completely ignore this category of goods that Rothbard is describing here (which I and probably everyone else on this site would refer to as “money” and consider it well defined) and obfuscate the issue by using the phrase “money” and “medium of exchange” in unhelpful and ludicrous ways. You say I’m “reluctant” to use the term “Money” in this fashion? I am. I apologise for using terms as they are generally understood and not according to your whims.

You also refuse to do what I asked – to expand upon this paragraph

“This interpretation is, in my humble opinion, only possible if the bank promised 100% liquidity for the account. Otherwise, issuing company shares can also be considered fraud. If on the other hand they would separate backing of current accounts (100% backing, 100% liquidity) and of savings accounts (fractional reserve backing, limited withdrawal), the changes to backing might be minimal. So instead of getting rid of fractional reserves, I think it is more likely that stronger product diversification would occur.”

and without using the words “backing” or “liquidity”. Doing so would force you to confront the contradictions in your thought. You don’t do this either.

You have ignored all my attempts to get you to expand on how your theory IOUs allow the amount of actual resources to be overestimated ie. my hypothetical problem of Warren Buffet issuing a book and everyone issuing IOUs against what they think they will earn. Expanding on this would force you to confront the contradictions in your theory – you don’t do this either.

You tell me how clever you are and how you did a course o macroeconomics. Who cares? You are clearly unable or unwilling to understand, formulate or stick to definitions in a way that allows a debate to move forward. Instead we go round in circles – yet you have the neck to explain to me what the fundamentals are, while using ill-defined words and terms?

Peter Surda May 7, 2010 at 8:49 am

Frank,

for some reason you have trouble comprehending what I write. Instead of trying to explain your own theory, you counterattack my theory. The problem is, there is no “my theory”. I merely have objections to yours. I’ll start from the end.

You tell me how clever you are and how you did a course o macroeconomics.

You heavily misinterpret what I said. I said that despite attending courses and reading books about the topic, I can’t fully agree with any of the theories about money presented to me. I need to completely understand a position in order to agree with it. I agree with large parts of the austrian economic school, but I laid out my remaining objections to the money theory, mainly what would happen in the absence of government interference.

You use the “phrase” by definition, yet what definition are you referring to?

The one from the beggining of the same sentence. Please reread what I said:

If people are willing to accept “something” as a medium of exchange, even if you are reluctant to call it money for various reasons, it nevertheless by definition performs the function of being a medium of exchange.

My point is that the willingness creates a medium of exchange, even if you have objections to call that “thing” money. You argue that you can’t call something “money” because it does not fulfill some criteria that are derived from your theory. But if exchange happens nevertheless, your argument becomes inapplicable.

Yet you completely ignore this category of goods that Rothbard is describing here (which I and probably everyone else on this site would refer to as “money” and consider it well defined) and obfuscate the issue by using the phrase “money” and “medium of exchange” in unhelpful and ludicrous ways.

I do not ignore this category, but I am pointing out that it defines money by historical developments, rather than deductive reasoning. While it does not make the definition false, it merely makes it unusable for praxeological arguments. Saying that because of historical development in the past, future development will be the same is not what the austrian school of economics does.

Doing so would force you to confront the contradictions in your thought. You don’t do this either.

I strongly believe you miss the point of the argument. So let me ask you the other way around. If fractional reserve banking is fraud, who is the victim? Surely, you can only be a victim of fraud if you are a bank’s customer. I my opinion, there are only two ways you can become a customer: you open an account with it, and you accept notes issued by it. Noone forces you to do either, that is your free will. But if you do either, and the conditions in both cases are accurately reflected in the contract (e.g. that there is no 100% reserve, there might be limits to when to withdraw etc), there cannot be fraud. If you reject both methods of becoming that bank’s customer, there can’t be fraud either. However, as long as some people accept the conditions, there will still be credit expansion.

You have ignored all my attempts to get you to expand on how your theory IOUs allow the amount of actual resources to be overestimated.

On the contrary, this is one of the things we agree on. But we disagree on whether it can happen without government interference (which I do not know but claim it needs to be proved/disproved and it hasn’t happened yet) and whether this is illegitimate (which I claim that it only is if the contracts lie but in general is avoidable).

Instead we go round in circles

We are moving in circles because you fail to provide definitions that are deductively derived. It is fine that you disagree with my definitions, but you haven’t provided a replacement.

frank May 10, 2010 at 6:57 am

My “theory” is really quite simple – I agree 100% with what Doug French said which I quoted above.

You think I have difficulty understanding what you write. I disagree. You have to subscribe to a working theory whether you like it or not – the sum total of your statements and assertions must at least be consistent with each other. That is, you can’t reasonably object with contradictory statements. Let’s examine your “theory” then.

You say: “I am not interested in that aspect of the problem. I am interested in what happens in the absence of government interference.”

Ok. Let’s assume no state coercion or legal tender laws. Firstly, we need to be able to exchange information efficiently and unambiguously. Yet you make this difficult. You say:

“If people are willing to accept “something” as a medium of exchange, even if you are reluctant to call it money for various reasons, it nevertheless by definition performs the function of being a medium of exchange.”

“My point is that the willingness creates a medium of exchange, even if you have objections to call that “thing” money. You argue that you can’t call something “money” because it does not fulfill some criteria that are derived from your theory. But if exchange happens nevertheless, your argument becomes inapplicable.”

“I showed for example, that there exist currencies that are privately issued and do not have commodity backing.”

“there are also examples of “unbacked” private currencies (e.g. the Ripple monetary system and others mentioned on the wikipedia entry on alternative currencies). What are those currencies then?”

“In my humble opinion, the existence of privately issued money that is not backed by commodities presents a serious threat to the theory and needs to be addressed. They exist even though you might not understand fully how they work.”

“First of all, in my opinion, if at least one person is willing to accept something as a medium of exchange, that becomes money. It does not mean universal acceptance. What if one person refuses to accept gold, does it then unbecome money? Of course not. Therefore, the difference is quantitative rather than qualitative.”

“I do not ignore this category, but I am pointing out that it defines money by historical developments, rather than deductive reasoning. While it does not make the definition false, it merely makes it unusable for praxeological arguments. Saying that because of historical development in the past, future development will be the same is not what the austrian school of economics does.”

It is impossible to stay on point though when you obfuscate the issue with poor or unhelpful or just wrong word choice as you do often. When you say “currency”, is this “money”? Most importantly, you rather bafflingly refuse to distinguish between two clearly different entities – Rothbard describes how there will in general be one or two commodities which come to be one half of all or almost all exchanges and thereby become something we can call “money”, in contrast to something which is used sparingly in exchange which is not referred to as money. I don’t understand your objection, I really don’t. It is deductive – he explains how there is a reinforcing spiral, a feedback, and what’s more it is of course based on Mises regression theorem (p405 HA). In this section Mises actually says “Finally it was objected to the regression theorem that its approach is historical, not theoretical. This objection is no less mistaken..” if you disagree then disagree then do it with Mises words at that point.

I find your stance extremely odd though. It’s as if you were saying there is no such thing as an epidemic, that there is contagious disease and once we get one contagious disease this just joins the list of other contagious diseases, and like you are arguing that I can’t define what an epidemic is because I can’t say “deductively” exactly when and how one will occur, or say a priori exactly the point at which it becomes an epidemic, so therefore epidemics don’t exist. Fine in the ivory-tower academic-type world if that’s your thing but in the real world, epidemics most certainly do exist, and their existence is useful, whether we can define the exact point something becomes one or not. Similarly, some things end up with the reinforcing spiral that makes them sufficiently marketable to become “money” and some things are just used in exchange in isolation but are not “money”. I really don’t understand your objection to this simple distinction.

I say again, I think you are confused about what praxeology is – it is about establishing some conditions and saying that if these conditions occur then XYZ will necessarily follow. It is not about being able to say exactly what will happen ie. exactly what will happen to the money with so many possible variables that are unknown.

So I reject your claim that there is “money” in use in society today (Ripple or whatever) that does not conform to Mises regression theorem. These are not “money” until they enter the reinforcing spiral Rothbard spoke of. This is not word games, it is fundamental. Tp prove me wrong, you then need to either point out where Mises erred (using his words) or explain how the currencies you speak of actually did arise according to the Regression Theorem.

Putting this aside then, what else did you say?

“The core problem, as I found out in the meantime, is not the valuation of the collateral, but that in order to negate the effect of monetary inflation, whatever you are using as a collateral needs to be removed from circulation.”

“I claim that IOUs can, hypothetically, provide money functionality, even in the absence of government interference, even if it still causes (monetary) inflation and exacerbates business cycles. However, in the absence of force (i.e. government), inflation becomes an externality, rather than fraud/contract violation/whatever.”

“I agree that you have valid points. I don’t dispute that gold does a good job as money. Rather what I’m saying is that people might request features that gold or its substitutes do not have (or not in the desired level). We don’t know what would happen if legal tender laws were abolished, we can only speculate.”

“On the contrary, this is one of the things we agree on. But we disagree on whether it can happen without government interference (which I do not know but claim it needs to be proved/disproved and it hasn’t happened yet) and whether this is illegitimate (which I claim that it only is if the contracts lie but in general is avoidable).”

You agree that an increase in the money supply will increase prices and there will be market distortions and consequent booms and busts. You agree that gold does a good job as money. You agree that IOU issue can result in an overestimation of the resources available.

And let’s say that for now i’m not interested in whether issuing IOUs is “illegitimate” in any moral sense. That leaves you caring whether: people won’t stay on the gold standard in a free market – IOU issue will happen ad infinitum and therefore we will have perpetual booms and busts so Austrians are wrong to say gold is a solution; or whether (as Doug French thinks) the market will eventually teach people what good and bad money is and eventually some commodity money will arise and remain stable until government intervention or some other extreme circumstances.

So your disagreement – whether or not gold would take hold in a free market – is really quite tame. Firstly, no’one is saying 100% that gold will become money in a free market (though I think this it would). I’m fairly certain that some commodity – something conforming to the Regression Theroem – would do so, but am happy to let the market decide. As I said,

“You think that in such circumstances, bad money will rise to the top and allow users of it to create these externalities? Gresham’s law comes about only when the government fixes the price of money somehow, it doesn’t happen on a free market. I think you’re wrong and that the free market will solve the money problem like it does with everything else. That is, people want to “issue IOUs” with everything, not just money. Such charlatans might want to sell a PC or shoes or lawnmower that is cheaper to make than others with similar specification because they leave out essential safeguards and use cheaper parts meaning that it falls apart just after the typical user has finished paying for it and the warranty has run out. Please point out where this happens now, where products decline in quality or where people still consistently buy faulty products despite previous ones being unfit for purpose**?”

It might take decades to take hold, but take hold it will.

I think your objection is much more insubstantial than you think it is and really comes down to thinking that Mises Regression Theorem is wrong. If you think so, please point out where.

One random point:

You say: “If fractional reserve banking is fraud…” I didn’t say it was fraud, not if it is clear that money is created that does not correspond to reserves and people know this. You can’t use the actions of people in today’s system to judge this – all deposits are insured by the government, so people don’t know or care about reserves. Without such insurance though – the free market situation we are interested in – one or more round of people losing THEIR money (and not passing the losses into the common pool of losses) (ie. visible rather than invisible losses) will sharpen people’s minds.

Peter Surda May 10, 2010 at 4:46 pm

Dear Frank,

thank you for your thoughtful reply. Unfortunately, I think you still do not understand the core of my objections. Which is not whether your conclusions are true, but whether they logically follow from the premises. Again, let me start from the end:

I think your objection is much more insubstantial than you think it is and really comes down to thinking that Mises Regression Theorem is wrong.

The point isn’t whether my objection is substantial or not. The point is that is that the whole chain is as strong as its weakest link. So far, my questions remain unanswered. You might not consider it important, and that’s fine. But I want to have a correct understanding of this topic.

You say: “If fractional reserve banking is fraud…” I didn’t say it was fraud…

But you quoted Doug French saying it is, and then you say you agree with him 100%.

That leaves you caring whether: … perpetual booms and busts … or … commodity money will arise and remain stable …

In a way, yes. Nevertheless, there are some additional issues making it uncertain which one it will be, hopefully I’ll manage to explain below.

You agree that an increase in the money supply will increase prices and there will be market distortions and consequent booms and busts. You agree that gold does a good job as money. You agree that IOU issue can result in an overestimation of the resources available.

Yes, that is correct.

So I reject your claim that there is “money” in use in society today (Ripple or whatever) that does not conform to Mises regression theorem.

Which brings me back to the original question: if they are not money, what are they?

It’s as if you were saying there is no such thing as an epidemic, that there is contagious disease and once we get one contagious disease this just joins the list of other contagious diseases, and like you are arguing that I can’t define what an epidemic is because I can’t say “deductively” exactly when and how one will occur, or say a priori exactly the point at which it becomes an epidemic, so therefore epidemics don’t exist.

This gives me a bit of hope that I managed to explain my objection, and brings me back to the question of emergent properties. An epidemic does not mean that after a certain threshold of infected population is passed, the disease gains new properties, but that certain effects start to be more important or apparent. Or it could mean that after the threshold, the global effect outweighs the local effect. It does not mean the global effect is not present below the threshold, but that people need to pay closer attention to it.

Similarly, with money, the effects we are debating (e.g. inflation, fraud, creation without government interference) have to be present at all levels, only be more apparent when the network effects kick in. If fractional reserve banking is fraud, all IOUs are fraud. If fiat money causes inflation, all IOUs cause inflation. If fiat money can’t be created without government interference, IOUs cannot be created either. It just might not be as obvious.

Now, you will probably react in one of the following ways: you may agree that this indeed disproves one step in the chain, or you will say that I’m an idiot and that the rules do not apply without the network effects. But if you opt for the latter, it remains to you to show how the rules change, which you assert, but never prove.

It is impossible to stay on point though when you obfuscate the issue with poor or unhelpful or just wrong word choice as you do often.

A strange comment indeed from someone who is unable to provide definitions.

Rothbard describes how there will in general be one or two commodities which come to be one half of all or almost all exchanges and thereby become something we can call “money”, in contrast to something which is used sparingly in exchange which is not referred to as money.

Precisely my point. The argument is that by fulfilling the criteria of widespread usage, “something” gains new features and becomes money. Unfortunately, this is the step that is not explained.

You have to subscribe to a working theory whether you like it or not – the sum total of your statements and assertions must at least be consistent with each other.

Yes, and although you may have not noticed it, this is what I’m attempting to do. However, while I know the direction, I do not know what the destination is. Therefore my reluctance to call my arguments “theory”.

frank May 21, 2010 at 4:46 am

“Which brings me back to the original question: if they are not money, what are they?”

There is no point in discussing another bunch of definitions not relevant to this discussion, they’re not “money” as per The Regression Theorem and/or Rothbard – if you disagree, please explain how using their words as your starting point.  Look on the homepage for the Ripple “money” you keep banging on about:

“Suppose you’re in Canada and you want to send money to a friend in Sweden. You log in to your online banking service and enter your friend’s Ripple ID (like an email address), and the amount you want to send. Your bank’s Ripple server communicates with your friend’s Ripple server and they coordinate to find a payment path between you. Your bank reports back the cost to you with transaction fees, if any, for your approval. The money ends up in one of your friend’s accounts a few seconds later.”

This is more like paypal. Confusing paypal with money is even more absurd than your earlier confusion of financial instruments with money.

Fractional reserve banking. Please read EXACTLY what Doug French said:

“…I don’t believe that the market would accept fractional reserves. It would be regarded as embezzlement at best and fraud at worst.”

He’s not making a “deductive” argument, he is speculating on how the market participants would view fractional reserve banking in a free market when bank deposits of the account holders vanish (unlike now because of insurance) and provides a range of views they might have on having their pockets turned out, the worst of these views being fraud. I agree with this statement. He does not state the argument you are refuting ie. “FRB is fraud” – so please refute the actual words and not straw men. What’s more, I specifically expanded on what I said after this comment to be clear, and I think what I said was in fact clear. “FRB is fraud” is not a statement one can make without suitable qualifiers – I actually DO think it is “fraud” as I would define the word, but I’m avoiding saying it explicitly here as frb is only one part of a web of deceit and “fraud” is an ill-defined word about which we could have interminable and pointless discussions. A discussion of what “fraud” means is off topic and not relevant to this discussion, we don’t need to use the word fraud, we can use other better defined words.

And you say I am “unable to provide definitions”?  I am in fact bending over backwards to use only clearly defined terms. I spent paragraphs AGAIN trying to establish what we can agree “money” is in a free market it. Yet look at your paragraph:

“Similarly, with money, the effects we are debating (e.g. inflation, fraud, creation without government interference) have to be present at all levels, only be more apparent when the network effects kick in. If fractional reserve banking is fraud, all IOUs are fraud. If fiat money causes inflation, all IOUs cause inflation. If fiat money can’t be created without government interference, IOUs cannot be created either. It just might not be as obvious.”

You can’t make sense if you are not careful with your words. For example, “fiat money” is not an IOU from a private citizen – fiat money is that which is money only by virtue of government “fiat” ie. legal tender laws, so “fiat money can’t be created without government interference” yes but it does not follow that IOUs in general can’t exist. As it stands, this statement is nonsensical. And ” IOUs cannot be created” – “created”? What kind of word is that? What does that refer to? Making them with a printer? Using them for exchange? What has to happen for one to be “created”? It is impossible to know what you mean when you are this careless with words.

I asked you earlier at least twice to rephrase a paragraph in a different way without using certain words, but in each case you refuse. You think this is pointless? I disagree. Part of your confusion is that you don’t take the time or care to phrase things correctly or clearly – doing so will often answer the question you are asking.

You still object to Rothbard’s words on money by saying firstly: 

“An epidemic does not mean that after a certain threshold of infected population is passed, the disease gains new properties, but that certain effects start to be more important or apparent.”

The disease itself does not get new properties no. But its effect on the people and the system as a whole changes as it becomes more common – this is so obvious that I can’t believe I have to write it down. When the proportion of the population who is infected increases, the chances of catching the disease increase, changing people’s incentives (staying in more or buying face masks or whatever). When the proportion of people who use commodity XYZ as their means of exchange increases, the more uses this commodity has (ie. you can expect to be able to use it for more of your exchanges and stop using the other commodity ABC which the market participants have deemed less useful for this purpose) then the demand for XYZ rises. This really is very simple. You can call these network effects if you want, but they flow seamlessly from the micro level.

”Precisely my point. The argument is that by fulfilling the criteria of widespread usage, “something” gains new features and becomes money. Unfortunately, this is the step that is not explained.”

After a lot of complaining (1000s of words) about the claims of “gold standard proponents”, this is the root of your objection???? Then there is nothing more I can say really. I mean, what is it you want explained? I am now more and not less confused. You don’t even seem to deny epidemics can and do happen – you seem to want me to explain, in a blog comment, “how” they come about? This could be a mathematical/systems analysis question as much as anything else and a highly non-trivial one at that – the variables in real life in such a system are dynamic and there is no way a priori to determine what will happen. So a “deductive” explanation of how these things happen is impossible if that’s what you want. I think you are looking for deductive reasoning where none exists. Conclusions drawn from The Second Law of Thermodynamics are not deductive in the sense that the law is not absolutely true – but it is violated only in the vast, vast minority of cases. Do you refuse to travel in steam engines until such a proof is forthcoming? 

I have skipped your two paragraphs that preceded this not because I agree with them but because I don’t really understand your point – “network effects” is moving towards the answer but there is really no need to make it so complicated. And I think you’re saying macro effects should be tracked back to micro, on which I couldn’t agree more, nor could everyone else on this site – connecting micro to macro is one of the core principles of AE. Rothbard spends an entire chapter on the application of this principle to money in The Mystery of Banking, near the start. It is YOU who is not doing this – and this is mainly because you don’t know what “money” is yet.

Peter Surda May 25, 2010 at 3:26 am

Dear Frank,

thank you for your effort, but I don’t think there is anything more I can learn from you. You are unwilling to cross a certain threshold and dig deeper to find the core, the source, the essence. I am a curious guy and the replies you are producing are simply not enough for me.

tralphkays April 12, 2010 at 8:41 pm

Mike Sproul said earlier: “If someone writes up some paper promises to deliver 1 oz of gold or 1 oz. of silver, then those promises, assuming they are adequately backed, will be worth 1 oz. But the printing of some pieces of paper does not affect the quantity of gold or silver, and so will not affect the prices of gold or silver.” This statement is at the heart of most of the confusion over Mikes theories. The first problem is that to a great many people here the term “backed” means only that the issuer of the notes has set aside an amount of gold or silver (or whatever else constitutes money) exactly equal to the amount of the notes, AND NOTHING ELSE. Mike clearly doesn’t mean this and it is useless and a little dumb to argue with him without clearing up this definition. By backing he only means that the issuer has some reasonably probable expectation that they can acquire the gold or silver necessary to honor the notes. “If someone writes up some paper promises to deliver 1 oz of gold or 1 oz. of silver, then those promises, assuming they are adequately backed, will be worth 1 oz.” This statement does not mean as much as Mike thinks it does. It does not create money for instance, the notes could not exchange as money UNLESS gold or silver were already money. If gold or silver were not accepted as general media of exchange, then notes based on them would not be either. I know it may sound like a trivial point, but it really isn’t. People are continually pointing out that the notes wouldn’t necessarily be “worth” one ounce, that they would possibly be discounted by time preference or because of uncertainty over their redemption. These are valid points to bring up, but they are irrelevant to Mikes point. It is certainly possible that they would be accepted at face value, that people would readily accept the notes in exactly the way they accept the gold or silver money. “But the printing of some pieces of paper does not affect the quantity of gold or silver, and so will not affect the prices of gold or silver.” This is where Mike is wrong. He is obscuring the fact that gold or silver had to be money before the notes could become money, because he needs to seperate out the “note money” from all other money for RBD to work. Rothbard pointed out that it is not the physical structure of items that makes them the same (or different) products in the market place, it is the subjective valuation of actors in the marketplace that determines this. If similar products exchange for different amounts in the open market, then they are in fact different products, as far as ECONOMICS is concerned. Likewise, if two different looking things exchange equivalently, then they are in fact the same thing, as far as ECONOMICS is concerned. If Mikes notes actually do trade the same as gold or silver, then they are in fact the same thing, as far as ECONOMICS is concerned. Money is money no matter what it looks like, an increase in one “type” will either break the “equivalence” of the various types, or if it doesn’t, it must affect the value of all money. Mike asserts that an increase in the supply of actual gold or silver will affect the value of the notes that they circulate along side of as equivalents, but that the opposite is not true, that an increase in the notes that trade as equivalent to gold or silver will have no affect on the value of the gold or silver money. Note that a logical conclusion from his argument is that by removing gold or silver from circulation one would increase the value of gold and silver and thus of the notes, and since the quantity of notes has no impact on the value of gold and silver one could make an infinite amount of paper money have an infinite value per note.

cret April 28, 2010 at 6:14 am

“…printing money does not increase the amount of goods and services.”

has anyone ever said that this occurs???

is upward pressure on prices a problem???

are other factors constantly at work with printing money that can also put downward pressure on prices>???

Michael A. Clem April 20, 2010 at 9:15 am

In other words, Mike Sproul is skating on thin ice, relying on vague definitions and fudge words. What does Mike mean by “inflation”, and how does he define “adequate” backing, for example? Note, however, that Mike is the one who is always bringing up IOU’s in his examples–the implication is clear that he considers IOU’s to be adequate backing for the issuance of new money, and although he will always admit that the backing “assets” could fall in value, he never cares to speculate on what causes this fall in value. An increase in the supply of money, perhaps? Mike hasn’t said so.

Michael A. Clem April 20, 2010 at 9:22 am

Normally, a lower market price for a good is a good thing (no pun intended) for the consumers and bad for the producers. Why should it be suddenly the opposite with money?

Because money is the medium of exchange–it is the good that all other goods are traded against. This creates an inverse relationship between money and other goods.

Peter Surda April 20, 2010 at 10:04 am

I am sorry, but from my perspective, this is not a qualitative distinction. Theoretically, anything can be used as a medium of exchange (absent legal tender of course), merely some things are better suited at this than others. Same as with anything else that happens on the market. Furthermore, there are also other functions that money can have, e.g. store of value, unit of account and a standard of deferred payment.

Also, if you have commodity money, which effect takes precedence?

Michael A. Clem April 20, 2010 at 11:31 am

It doesn’t matter what is being used as a medium of exchange, just that it IS being used as such. This doesn’t invalidate the other functions of money, although it can have a big impact on “store of value”. I don’t know what you mean by “which effect takes precedence”. That a good (such as gold) is being used both as money and as a non-money good just means that it is being impacted dually, depending upon the use of the commodity. The precedence would be determined by the use.
Also, note that we are talking about the overall money supply in the economy. Any particular individual would naturally desire to have more money, if it’s relative to other people in the economy, because it increases his own personal purchasing power. That’s the whole reason central banks do tend to inflate, because special interests get the new money first and thus have more purchasing power before the inflated money significantly impacts the economy in more general terms. A case of Bastiat’s the seen and the unseen.

Peter Surda April 21, 2010 at 3:29 am

Thank you for your thoughtful reply, I will think about it.

cret April 21, 2010 at 6:49 am

is a gold backed note an IOU??

Peter Surda April 21, 2010 at 7:19 am

This is a very good question, I have been wondering myself. I think that if a note is just a deposit certificate (100% reserve), then it’s not an IOU.

frank April 21, 2010 at 7:41 am

They can mean whatever you want really, but I am talking of either property titles to gold or else IOUs. Whether the IOUs will circulate as money or not is a question being avoided here for simplicity, we just assume they go into circulation and are used as money.

I don’t like the word “backed” – it is close to meaningless as Mike Sproul uses it, either the piece of paper is a property title to some commodity or it is an IOU. IOUs could be split into those which are collateralised and those which are not: note that collateralised IOUs and property titles to gold (or whatever) are NOT the same thing, which was what the whole discussion with (or ass-kicking of) Mike Sproul was about in the first place.

cret April 21, 2010 at 8:24 am

not sure about ass kicking. some may deserve it or worse.

but generally a gold-backed note, i guess as they were, (pay the bearer of this note…etc) that cirulated was an iou???

if there was enough gold for them they were true…but if there wasnt enough gold for them many werent true. is that correct??

frank April 21, 2010 at 8:33 am

Not sure what your question is exactly. I would say again, either the piece of paper gives you title to a specific quantity of gold held in reserve for this purpose – or it doesn’t (in which case I’m calling it an IOU). It used to be that dollars were exchangable by Joe Blow for gold, then only central banks could claim gold, now no’one.

Michael A. Clem April 21, 2010 at 8:43 am

“IOU” is hardly a proper financial term, but if we have to make a distinction, I would say that an IOU is merely a promise to pay sometime in the future, meaning the person issuing the IOU doesn’t necessarily have the money or commodity now (if they did, why would they be issuing an IOU?). A gold certificate is a title to a specific amount of gold that the owner or bank already has. A certificate should not be issued if they don’t already have the gold. Thus, I don’t consider gold certificates to be IOU’s.

frank April 21, 2010 at 9:04 am

That’s exactly how I’m using it.

Peter Surda April 21, 2010 at 9:55 am

Allow me my own attempt. If you issue a note against a reserve of commodity money (e.g. gold), it means that instead of that amount of gold being in circulation, the note is in circulation. If the reserve of commodity is in circulation prior to the issuance, it has to be removed from circulation. You can think of it as a kind of swap. So the effect on money supply compared to commodity money itself is zero (all other things being equal).

However, in general, if you issue an IOU, you don’t need to remove anything from circulation.

While I am still not 100% convinced about all the claims of gold standard proponents, at least I agree with them on the above.

Michael A. Clem April 21, 2010 at 11:11 am

Right. So a gold certificate would be a money substitute, because the certificate is circulating as money in lieu of the gold, which is the actual money.

Mike Sproul April 21, 2010 at 11:39 am

A rational person does not accept an IOU unless he gets adequate collateral. A pawn shop will accept my $20 IOU if I hand over my TV set. That IOU promises dollars, but it is backed by the TV. A bank will accept my $100,000 IOU if I give them a lien on my house. In both cases, the IOU is denominated in one thing (dollars) but backed by something that does not consist of actual dollars, but which can be traded for dollars.

There is no point in declaring that one thing is money while another is merely a money substitute. 300 years ago, economists declared that only coins were money, while paper bank notes were money substitutes. Once they accepted that paper notes were actually money, along came checking accounts, which they declared money substitutes. Once they accepted checking accounts as money, along came credit cards, which they called money substitutes. In 100 years they’ll call credit cards money, but there will be some new kind of money that economists will insist is only a money substitute.

jerry April 22, 2010 at 8:57 am

People refer to McDonalds as “food” and some feed it to themselves and to their kids a lot. It is not food in the sense of providing essential energy, vitamins, minerals, nutrients etc without adding any other toxins which may cause longer term damage. It certainly wouldn’t have been thought food based on the standards of 300 years ago.

Does this mean we have no choice just to call it “food” along with whatever food was in the old days, because that’s what people think? Of course not – we just need to be vigilant in our definitions and define precisely what we are talking about and if this means more words then so be it. When I say I work in order to buy food, if there is any doubt about what kind of food, I can qualify with “health food” or “non-fast food” or whatever level of abstraction and detail is helpful. The existence of McDonalds does not and need not corrupt the fields of biochemistry and nutrition.

In the same way, that people use the word money loosely (most in fact have no idea what it historicaly was compared to what it is now despite their lives revolving around it) should not corrupt economic science.

Mike – I’m sorry to say this but you simply have no idea what you’re talking about, despite the confidence with which you write. You make individual points which seem to make sense in isolation but they do not form a coherent whole, they are contradictory. Feel free to answer my the question I put to you and which you are avoiding if you want to prove me wrong.

http://blog.mises.org/12367/should-the-quantity-of-money-be-increased/comment-page-1/#comment-683011

Peter Surda April 23, 2010 at 9:59 am

Mike,

two issues. The core problem, as I found out in the meantime, is not the valuation of the collateral, but that in order to negate the effect of monetary inflation, whatever you are using as a collateral needs to be removed from circulation. If people in general do not accept the collateral directly as something that circulates, monetary inflation results.

And, similarly as others point out, you seem to be using the term “money substitute” very vaguely. Your usage seems to be something like “if people accept the substitute in cases where they would have accept the original”. But that omits the problem described in the previous paragraph. It is not about if, in general, the substitute is usable just like original money, but if the particular unit of substitute in circulation is offset by removal from circulation of the equivalent unit of the original.

tralphkays April 21, 2010 at 1:24 pm

Mike Sproul makes an interesting point, but as usual misses the target entirely. Certainly there is too much use of the phrase “money substitute”. Most of the mis-use of the term derives from an inadequate understanding of what money is and is not, in the science of economics. The casual observor may feel that anything, that they can take into a store, that allows them to walk out with their purchases, is money. In the science of economics this definition is inadequate, no matter how sufficiently it works in everyday life. The lumping together of various economically distinct phenomena under one term is nothing but obfuscation. That something can be exchanged for something else does not make it money, else everything would be money. People can and do engage in barter, things are exchanged for other things, none of them are money. If I buy gold coins with silver coins, which one is money and which is the goods? Or am I just bartering? If I exchange dollars for potatoes, what makes the dollars money and the potatoes not money? Why aren’t the potatoes money? Exchange alone does not identify what money is. Money is also the commonly accepted medium of exchange, in other words, one can reasonably expect that anyone they meet will be willing to accept the money, no matter its ultimate source. My personal checks are not money; even though I can buy groceries with a check, the grocer cannot take my checks on vacation with him and buy a mai tai on the beach in Hawaii. My personal checks, despite my sterling reputation, are not, as yet, accepted as a general medium of exchange. They may someday become widely accepted as a general medium of exchange, in which case they will have become money, but sadly that has not yet happened.(300 years ago bank notes may have been in fact “money substitutes” in the same way as my checks; that they eventually became accepted as money is irrelevant to their classification at the time; just as the inevitable acceptance of my personal checks as money in the future is irrelevant to how they are classified NOW) This nitpicking may be of no interest in my day to day life, but it is of great importance in the science of economics, which is concerned with the detailed understanding of exchange. Mike Sproul and many other people “know” what money is, but have never bothered with a definition. Complaining about the use of the phrase “money substitute”, without adequately defining what “money” is, does not advance the discussion one whit.

Gerry Flaychy April 21, 2010 at 6:25 pm

A promissory note constitutes a promise to pay while an IOU simply acknowledged the existence of a debt.

The first implied the second, but the second does not implied the first.

But it happens often that peoples call a promissory note an IOU. Let’s not be misleaded !

frank April 22, 2010 at 5:07 am

So you are suggesting we split possible money into (if we ignore electronic/fractional reserve money for now):

- commodity money (either the commodity itself or bits of paper giving the holder title to a specific amount of the commodity set aside as reserves)
- fiat money (ie. bits of paper without intrinsic value but designated legal tender )
- private IOUs (say tralphkays cheques or bankers drafts? Is this a reasonable definition)
- promissory notes

How exactly is the split between “promissory note” and “IOU” determined and relevant? I’m not saying it’s not, I’m just asking what you think. What you say suggests people are accepting IOUs without any promise that it will be paid. Except in the case of fiat money, what mechanism produces this?

Gerry Flaychy April 22, 2010 at 6:49 pm

Here is what I think.

With an IOU, we don’t promise to pay.

With a promissory note, we promise to pay, usually with details of how, when we will pay and other details.

Most of the time, when we speak about IOUs, we mean promissory notes.

Banks’ promissory notes of the past, payables on demand, are not the only promissory notes that can be issued, but they had the property to be used as a medium of exchange by a great lot of peoples, many successive times from one to other, for long period of time, and in a certain area: only locally in certain cases, regionally or nationally in other.

Cheques or bankers drafts are only orders to pay, orders to transfert money. Usually they serve only one time.

Simple IOUs (without any promise to pay), are usually used between individuals, more as a reminder than else.

Promissory notes between individuals and merchants are not used as general media of exchange, at least nowadays. But we can use them to get ‘money’, if we need some.

cret April 27, 2010 at 12:42 am

With an IOU, we don’t promise to pay.

what does iou stand for?? if it is a reminder or somethig what is it a reminder of??

is a promissory note a reminder??? if you destroyed your promissory note and had a bad memory how does that differ from the iou???

cret April 23, 2010 at 1:03 pm

“Should the Quantity of Money Be Increased?”

is money then the general medium of exchange that arises in a market…without a kahuna or govt mandating it??

if there is barter and money enters a barter-economy i assume that occurs because people want to increase exchange????
is there point where the money should not be increased so as to eliminate all barter???
were gold and silver chosen as money because they had some commodity use or mostly due to other properties??

also, does anyone here feel they would be better off with gold and silver as money??? has the current fiat-dollar non-money system made anyone here worse off????
do you think that being paid in a small silver coin would get you more than being paid in fiat-dollars would now????

“Are you saying the supply of gold could have increased by hundreds in decades like the supply of dollars?”
is this a bad thing??

cret April 23, 2010 at 1:06 pm

“With an IOU, we don’t promise to pay.”does it mean that someone will promise to pay?? but we dont exactly know who??”Simple IOUs (without any promise to pay), are usually used between individuals, more as a reminder than else.”what then does iou stand for? if a reminder is what you have of a debt how is it not a promise to pay??

Comments on this entry are closed.

Previous post:

Next post: