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	<title>Comments on: Correcting Quiggin on Austrian Business-Cycle Theory</title>
	<atom:link href="http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/</link>
	<description>Proceeding Ever More Boldly Against Evil</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 18 May 2013 19:01:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: newson</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-551718</link>
		<dc:creator>newson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 21:25:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-551718</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[i also liked another hulsmann critique of frb (on top of abom&#039;s tip) -
http://mises.org/journals/rae/pdf/RAE9_1_1.pdf]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>i also liked another hulsmann critique of frb (on top of abom&#8217;s tip) -<br />
<a href="http://mises.org/journals/rae/pdf/RAE9_1_1.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://mises.org/journals/rae/pdf/RAE9_1_1.pdf</a></p>
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		<title>By: newson</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-551708</link>
		<dc:creator>newson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 21:04:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-551708</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[for me, the first three chapters were the &lt;B&gt;essential&lt;/b&gt; ones, the remainder of the book treading familiar ground.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>for me, the first three chapters were the <b>essential</b> ones, the remainder of the book treading familiar ground.</p>
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		<title>By: fundamentalist</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-551248</link>
		<dc:creator>fundamentalist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 01:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-551248</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thanks guys. You know, I read de Soto&#039;s book and just forgot about that first chapter. ]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks guys. You know, I read de Soto&#8217;s book and just forgot about that first chapter. </p>
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		<title>By: ABOM </title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-551206</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM </dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 23:38:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-551206</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just to follow on from newson&#039;s excellent start:

http://mises.org/journals/jls/18_3/18_3_3.pdf

http://www.scribd.com/doc/12808637/Fractional-Reserve-Banking-as-Economic-Parasitism-by-Vladimir-Z-Nuri

http://www.jeffvail.net/2009/02/fractional-reserve-banking-and-growth.html

http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-2737288_ITM]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just to follow on from newson&#8217;s excellent start:</p>
<p><a href="http://mises.org/journals/jls/18_3/18_3_3.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://mises.org/journals/jls/18_3/18_3_3.pdf</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/12808637/Fractional-Reserve-Banking-as-Economic-Parasitism-by-Vladimir-Z-Nuri" rel="nofollow">http://www.scribd.com/doc/12808637/Fractional-Reserve-Banking-as-Economic-Parasitism-by-Vladimir-Z-Nuri</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.jeffvail.net/2009/02/fractional-reserve-banking-and-growth.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.jeffvail.net/2009/02/fractional-reserve-banking-and-growth.html</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-2737288_ITM" rel="nofollow">http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-2737288_ITM</a></p>
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		<title>By: newson</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-551175</link>
		<dc:creator>newson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 22:05:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-551175</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[to fundamentalist:
the first chapter of huerta de soto&#039;s &quot;money, bank credit and economic cycles&quot; deals with the romans, and their treatment of the irregular deposit contract.  (horrible stuff for dyed-in-the-wool  free-bankers, great insights for others)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>to fundamentalist:<br />
the first chapter of huerta de soto&#8217;s &#8220;money, bank credit and economic cycles&#8221; deals with the romans, and their treatment of the irregular deposit contract.  (horrible stuff for dyed-in-the-wool  free-bankers, great insights for others)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: fundamentalist</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-550744</link>
		<dc:creator>fundamentalist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 02:14:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-550744</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ABOM, Can you provide any references for the practicie of banning fractional banking by the Romans? I think that is very interesting because the earliest I had seen it reported before was in Venice at its peak. If the Romans recognized it and banned it, that&#039;s important to know.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ABOM, Can you provide any references for the practicie of banning fractional banking by the Romans? I think that is very interesting because the earliest I had seen it reported before was in Venice at its peak. If the Romans recognized it and banned it, that&#8217;s important to know.</p>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-550475</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 May 2009 12:26:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-550475</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think we can resolve this issue once and for all by agreeing with the following objective proposition:

The practice of Fractional Reserve Banking has had a contentious history and although some consider the practice free of negative ethical or legal defects, others strongly disagree, arguing that it is both immoral and destructive of the economic and social order.  

Some civilizations have outlawed the practice in the past and even executed its pracititioners, considering the practice a violation of property rights (akin to embezzlement).  

Modern societies do not currently consider bankers worthy of summary execution, and no modern economy currently outlaws the practice.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think we can resolve this issue once and for all by agreeing with the following objective proposition:</p>
<p>The practice of Fractional Reserve Banking has had a contentious history and although some consider the practice free of negative ethical or legal defects, others strongly disagree, arguing that it is both immoral and destructive of the economic and social order.  </p>
<p>Some civilizations have outlawed the practice in the past and even executed its pracititioners, considering the practice a violation of property rights (akin to embezzlement).  </p>
<p>Modern societies do not currently consider bankers worthy of summary execution, and no modern economy currently outlaws the practice.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-550471</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 May 2009 12:15:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-550471</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Forgive me, Steve, but I&#039;d bet on the wisdom and morality of the Romans ahead of the average American academic or government representative.

Call me strange.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forgive me, Steve, but I&#8217;d bet on the wisdom and morality of the Romans ahead of the average American academic or government representative.</p>
<p>Call me strange.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Steven Horwitz</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-550412</link>
		<dc:creator>Steven Horwitz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 May 2009 09:20:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-550412</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ABOM:

Maybe the Romans were simply wrong about FRB!   Your &quot;logic&quot; amounts to begging the question. 

By analogy, you must think charging interest has legal and ethical defects:

&quot;If charging interest has no legal or ethical defects, why did a major civilization criminalize the practice for centuries?&quot;

Identifying logical fallacies is evidently not a strength of yours.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ABOM:</p>
<p>Maybe the Romans were simply wrong about FRB!   Your &#8220;logic&#8221; amounts to begging the question. </p>
<p>By analogy, you must think charging interest has legal and ethical defects:</p>
<p>&#8220;If charging interest has no legal or ethical defects, why did a major civilization criminalize the practice for centuries?&#8221;</p>
<p>Identifying logical fallacies is evidently not a strength of yours.</p>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-550071</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 30 May 2009 17:00:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-550071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(1) If FRB has no &quot;legal or ethical&quot; defects, why did a major civilization criminalize the practice and jail (or kill) its practitioners?

(2) The Roman Empire lasted a few years longer than the current crumbling American &quot;Paper House of Cards&quot; Empire.  

At least the Romans slyly swapped silver for debased copper, which gave them a few more years before the monetary system finally imploded.

The US went from gold straight to worthless paper on August 15, 1971, signaling a kind of accelerated mass monetary suicide.  

Sorry to be so brutally explicit, but it looks like you needed some help following the logic.  

Picking up subtle implications from simple statements is evidently not a strength of yours.

]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(1) If FRB has no &#8220;legal or ethical&#8221; defects, why did a major civilization criminalize the practice and jail (or kill) its practitioners?</p>
<p>(2) The Roman Empire lasted a few years longer than the current crumbling American &#8220;Paper House of Cards&#8221; Empire.  </p>
<p>At least the Romans slyly swapped silver for debased copper, which gave them a few more years before the monetary system finally imploded.</p>
<p>The US went from gold straight to worthless paper on August 15, 1971, signaling a kind of accelerated mass monetary suicide.  </p>
<p>Sorry to be so brutally explicit, but it looks like you needed some help following the logic.  </p>
<p>Picking up subtle implications from simple statements is evidently not a strength of yours.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-549395</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2009 06:22:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-549395</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What else are we supposed to take the Ancient Romans as the ultimate authority on? Good grief what a bad argument. ]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What else are we supposed to take the Ancient Romans as the ultimate authority on? Good grief what a bad argument. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548829</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2009 02:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548829</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gutsy call, Steve.  Gutsy call.  

The Ancient Romans didn&#039;t agree, consistently outlawing the practice as an immoral violation of property rights.  

But then again, what would they know.  The barbarians.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gutsy call, Steve.  Gutsy call.  </p>
<p>The Ancient Romans didn&#8217;t agree, consistently outlawing the practice as an immoral violation of property rights.  </p>
<p>But then again, what would they know.  The barbarians.</p>
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		<title>By: newson</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548801</link>
		<dc:creator>newson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2009 01:38:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548801</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[to professor horwitz:
i think the issue as to whether frb is a fraud perpetrated by banks on its own customers has indeed been well addressed on the other blog.  people will have different opinions...
but i don&#039;t see that the rothbardian challenge has been refuted, ie. that it is the non-banking public that is the primary victim (to the extent that all frb customers are aware of the nature of the contractual relationship to their bank, which has been argued over in the blog).  early recipients of frb money enjoy higher purchasing money with respect to late recipients.  the same applies to a pure specie monetary order following a gold discovery.  but unlike the gold discovery, which gives rise to ancillary social benefits like cheaper jewelry, fillings, and electronic contacts, the increase in inked paper delivers no benefit to the wider  community.  in this sense, i see the frb system as robbing peter to pay paul, whereas a specie money actually creates net value, even if its quantity changes. 

to the extent that banks mirror each other and grow their loan books at a similar pace, the cycle will be bigger that it otherwise would be, and the past data will be of no use in determining adequate reserves.

regarding inflation, i&#039;m taking it to mean the increase in the supply of money, not whether this has any effect on prices.  (as you say, increased desire to hold money can offset to a certain extent the increased supply).   money supply is at least more tractable than money demand (about which nothing can be said, except it may be between 0 and 100%).  anyway, in modern history supply has increased so dramatically it&#039;s arguably the dominant factor, except for brief interludes (like now).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>to professor horwitz:<br />
i think the issue as to whether frb is a fraud perpetrated by banks on its own customers has indeed been well addressed on the other blog.  people will have different opinions&#8230;<br />
but i don&#8217;t see that the rothbardian challenge has been refuted, ie. that it is the non-banking public that is the primary victim (to the extent that all frb customers are aware of the nature of the contractual relationship to their bank, which has been argued over in the blog).  early recipients of frb money enjoy higher purchasing money with respect to late recipients.  the same applies to a pure specie monetary order following a gold discovery.  but unlike the gold discovery, which gives rise to ancillary social benefits like cheaper jewelry, fillings, and electronic contacts, the increase in inked paper delivers no benefit to the wider  community.  in this sense, i see the frb system as robbing peter to pay paul, whereas a specie money actually creates net value, even if its quantity changes. </p>
<p>to the extent that banks mirror each other and grow their loan books at a similar pace, the cycle will be bigger that it otherwise would be, and the past data will be of no use in determining adequate reserves.</p>
<p>regarding inflation, i&#8217;m taking it to mean the increase in the supply of money, not whether this has any effect on prices.  (as you say, increased desire to hold money can offset to a certain extent the increased supply).   money supply is at least more tractable than money demand (about which nothing can be said, except it may be between 0 and 100%).  anyway, in modern history supply has increased so dramatically it&#8217;s arguably the dominant factor, except for brief interludes (like now).</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Horwitz</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548467</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Horwitz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2009 01:23:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548467</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sorry, us folks in the eastern US have to sleep.

I have been asked:  &quot;Do you think that FRB is free of legal/ethical defects?&quot;

YES, it has no legal or ethical defects.  Again, please see the long discussion in this thread:  http://blog.mises.org/archives/009973.asp.  George and Larry make the case.

No fudging, no hedging, no hesitation. FRB is neither legally nor ethically problematic.  Period.  End of sentence.  

And for Newson:  free bankers don&#039;t have to predict a bank run.  All they need to do is watching their flows of reserves/clearings, having learned from experience what level of reserves keeps them safe, to see whether their reserves fall below that level.  At that point, they know they have overissued relative to demand.  This is called entrepreneurship, no different from the judgment exercised by all kinds of businesspeople in all kinds of businesses.

&quot;Growing their loan books&quot; is NOT in and of itself inflationary.  Growing their loans (investment funds) beyond the public&#039;s demand to hold their liabilities (savings) is what is inflationary.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry, us folks in the eastern US have to sleep.</p>
<p>I have been asked:  &#8220;Do you think that FRB is free of legal/ethical defects?&#8221;</p>
<p>YES, it has no legal or ethical defects.  Again, please see the long discussion in this thread:  <a href="http://blog.mises.org/archives/009973.asp" rel="nofollow">http://blog.mises.org/archives/009973.asp</a>.  George and Larry make the case.</p>
<p>No fudging, no hedging, no hesitation. FRB is neither legally nor ethically problematic.  Period.  End of sentence.  </p>
<p>And for Newson:  free bankers don&#8217;t have to predict a bank run.  All they need to do is watching their flows of reserves/clearings, having learned from experience what level of reserves keeps them safe, to see whether their reserves fall below that level.  At that point, they know they have overissued relative to demand.  This is called entrepreneurship, no different from the judgment exercised by all kinds of businesspeople in all kinds of businesses.</p>
<p>&#8220;Growing their loan books&#8221; is NOT in and of itself inflationary.  Growing their loans (investment funds) beyond the public&#8217;s demand to hold their liabilities (savings) is what is inflationary.</p>
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		<title>By: Conza88</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548440</link>
		<dc:creator>Conza88</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 22:48:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548440</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Quiggin thinks banks should be public utilities...

http://johnquiggin.com/index.php/archives/2009/05/21/banks-should-be-public-utilities/]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quiggin thinks banks should be public utilities&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://johnquiggin.com/index.php/archives/2009/05/21/banks-should-be-public-utilities/" rel="nofollow">http://johnquiggin.com/index.php/archives/2009/05/21/banks-should-be-public-utilities/</a></p>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548409</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 20:08:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548409</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[err....Steve?  Anyone home?  

The &quot;y&quot; key is on the top row (around the middle).  The &quot;e&quot; key is also on the top row (to the left).  The &quot;s&quot; key is in the middle row (near the &quot;e&quot; key).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>err&#8230;.Steve?  Anyone home?  </p>
<p>The &#8220;y&#8221; key is on the top row (around the middle).  The &#8220;e&#8221; key is also on the top row (to the left).  The &#8220;s&#8221; key is in the middle row (near the &#8220;e&#8221; key).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: newson</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548394</link>
		<dc:creator>newson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 18:52:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548394</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[a fractional reserve bank in a competitive trading environment grows its profits principally  by expanding its loan book.  frb banks grow their loan books (inflate) until something breaks. an frb can never know a priori the optimum level to stop expansion, because a bank-run is unpredictable.  so the error cycle is inevitable.  free-bankers can no more predict the timing of a bank run than anybody else. if it were foreseeable, entrepreneurs would price it into their plans, and bankers would head it off.  it&#039;s the unpredictable inflation that frb generates that is behind the cluster of errors, not just inflation per se. 

]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>a fractional reserve bank in a competitive trading environment grows its profits principally  by expanding its loan book.  frb banks grow their loan books (inflate) until something breaks. an frb can never know a priori the optimum level to stop expansion, because a bank-run is unpredictable.  so the error cycle is inevitable.  free-bankers can no more predict the timing of a bank run than anybody else. if it were foreseeable, entrepreneurs would price it into their plans, and bankers would head it off.  it&#8217;s the unpredictable inflation that frb generates that is behind the cluster of errors, not just inflation per se. </p>
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		<title>By: ABOM</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548381</link>
		<dc:creator>ABOM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 17:32:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548381</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[And a simple &quot;yes&quot; or &quot;no&quot; please Steve.  No weak-kneed fudging.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And a simple &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;no&#8221; please Steve.  No weak-kneed fudging.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Econ Guy</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548369</link>
		<dc:creator>Econ Guy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 16:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548369</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Steve Horwitz,

Do you think that FRB is free of legal/ethical defects?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steve Horwitz,</p>
<p>Do you think that FRB is free of legal/ethical defects?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Steve Horwitz</title>
		<link>http://archive.mises.org/10012/correcting-quiggin-on-austrian-business-cycle-theory/comment-page-2/#comment-548356</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Horwitz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 15:41:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.mises.org/archives/010012.asp#comment-548356</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[DS writes:

&quot;The interest rate is driven down due to false signals sent by the creation of capital that was not saved into existence but was created by the fractional reserve process.&quot;

No, it isn&#039;t necessarily FRB that&#039;s the problem. See below.

&quot;The eroneous signal is not caused by the interest rate, the false signal is caused by the creation of money that is indistiguishable from genuine capital.&quot;

Of course.  I didn&#039;t say anything different from that.  The erroneous signal isn&#039;t CAUSED by the interest rate, it IS the interest rate, which is sending a bad signal because the inflation makes it appear as though savings has taken place when in fact it hasn&#039;t. You and I have no disagreement here.

&quot;This false capital is the product of the fractional reserve process and is the mechanism that leads to lower interest rates. The FRB created capital is indistinguishable from capital brought about by deferred consumption, giving the appearance of an excess of savings - supply of capital - which drives down the price of capital - the interest rate. You have the process backwards.&quot;

No, I don&#039;t think I do.  I&#039;m pretty sure I know ABCT pretty well, as a couple of books and all kinds of articles on it might attest to.

The problem here is that YOU are assuming that FRB is the problem when the problem is NOT inherent in FRB but rather a product of a supply of money greater than the public wishes to hold at the current price level.  As long as the public is willing to hold bank liabilities, it is supplying the requisite saving to the banking system and the multiple loans the bank creates are not inflationary.

My holding of bank liabilities is &quot;deferred consumption&quot; which thereby supplies real savings to the banking system, yes, even under FRB.  This is the argument of Selgin&#039;s book and it is developed in more depth in my own 2000 book.  

FRB is not the problem, inflation is.  It is the excess supply of money that forces the market rate below the natural rate, which is the result of the forced savings created by the inflation.  That forced savings makes it LOOK LIKE there&#039;s more savings when in fact there is not.  Consumption has not been deferred, even though the interest rate makes it seem that way.  The lower interest rate is a false signal about people&#039;s real consumption/savings tradeoffs and thus generates the malinvestment in the stages of production farther away from consumption that characterize the cycle.

FRB does not inherently cause inflation, therefore is does not inherently cause distorted interest rates, therefore it does not inherently cause malinvestment and the Austrian cycle.  It CAN do all of this when it&#039;s combined with central banking or bad regulations, but it need not.

In the environment of free banking with fractional reserves, increases in the public&#039;s willingness to hold money balances supplies real savings to the banking system which gets translated into investment in a sustainable capital structure.  When central banks intervene, they over-produce money without a real demand to hold by the public, which results in the cycle.  

FRB isn&#039;t the issue.  The absence of markets is.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DS writes:</p>
<p>&#8220;The interest rate is driven down due to false signals sent by the creation of capital that was not saved into existence but was created by the fractional reserve process.&#8221;</p>
<p>No, it isn&#8217;t necessarily FRB that&#8217;s the problem. See below.</p>
<p>&#8220;The eroneous signal is not caused by the interest rate, the false signal is caused by the creation of money that is indistiguishable from genuine capital.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course.  I didn&#8217;t say anything different from that.  The erroneous signal isn&#8217;t CAUSED by the interest rate, it IS the interest rate, which is sending a bad signal because the inflation makes it appear as though savings has taken place when in fact it hasn&#8217;t. You and I have no disagreement here.</p>
<p>&#8220;This false capital is the product of the fractional reserve process and is the mechanism that leads to lower interest rates. The FRB created capital is indistinguishable from capital brought about by deferred consumption, giving the appearance of an excess of savings &#8211; supply of capital &#8211; which drives down the price of capital &#8211; the interest rate. You have the process backwards.&#8221;</p>
<p>No, I don&#8217;t think I do.  I&#8217;m pretty sure I know ABCT pretty well, as a couple of books and all kinds of articles on it might attest to.</p>
<p>The problem here is that YOU are assuming that FRB is the problem when the problem is NOT inherent in FRB but rather a product of a supply of money greater than the public wishes to hold at the current price level.  As long as the public is willing to hold bank liabilities, it is supplying the requisite saving to the banking system and the multiple loans the bank creates are not inflationary.</p>
<p>My holding of bank liabilities is &#8220;deferred consumption&#8221; which thereby supplies real savings to the banking system, yes, even under FRB.  This is the argument of Selgin&#8217;s book and it is developed in more depth in my own 2000 book.  </p>
<p>FRB is not the problem, inflation is.  It is the excess supply of money that forces the market rate below the natural rate, which is the result of the forced savings created by the inflation.  That forced savings makes it LOOK LIKE there&#8217;s more savings when in fact there is not.  Consumption has not been deferred, even though the interest rate makes it seem that way.  The lower interest rate is a false signal about people&#8217;s real consumption/savings tradeoffs and thus generates the malinvestment in the stages of production farther away from consumption that characterize the cycle.</p>
<p>FRB does not inherently cause inflation, therefore is does not inherently cause distorted interest rates, therefore it does not inherently cause malinvestment and the Austrian cycle.  It CAN do all of this when it&#8217;s combined with central banking or bad regulations, but it need not.</p>
<p>In the environment of free banking with fractional reserves, increases in the public&#8217;s willingness to hold money balances supplies real savings to the banking system which gets translated into investment in a sustainable capital structure.  When central banks intervene, they over-produce money without a real demand to hold by the public, which results in the cycle.  </p>
<p>FRB isn&#8217;t the issue.  The absence of markets is.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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